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Despite struggling with offense efficiency, Montpellier managed to complete all the easier tasks (Metz 2:0, Lorient 1:0, Guingamp 2:1) easily. The second tier Ajaccio (conceded two or more goals in the last five head to head matches with Montpellier home) should be the easiest of tasks for the a very motivated Montpellier. Caoch Barrios is going to go with a very offense oriented line up (Pionnier – Jebbour – Hilton – El Kaoutari – Congré – Sanson – Lasne – Deza – Camara – Barrios – Montaño) with two midfielders, two offensive wingers and two forwards. That is something we don't get to often seen in France. The visitors sacked their coach Bracconi last week, putting in charge the inexperienced assistant Debes, who was their substitute goal keeper up to recently. His debut was successful - a 2-1 win over Valenciennes. The fact opponent's midfielder was sent off helped, but bad news for Ajaccio is, their first team defender Kante got injured. Zubar and Marestar, the other two, have been out for a while.
Players such as Bageorgi and Peroz will have a hard time trying to stop Montpellier, but the offense with Oliech and Favergue should not be entirely written off. I think the goals bet is a better choice than handicap, for example. Even if they surprise us, a 2-2 final score is more realistic that a goalless draw. Details

City (meaning Heart) mostly defended at derbies up to now and tried through counterattacks, and the average was still 2.75 goals per game. This time they're talking offensive and those are not just empty threats - they want to use Villa while they have him, and even without him around the balance of power has shifted significantly in their favor. In his two previous appearances the opponents were fully focused on stopping him, now someone will finally attack them and we can expect plenty of action in both penalty areas. With Berisha, FInkler and Thompson the home team have plenty of offensive quality as well. Both teams score is the safer, but also less profitable option. I believe it's worth trying over for a mid-sized bet, and if someone decides on BTS you can chance a unit or two more. Details

Granted, Lille are struggling with offense, but Everton are not exactly the toughest defense, having won only twice (never in Europe).
The home team are very keen on winning this game. Origi as their top scorer (5 out of the total of Lille's 13 goals) has extra motivation today and definitely counts as the main candidate for scoring today. He's more likely to score than Lukaku.
It's therefore absurd that the bookmakers trust Roux, who's not doing good at all, more or the newcomer Frey, who has not even had a debut at Lille. Even if Roux does get a chance today, it will be on a wing position. If Girard is going to rely on someone today, it will be Origi. Details

Dijon reached top spot in the table on account of the good home games. They won only once away since the start of the season and only twice in 2014! Dijon are not a top-quality team, but they are consistent and well-organized, managing to take advantage of top teams' poorer openings. If they don't acquire a good forward over the winter, they won't stand a chance of claiming the top in the end.
Valenciennes made a lot of changes to the team over the summer to start with a few bad games but ever since August, they have displayed continuous progress. With two consecutive wins and a draw ahead of the break, I think they're the no.1 candidate for the title. With a few internationals from Cameroon, Mali, and few top-league veterans, they are definitively better than Dijon, which I'm sure the following games will prove.
They're particularly tough home, their coach knows Dijon very well. Each team miss an important midfielder, but Cisse is probably more important for the visitors than Enza-Yamissi is for the home team. Details

The Quakes aren't motivated competitively anymore, but they are motivated otherwise - to avoid the embarrassing record, to say goodbye to their stadium, to present themselves to the new coach. They'll take out a strong lineup, perhaps the strongest one this season, and I believe they'll create lots of problems for the Caps.
The guests can do with one point and they know they that the Timbers won't win in Dallas in the last round, and they're basically in already. I'm not saying they're going to relax, but they definitely won't fight like they did in Seattle, where they got their first away win out of ten attempts.
They haven't been defeated in the seven matches they played against each other, but they only played two on the Buck Shaw, and both were ties. Details

Ghana are expected to win, maybe even by a few goals, but I don't see why Guinea would not score at least one. The defense is the worst part of the home team, managing to keep their net intact only once in the last nine game, and never once in the three head-to-head games with Ghana.
Visitors have good offense player who can create attempts on their own, even while the opponent dominates the pitch. They didn't score only once n the nine game (against Uganda). Ghana are sure too take more risk than the defense-oriented Ugandans. Details

I'm going with the points because like that, even two or three yellow cards with one red card should be enough. But, over at 3.5 yellow cards is the main deal, and whoever has the possibility to bet on this should (the odds offered are more or less the same).
These teams are direct rivals in a key match. Both have been aggressive in the qualifying matches, with Poland awarded 3 yellow cards in the Germany game, two in the Gibraltar game, and their opponent Scotland three yellow and a red card in the Germany game and two in the one-sided win over Georgia.
The referee appointed for this game is the Spaniard Malenco, who doesn't hesitate to book the players. He awarded less than 4 yellow card only once in his last nine games, while at the same time sending off 3 players. The points go as follows - each yellow card is 10 points, each red card 25. If the player is awarded two yellow cards (sent-off), that is 25 points in total. Details

Galaxy are in a great form, but that's not enough of a reason to favor them in one of the toughest MLS away games. Dallas outplayed and defeated their direct rivals for the title, Seattle, 3-1, with a lineup none weaker than the one today. They have seven home wins in a row, they haven't been defeated in the last four games at home. Even if Donovan shows up well rested and eager to play, the guests are still more heavily handicapped - not one of their lines is complete. Another good argument is motivation: Dallas value each point in gold, the guests have to defeat Seattle once even if they lose, or have two ties to get the title. Details

Why to opt for an under in the meeting of two worst defenses in the league? Precisely because of that - both the Chicas and Rapids put a lot of effort into improving their defense performances. We should expect caution on both sides, with both teams missing their top scorers and an important winger. Torres scored 15, the rest of the Chivas' team 11 combined.
The visitors lost Brown (10) and Serne (3), and Jose Mari (4) doesn't seem to be completely ready which will force him to start on the bench.
Their first two head-to-head matches were overs, but that was very early, while things were still quite relaxed (especially for the Rapids). The previous six were unders, including the goalless draw they played in preseason. Details

A defeat in Denver would put Seattle in a tough situation, as Galaxy have an unreachable scoring ratio and they would be playing a must-win away match in LA in two weeks. I doubt they'll allow themselves that: they're better than Rapids and have already beaten them in away matches back when there was less of a difference between the teams, they're in better shape and more confident...
Many factors point towards the home team improving in the finish of the match, but he have yet to see it happen. It would be a very steep jump indeed if they suddenly started to parry the future second ranked team of the league. They have Chivas coming next, then Dallas, who could by then be indifferent and a chance for them. Today it's time for another Dempsey-Martins show. Details

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Leverkusen dropped in form in September, are missing a few important players and I see no reason for them to be such favorites. The only place they are at full strength is on offense, their strongest side on paper as well, but that was true the previous four times and they still scored just two goals.
The only match Benfica lost this season was to Zenit, against whom they were a player short throughout the match, and Zenit, next to Porto, were also the only ones to beat them in the past 11 months! Judging from all the available info, it seems Cesar will defend, so one could say they're not missing anyone (Fejsa and Sulejmani haven't played since spring). A slightly safer but also less lucrative option is to bet on possession - Marathon has a 54 margin, some bookmakers have 52.5. Even if they manage to win somehow, I doubt the counterattacking Leverkusen will significantly prevail on possession. Details

The away team will dominate in this meeting and they're the surely the favorites for this win, but APOEL is in great shape, scores regularly and they will have a strong supports from their fans, so it's logical to expect at least four good scores.
Ajax are an offensive team, the one-more-goal game is in their blood. They have defended themselves once in nine serious games this season (I'm not counting the amateur cup), and on Saturday they received two goals in Breda who are surely one step below the hosts.
The Cyprus team have sent one shot into the frame in Barcelona, but coach Donis explained it nicely in the preview: "There, we were behind the ball all the time; we can play more against Ajax." They've shot five in the away game against Aalborg in the play-offs, and at home a total of 12 - this match will look more like the one on Nou Camp, at least as the game wears on. Details

Columbus play very offensively at home, and ten goals scored in the last three matches prove that best. Today, they'll face the direct rival who's five points ahead of them, they want to catch up with the top 3, their offensive is complete... The fact that they didn't bring the substitute for the center back Gonzalez they sold to Italy is an extra argument. In 11 matches, they had nine over, and in the six at home - six.
Revs have eight overs in 11, and five in the seven away matches. They come very confident, they created the advantage on the league table and don't have to worry about every point. Bunbury's absence supports the bet, Fagundez is less useful in the defensive.
Since I'm stuck to the number 11, I'll also add that eight out of the 11 matches they played went to over. Details

Bordeaux played a few great games, but conceded a goal in each of them except the first one against Montpellier. Their defense is obviously a sore spot, at least until the reinforcements manage to adapt (Ilori and Contento had a disastrous game in Guingamp, and neither have a substitute right now), which Evian can take advantage of, especially if Sougou goes on from where he left off last season.
The away team have not scored points three times in five games, but they're definitely not repeating the fumble from the premiere, and they achieved their goal against PSG with a 0-0 outcome. Other figures are strongly in favor of this bet: they scored in seven of their last ten away matches, and five of the last games these teams played each other, with Bordeaux failing to defend at home since January! Details

In September Brest beat one of the favorites for advancement to the first league, Nancy (nine home wins in 12 matches), and played a draw away against lively Nimes. They have a chance to get among the top 3 against weakened Arles, and with only winger Cuvillier missing, they're presenting their major reinforcement on offense, Mali national team member Samassa.
Arles have not lost in their last six matches, but tied three of their last four league games, and have not won an away match in a year. Naturally, they're coming to Brest to get a draw as well, but in the mean time they've sold their main defender Givet to Evian, his replacement Bonne got injured against Tours, and their key back Bocaly got suspended. They're also missing two of their most dangerous forwards, Larsen Toure i N'Gbakoutou. They lost 0-2 in Brest with a much stronger team this April. Details

Qarabaq have been undefeated at home in 7 months. In August, they beat Salzburg with a team weaker squad than they have today and they kept a clean sheet against Twente - teams that can be compared to ASSE. The visitors are coming with a weakened squad: they're missing injured Perrin and Tabanou in defense and Clerc hasn't played since May; in offense, they will use tired Erding as his replacement Van Wolfswinkel is out, and their winger Hamouma is also out. The only team they beat in last 90 minutes was Caen, and with a huge dose of luck. I don't see a reason for them to be such favorites, I expect a tight game with all 3 possible outcomes. The odds for home team scoring are excellent as the Frenchmen have kept only 1 clean sheet in 9 games. Details

First of all, I don't agree with the basic odds here - I think Sporting are mild favorites at best. But what Maribor are particularly underrated are shots on target. The "Violas" are a good attacking team with a couple of talented offensive players like Tavares, Zahovič and Biton. They're in good form, playing at home. They've gone over this margin in both previous rounds, at home and away: 5 and 6 against Celtic and 8 and 5 against Maccabi. The visitors are the better team but have only started their season under new coach and are without their crucial defender Rojo and Dier, who would also be in first 11. They've only had difficult game, the one against Benfica who had 7 shots on target and a total of 17 shots altogether. Details

Valenciennes started the season with a weakened squad, they lost some 15 players upon elimination. Their negative starting run is logical, but their last away game at Auxerre (2-1) showed that things are slowly setting into their place. Now they got 2 more weeks to organize their game and two quality replacement are ready for their debut (Laquait and Sigamary Diarra) and I think they are considerable favorites against Creteil at Hainaut.
The only game the visitors lost was their opening game against Tours but they were far from great: their win against relegation candidates Chateauroux, draw against Laval, Niort and Havre and two narrow defeats against lower division clubs in the club. They are coming to Valenciennes without their best club duo - midfielder N'Doye and winger Lesage, along with full-back Ilunga, midfielder Seck and forward Sangare. The hosts are missing full-back Guihoata and midfielder Baradji, both of whom are replaceable. Details

Mozambique haven't been very successful in last 3-4 years but they're usually a step above Niger and I think things should set into their place in this cycle. Ever since Joao Chissano took over, they have been on the up and no one has beaten their top squad since last June, their home form is great, their results on Saturday will pump them with confidence...I think they will have no problem dealing with Niger, who are arriving without their first-choice center-back duo and are ready to change their coach. Details