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Basketball » Euroleague (M), 11. round
OddsStatsTip
17.03.2016. 20:45 Finished
Barcelona - Real Madrid (72:65)
Home team total points (OT incl.) 86 tip: Under   Ino
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 10/10 - 83.5 Pinnacle
El Classico is always a spectacle, and the same will happen today. But I don't think the game as such will be spectacular and full of attractions because the stakes are so high, and the game will not be beautiful, despite the amount of talent in both teams. I decided for the under of home team's point for several reasons. Firstly, from the statistical point of view, Barcelona have not scored against Real in derbies over this margin in the last several seasons, that is in ten games before this year. But in two head-to-heads this season they scored first 91, and then 87 points, but we should explain that as well. In the first game, Barca shot over 70%, Real were out of form and that is why they scored 91 point. And then in the Euroleague game, Doellman scored for 87 with the sound of the siren. So for Barca to go over this margin, they need to have an amazing shooting night and last second baskets which are not scored every day. Real are a different team today, Rudy is back and they are finally complete. Besides, they have Lima in the paint who will bring strength and rebound which is very important. We always say that Real owe all their success to defense, and not offense, as it is often believed. We will see aggressive defense today as well because Real have 12 fit players and they will all play hard because of the importance of the game. While Real can still play counterattacks, Barca are a team that has to play slow and position basketball. They will solve their attacks after 20 seconds and that is always a good thing for this type of a bet. In the end, I have to say that I don't think Barcelona are favorites in this game and that gives this team under even more significance.
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