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Basketball » Croatia 1 (M), 12. round
09.01.2016. 19:00 Finished
Skrljevo - Zagreb (71:92)
Total points (OT incl.) 160.5 tip: Over   Legolas17
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.88 5/10 1.83 161.5 Pinnacle
I don't see a way for this to finish with less than 160 points. Let's start with the obvious - Skriljavo and Zagreb played two h2h games so far, both in Zagreb. The league game finished at 170, the Cup game at 167 some 20 days ago. I would have set this margin at 4-5 points more just on account of that. I think it's a consequence of lower numbers Zagreb have. They play aggressive game that is based on transition and have a good enough offense to cover this. They have 8 unders in 15 games at 159,5 margin, while they finished at 158 against Lasko, Kastela and Gorica. The other five at against Lasko (145), Split, Osijek and the slow-paced Zabok. Skriljevo have 4 unders in 12 games, one in the cup and three with Split, Alkar and Zabok. They went over this margin in 4 out of 5 home games. To sum up, two offense oriented teams, head to head games...That's enough to go with points over. Especially because Zagreb's unders are easily explainable.
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