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In the introductory four matches Melbourne were quite convincing so they celebrated with 15, 12, 9 and 31 points of difference. When you take a look at the teams they played against, it becomes clear that those teams are the same as Taipans. They didn't play yet against Beakers or Wildcats, but they left the Crocs, 36ers and Hawks with no chance. I expect the same against Taipans. The reasons for favoring Melbourne are numerous, and one of the main ones is definitely quality. Taipans are still searching for their game, and they mostly depend on Tragardh under the hoop. He will have big problems in the duel with Majok Majoka. Gliddon and Starks are out of their good shooter shape, and Melborne's former player Mark Worthington, so far didn't play a single good match. Coach Fearne is furious on his players with every right because they oscillate too much. Melbourne, on the other hand, have everything in place. Each player knows his homework and most of the weight falls on the back players. From the front ones it is expected to be aggressive on the rebound and to close the paint in the defense, but they're also capable of scoring 20 points and to overrule the match. Just taking a peek at the reoster reveals the difference in quality between these two teams and the bookmakers didn't take it "serious" enough. The handicap limit is 6,5 points of the team who so far showed the most, against a mediocre team and it's something you simply have to take, and the home court is just an additional bonus.