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When this game was supposed to be played originally, my pick was under 146.5 points. I still think it will stay under, but what's troubling me now is that Vichy have three overs on this margin in three home matches. They showed something in those matches - even though their coach is defensively oriented, they can't defend themselves against the tougher teams. Boulazac scored 84, Orchesien too, and Hyeres pushed it to 81. If there is a tough team, that's Bourg. Vichy struggle defensively against stronger teams, and Bourg can defend themselves very well, so I'm thinking about handicap. Vichy lost a home match to Boulazac by 8, away match against Le Portel by 17, conceding 80, and a home match against Hyeres by 8 in the last round. Yeah, they did beat Orchies at home and Denain in an away game, but the defeats were against two candidates for the upper league (Boulazac, Le Portel), and the serious Hyeres. Bourg lost their last match, but that's a plus. Whenever they'd lose, they'd react in the following match. That's why I think they'll be motivated, and won't underestimate anyone because they don't want a second defeat in a row. They are struggling a bit at the beginning of the season, but the quality is on their side here. They easily caught up -15 from the half-time against Roanne. They were leading by 3 a minute and a half till the end, and lost by 3. A plus for this bet is definitely that the home team's best center, Jones, might not play. I don't think this will be a tied up game.