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I watched their first head-to-head game, it was played fast, Darussafaka surprised me there with their approach because they tried to outrun CSKA even though they were aware that it suited the away team. It finished at 155 points after 93 at halftime. The situation itself suggests this pick for me. How ever CSKA play today, they have to win at Unicaja to finish in the top spot. Which means that this game is in a way an exhibition game for them. When they didn't take their opponents very seriously, the games regularly went over. Only VTB derbies against Kuban (who are an under team) and UNICS were in under. In Euroleague, they stayed at 155 only at Darussafaka, at home Maccabi 169, Brose 160, Unicaja 164, Sassari 170. Even Darussafaka's numbers aren't so bad for this pick - 162 at Brose, 150 at Unicaja, 157 at Maccabi, and under at Sassari (128). Only the last game doesn't fit into all of this, but numbers aside, I see CSKA in this game at around 90 or more points, which is a standard for them, and Darussafaka cannot do the same. When CSKA don't need a win, and they don't today, than they don't play defense. They will score their share of points, and I expect that they won't try too hard in the defense.