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Basketball » Croatia 1 (M), 9. round
28.11.2015. 17:00 Finished
Jolly JBS - Sibenik (74:79)
Total points (OT incl.) 159.5 tip: Under   Legolas17
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.83 6/10 1.83 158 Bet365
I remember those Sibenik derbies when I wrote unders even at much lower margins, actually this has become a default bet for me in my following of the A-1 league. The city derby in Sibenik always brings about high tensions. As I said in the preview, there is no pretty basketball there and it pretty much turns into a war for each point. Since Sibenik joined the First league in 2013, these teams faced each other seven times. The totals are - 134, 116, 137, 120, 129, 156, 151. These last two went up to higher number of points, but they were blowouts. Just to clarify right now, I am knowingly going slightly against the stats here which is not entirely in my favor but I will try to break it down a bit. Sibenik have four out of seven overs on this margin, but they went over against teams that are usually over (Skrljevo, Zagreb, Kastela, Gorica). Jolly are at 4-4 as far as this margin is concerned. They went over against Split, Skrljevo, Gorica and Zagreb (161). Only Split don't fit in here because they are not an over team, but Jolly conceded 97 in that game (1st round). They have been looking better defensively lately and in the last four games, they were under 80 conceded in three games, the stats are not clearly offering the under, but I cannot see this game at over 160 points.
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