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Tips archive
  • Tennis 

    Australian Open Nicole Gibbs - Serena Williams

  • Total games 18,0 tip: Under
    21.01.2017. 04:35
    Result: 1:6 3:6
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.5
    Last margin: >17.5
    Published: 20.01. 15:20
    Bookmaker:
     
    During her entire career, Gibbs's record against Top 10 names is 0-5, and she took a single set. If we take a look at how those matches went, then we have results like these:

    Serena – 26 16
    Kvitova – 26 46
    Kvitova – 36 46
    Kvitova – three sets
    Muguruza – 16 06

    If we include Top 11 - 20 players, then it looks like this:

    Pennetta – 46 06
    Svitolina – 36 67
    Wozniacki – 16 06

    It's clear that Gibbs has problems with strong names. On a margin of 18.5 games, she went into an under 5-3 times. However, we have to look at some things from another perspective and against whom she didn't go. Twice against Kvitova. The Czech knows she's not the most stable player in the world. She's always prone to oscillating and giving games away. She didn't go against Svitolina who wasn't a Top 10 level in 2015, and she's not Top 10 now either, and at the time she was Top 20. Muguruza left her at a single game last season, and this season Woziacki did the same, Petkovic at four. Not a single player in even slightly important matches can fit into the same sentence as Serena except Serena herself, and their H2H was played in 2012, so I'm not giving much thought to that match. But, if someone manages to get a game against Woz this season, four against Petkovic, to lose to Muguruza last season with a single game, then it's clear we're talking about a lack of quality.

    Even if she wasn't at 100%, Serena is above all these names, and relevant matches clearly indicate that Gibbs has problems with even weaker players.
    Since that desperate day she didn't have since 204 and losing to Brengla, Serena didn't lose outside of Top 50 names. If we count all of her matches from last season and this one against Top 66 onwards (Gibbs is 92nd, and I took the 66th place on purpose because Gibbs never did better than 68th) Serena went into an under of 18.5 in a record of 7-3. But last season it was 7-1, while this year she didn't go under on the first tournament of the season where she looked really bad. Parmentier and struggling with her, and the defeat by Brengle. But, again, besides a bad tournament that can happen to anyone, and all are names stronger than Gibbs. She remained at 19 games against Bencic and Safarova who are realistically now Top 20, and until recently they were Top 10 and injuries held them back. That's just one games less than what we need here, and quality-wise they're two classes above Gibbs. Next to this first tournament of the season, Serena's record in covering the under is 7-1, and mostly they were players stronger than Gibbs. If you ask me, this margin is at least one game too small.

    Against Safarova Serena recorded 15 aces and won 84% of the points after the first serve. Safarova and Bencic could stood up to her with strength (up to a point), and they were left at 19 games, and Gibbs whose game is based on defense and footwork won't be able to stand up to her. This under can only be knocked down by Serena. Details
  • Tennis 

    Brisbane Ayumi Morita - Francesca Schiavone

  • Games handicap +5 tip: 2
    30.12.2016. 04:50
    Result: 6:7 0:2
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.79
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: 0
    Last margin: >5.5
    Published: 29.12. 18:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    This all comes down to how ready Morita is for this match. She was Top 50 in her career, but her injury problems are big. During 2014 she played only 10 tournaments, in 2015 she played four tournaments, and last season only a single match, and she wasn't even able to finish that one. Everyone's clear that she can't be the most ready even if she wants to. behind her is a long break due to a wrist injury, and she provenly isn't ready. This is her statement from about ten days ago: "In the last two weeks I was in the National Training Center and I wasn't able to train. But, I've been training normally for the last couple of days and the situation seems good." So, she wasn't even able to train until a few days ago, there's not much to say about readiness, especially because she wrote on her blog yesterday that she just started training by playing matches during training: "The wrist situation and the body situation is okay, and I'm training by playing with games and points." Her lack of readiness is clear as day (plus months without a real, full competitive match which is bad in its own way). Schiavone is an older "lady", there's no doubt. Had Morita been playing against a younger, more "hungry" girl, this pair would be for 10/10 because it's clear that Morita can't be ready for this match. But, my impression is that Schiavone, even though older, has enough quality to smoothly deal with such Morita. She's been plagued more and more by the questions about ending her career, and she keeps responding that she's playing because she's enjoying it. The fact is that at the end of the season she didn't go after Top 100, and that shows the lack of ambition when it comes to results and places on the table, and also that she's really playing for the fun of it, which poses the question how smart is to invest into such a player. But, wherever she show us, the way she did here, is clear that she's playing with everything she has. Just for an example, during the whole last season she failed only twice: once against Razzano who is a former Top 20 player and without a dilemma a girl who can handle stronger players than Schiavone, and against Sakkari who is at this point among Top 100. Schiavone doesn't play as often as she did before, she's enjoying it, and even though that means her motivation regarding ranking isn't big, her motivation in the very match is as the top. Last season she beat names such as Cornet, Siegemund, Sevastove, Cirstee, and even though the results weren't great, especially considering the player she once was, it's clear that she's playing with everything she has. She has to try to use this one. Details
  • Tennis 

    Vienna Andy Murray - John Isner

  • 1st set tie-break tip: Yes
    28.10.2016. 20:30
    Result: 6:1 6:3
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 2.50
    Stake: 2/10
    Profit: -2
    Min. odds: 2.10
    Published: 28.10. 20:17
    Bookmaker:
     
    When we're talking about Isner, then we always have a tie-break of the first set as the bet we need to focus on. Of course, bookies go down on odds in indoor and grass conditions. Today we have bigger odds on account of Murray, but that doesn't change things much, I'd say. For starters, we have to say how this and last year Isnr's record in going into the tie-break of the first set is 19-9. Only this confirms a number of things. Still, in order to get that score into relevant matches, I'll focus on matches against Top 5 where Murray belongs. In the last two years it looks like this: Murray (13), Federer (13). If we put players who are in or around Top 10, then it's like this: Cilic (13), Tsonga (13), Del Potro (13), Del Potro (10). If we put this aside because Cilic, Tsonga and Del Potro are not Murray's level on the return, it's enough to take a look at Murray's and Isner's head-to-heads. The Scotsman has the smooth 6-0 in wins, and each match had a tie-break in the first set. This year they went into a tie-break on Roland Garros's clay. Last year in Shanghai we also saw a tie-break. Last season in DC, two tie-breaks, two years before that two in Cincinnati. Each match went into a tie-break of the first set, and only one of those matches was played indoors or on grass (last season's DC). If we focus on Isner's matches against Top 5 names, generally in the last two seasons, no matter the conditions, he played like this: Murray (13, 13, 13), Djokovic (10, 13, 8), Federer (13, 13), Nadal (13), Nishikori (10, 10). All in all, he has 7-4 against Top 5 names in going over in the first set which clearly indicated that he doesn't care who he's playing against. In the last two seasons against Federer, Djokovic and Murray he has 6-2 in going over in the first set. He went into an over on clay against Nadal last season, and out of all these matches, only one was indoor or grass (again DC against Murray). As for Murray, this and last season in fast conditions his record is 7-42. It sounds very desperate, but we can't compare Isner or Karlovic to other players. Murray has 13-0 in matches against Ivo and Isner. Yes, he knows how to deal with them, his return is good, but he always went into the over of the first set against Isner. If we're going to look for a negative thing in this bet, that would be Murray's record against Raonic. With him he almost never went into the tie-break of the first set. In the last three seasons his record in going over in the first set is 1-7, in fast conditions 1-2. However, duels against today's opponent (6-6) which is important, and against Ivo (4-7), but also Isner's record against names similar to Murray indicate how we have a value in this one. Details
  • Tennis 

    Casablanca Reda Karakhi - Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Total games 15,5 tip: Under
    11.10.2016. 13:45
    Result: 2:6 4:6
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.72
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Published: 11.10. 13:30
    Bookmaker:
     
    Karakhi's results show that he doesn't possess much quality. He is 25 and has never been in Top 100. He has been limited to just a few games against any serious players over the past few years. Serra(139) – 2 games Khadari(582) – 0 games Gigounon(243) – 5 games Toledo(556) – 3 games Khaddari(605) – 2 games Vaisse(297) – 3 games Janvier(781) – 3 games Fournier(728) – 3 games Jarr(408) – 4 games ----------- last two seasons)------ Simonsson(800) – 2 games Tsitsipas(800+) – no games Simon(594) – 5 games. All of those players are below Tsitsipas' quality and still, he lost 9 out of 2 matches by getting 3 or less games. A big reason for going with a handicap at Tsitsipas is the fact he left this opponent without a single game last season even though he was ranked worse than now. He is now a challenger play with 7 such wins. Last week in Morocco he played his first CH final. Also, he beat Simon by 6 games this season and Simon beat Karakhi, losing just 5 games. Also, Karakhi lost to Allouch by 7 last season and Alliuch got just a game against Ignatik yesterday. Tsitsipas will get into Top 100 soon. Comparing his results with players like Karakhi is tough because there aren't many of them. That is why we can make comparisons with players Karakhi lost to convincing. There is Simon and the Allouch match and the one against Simonsson last season. Karakhi got two games against him while Tsitsipas limited the Swede to 7 games and recorded an easy win. Tsitsipas was much weaker than he is today and has still allowed Karakhi no games in their H2H. Karakhi should not be able to get more than 3 games here. Details
  • Tennis 

    DC Portugal-Slovenia Joao Sousa - Tom Kocevar-Desman

  • Total games 26,5 tip: Under
    16.09.2016. 12:05
    Result: 6:7 7:6 6:2 6:1
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.72
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >25.5
    Published: 16.09. 12:02
    Bookmaker:
     
    Kocevar was never Top 300 in his carrier and he was born in 1990. He recorded just 4 challenger matches and one win, which speaks volumes of his quality.

    As for his performances against Top 100 players, he has just one of those from last season in DC against Slovakia when he lost the close match to Klizan. The Slovak won the first set 6-1 back then.

    Kocevar has a few matches against players ranked 101-200.
    Gombos(116) – 26 46 67
    Zeballos(117) – 16 26
    Mayer(119) – 16 26

    These are his matches against players ranked 201-300 in the last 3 years:
    Menendez(217) – 26 46
    Mertl(258) – 36 16
    Brands(284) – 36 46
    Brkić(246) – 61 26 76
    Safwat(240) – 06 46
    Cagnina(270) – 06 46
    Mektić(217) – 26 67
    Gigounon(251) – 36 62 46

    Even without those stats, it is clear that we have a big distance in quality here. If we assume that the handicap at Sousa in two sets would probably be -7,5, Kocevar would cover that against players ranked 101-200 in 2-0 record, while he would covert the the potential one of -11,5 on three sets in the 1-0 against Gombos. Most importantly, these are players who are outside of Top 100, while Sousa is Top 50. That is the difference in quality.

    Even against players ranked 201-300 he has only 5-3 in covering of the +7,5. That is a huge difference in quality between Mertl, Safwat, Cagnin, while he lost by 6 games to Menendez, by five to Mektic, Brands. Besides that win over Brkic, he beat just one one set against played in Top 300 in the last 3 years.

    As for Sousa, he played only Sodelund when it comes to players outside Top 400, not counting Tursunov. He limited Soderlund to just 4 games and that same Soderlung limited Kocevar to just 4 games this year. Sousa played a few players who are relevant for this last season. If we focus on those outside Top 400 (Kocevar is outside Top 400 now), Sousa limited Sillanpa, who was No. 505 to just two games in DC Cup in three sets. He limited Androic to 3 games in Umah, Idmbarek to just two games in three sets, also in Davis Cup.

    Overall, Sousa trashed those opponents he could have trashed in the last two years in Davis Cup. He beat Ignatic, Idmbarek and Sillanpa last season by covering the 11,5 handicap, while he lost to Gerasimov in a strange match after losing just one game in the first two sets. BUt Gerasimov was then on the verge of Top 300. He's a better player than Kccevar. This season in DC, Sousa beat even Melzer by 11 games.

    If we focus on bad things here, it's Kocevar's win over Brkic. But Brkic is two levels below Sousa. After that we have Klizan and just 6 games between them but I'm not surprised with that because Klizan is always capable of getting things complicated. Sousa is much more consistent and likely to trash his opponents. When it comes to Sousa, the bad thing is his defeat to Gerasimov but that's it. He trashed 4 opponents in DC this and last season. He trashed Soderlund in a match that is very relatable to this one, and he trashed Androic last season in a relateble match. In the last two years, he is 4-0 in covering of the handicap I expect against Kocevar this against players outside of Top 400. Details
  • Tennis 

    Prague 2 Lukas Vejvara - Daniel Gimeno-Traver

  • Games handicap +7,5 tip: 2
    26.07.2016. 14:25
    Result: 4:6 1:6
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.80
    Published: 26.07. 14:20
    Bookmaker:
     
    Vejvara started his professional career this season, he is 19-years-old, and his best ranking as junior player was 153rd. That's not impressive, neither are his results against somewhat quality players, and we should keep in mind that these are all matches from this season. If we focus only on players from the Top 1000, then his record is 1-6. He lost most of those matches in handicap. Safranek (301-400) 2-6, 2-6, the odds were 1.05; Marti (301-400) 2-6, 2-6, 1.03 odds; Mertl (201-300), 2-6, 2-6, 1.06 odds; Kekercheni (801-900) 1-6, 6-7, no odds; Vocel (901-1000) 1-6, 7-5, 6-4, no odds. This match is interesting because Vocel entered the main draw at that same tournament as the lucky-loser, and he defeated him 6-4 6-2. Ofner (901-1000) 3-6 2-6, 1.15 odds. It is evident that Vejvara doesn't really have any quality, he lost to +1.6 handicap to players like Mari, Mertl and Safranek, and realistically, Gimeno-Traver is better than all three of them. He also easily lost to players like Kekercheni, Ofner and Vocel, players who would have odds under 1.10 against Gimeno-Traver. The Spaniard did not play a single match against players outside the Top 1000 this and last season, so the situation is different with him, and it is hard to compare his to players like Vejvara. As far as the odds at 1.05 or under are concerned, he played only two of those in the last two years. He only covered the handicap in one of them. This season he had two slip ups against Soderlund and Gialcone, but they are in Top 500, much better than Vejvara. His record against players who are a level under Gimeno-Traver is what interests me the most. Vejvara easily loses at -6.5 to players from 300th - 400th position, and he cannot compete against players who are in the Top 1000. I think Gimeno won't even need his best tennis to cover this handicap. Details
  • Tennis 

    Wimbledon Ashleigh Barty - Jia-Jing Lu

  • Total games 17,5 tip: Under
    21.06.2016. 16:35
    Result: 7:6 6:3
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Last margin: >17.5
    Published: 21.06. 16:31
    Bookmaker:
     
    Barty played just two tournaments this season. However, the Australian is not a player who was out with an injury. According to her, she just needed to take a break. She won Wimbledon as a junior and has always liked playing on grass court. She reached Eastbourne ITF semifinals after qualifiers and recorded 6 wins. One was almost an under. She beat players like Ula Radwanska and Paszek, who are too good for the Chinese. Also, she did well in Eastobourn at WTA level too. Barty reached main draw again and recorded 5 wins, three of which at this under against mostly better players. All the talk that she didn't play much recently is not true. Jia, on the other hand, will be 27 this season and has reached 198 spot in the ranking as her best ranking ever. she never played ATP level in her life and has just one Top 100 match in her carrier. She played 5 matches against Top 150 players last seasons and lost 4 of them at this under. I'm talking about hard court because she didn't play indoors or on grass court. The only time this under wasn't recorded was against Martin but that was just one game off. This season on hard court she has just three wins, two of which against players who are not in Top 800. She didn't play with players who are Barty's level so far. Barty is outside of Top 300 and hasn't played a long time so that ranking isn't realistic. The realistic ranking is around No. 100. Jia cannot deal with that level while Barty recorded unders against much better players at the two tournaments she played. Jia mostly lost at an under against players like Barty. That was on hard court, which she likes much better than grass court. I think the Australian will record an easy win here. Details
  • Tennis 

    Bol Ana Konjuh - Tereza Mrdeža

  • Games handicap -5 tip: 1
    03.06.2016. 17:35
    Result: 6:3 7:6
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.88
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.80
    Last margin: >-5.5
    Published: 03.06. 10:05
    Bookmaker:
     
    I was a bit skeptical about Ana's reasons for coming to Bol- Grass court season stats next week and those are her best conditions. Other than this being a Croatian tournament, I don't see any other reason for her to choose it. However, Ana's performances here were great. She trashed Min and Soyla and I can't say Mrdeza is better than either of them. They're all quite close quality-wise. Konjuh is 11-2 against players outside of Top 100 this season. She lost only to Bertens and Wozniack. Bertens is in RG semis and that says enough. Ana's matches before Bol were worse than the ones she played here. Seh covered the handicap in 6 out of 8 matches against players outside Top 150. It didn't happen only against Wozniack and Garcia-Perez. It means we basically have 6 for 7 when it comes to this bet. Most importantly, Konjuh seems motivated, unlike before. Mrdeza has ryhtm but questionable rhythm. She played just two tournaments before Bol - two ITF tournaments where she played two matches and won 9. She was never the underdog. Let's see how she does against Top 100 players. She covered the +5 only three times in 9 matches. She lost to Niculescu, Pavlyuchenkova, Parmentier and to Cepelova and Rodina. Pavlyuchenkova is the only better player among them. The rest of them are close to Konjuh.
    Also, Mrdeza lost 6 out of 10 matches against players in spots 101-150 by more than 5 games. I think we have a good bet here. Mrdeza cant' handle players of Konjuh's quality and Konjuh doesn't lose matches to players like her. Mrdeza is also very defense-oriented and won't be calling the shots here. Ana can cover this easily with the kind of a game from first two matches. Details
  • Tennis 

    Bol Ana Vrljić - Varvara Lepchenko

  • Games handicap +6,5 tip: 2
    31.05.2016. 16:10
    Result: 1:6 5:7
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Published: 31.05. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Lephenko is WTA level with 6 wins this season. She was nowhere to be found for three months with an 'injury' even though she allegedly failed doping test. After that break, Lephenko reached Nurnberg QF on clay court and got a set against Makarova at RG. But that is even less important. The important thing is that there is a difference in quality and that both played similar opponents. Lepchenko trashed every opponent out of Top 150 but one in the last three seasons. She played ten matches against players out of Top 150 since 2014. She won 9 out of 10 of those by 7 or more games. We need to know there were some girls in Top 200 there but Ana Vrljic is not Top 200. She played against two players from Top 150 this season and lost to both easily. She didn't get a single game against Oprandi and lost to Jorovic by 10 games. They are not even Top 100 like Lephenko. Ana's form is very questionable. She has just two wins at the last 6 tournaments. She lost 3 of the 6 matches as a favorite. All of that suggests the difference in quality is big and that we can except an easy win for Varvara. Details
  • Tennis 

    Roland Garros Mirjana Lučić - Naomi Osaka

  • Games handicap -4,5 tip: 1
    25.05.2016. 11:15
    Result: 3:6 3:6
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.85
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.80
    Published: 25.05. 10:15
    Bookmaker:
     
    I ignored Lučić since Strasbourg, up until the first round of RG. However, that's not an option anymore. She's not only winning, she's crushing it. She left Parmentier with one game, Mladenovic with two, Razzano three, Babos five, and now Hantuchova with three games. All in the last ten days. That's not a coincidence, she's got momentum and form. So, none of that before RG really matters now. Her tennis would earn her a Top 20 status right now. I think Osaka is an ideal opponent now. This is her first real clay courts season, she said so herself. She played green clay in America so far. This is totally different and her struggle was obvious. She beat Ostapenko who wasn't moving well thanks to her hits' strength, but that won't help her against Mirjana who's a strong and fast hitter. Also, Osaka's movement is really, really bad. She doesn't know how to slide, she doesn't have the timing, and both of that matters both offensively and defensively. She lost her only red clay match to Pouis-Tigo last year by eight games difference. Hantuchova beat her by six a few weeks back. She's only beaten Zheng who's even worse on clay, and Ostapenko who obviously struggled. Osaka won't be able to match Mirjana. If Mirjana goes on the route she was on for the last ten days, she can easily beat the Japanese here. Details
  • Tennis 

    Roland Garros Simona Halep - Nao Hibino

  • Total games 16,5 tip: Under
    23.05.2016. 16:50
    Result: 6:2 6:0
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4
    Published: 22.05. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Even though Simona remembers much better days, as good of a player she might be, a lot here is based on betting against Hibino. The Japanese is simply not playing well in these conditions. Until this season, she did not have a single WTA match on clay. This year she recorded two wins, one against a 15-year-old who almost defeated her, and against Jani who doesn't belong to WTA level. Mediocre WTA player Buyukakcay limited her to only three games. Also, Hibino never defeated a Top 50 player, and she never fared well against Top 10 players. She won 4 games against Sharapova, and only two against Muguruza this season. We should say that both matches were played on hardcourt, a surface that suits her much better. The difference between her and Top 10 players is even bigger on clay, especially when it comes to a good clay-court player like Halep. Simona won 6 matches in Madrid, half of them in this under, and she played against similar or better opponents than Hibino. She limited Doi to 3 games, and the Japanese is also not very good on clay, but still better than Hibino. Two year ago, this would be an ever safer bet than it is today, but with the performance from Madrid, and considering Hibino's records on clay, and how she fared against Top 10 players, this is still a great prediction. Details
  • Tennis 

    Roland Garros Myrtille Georges - Christina McHale

  • Games handicap +6 tip: 2
    23.05.2016. 13:30
    Result: 6:7 6:0 6:3
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.81
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Published: 22.05. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Honestly, I don't understand how Myrtille got the wild card for this tournament. She is 25 years old, and she never advanced through WTA qualifications. She never defeated a Top 100 player. So much about the tournaments she plays. The important thing here are the matches she played against players who are worse than McHale, but they can somehow be put in the same sentence. She lost by 9 games to Mitu, and by 7 to Hantuchova, they are the two best players she faced and she lost convincingly. If we add to that all the Top 200 players she faced, the situation is pretty clear. 160th player (lost by 6), 175th (by 7), 127th (by 10), 107th (by 9). She defeated Johansson, after a forfeit and Oprandi. Everything else were convincing defeats, not to talk about some defeats against players outside the Top 200. But the focus is on Top 200 players, and they defeated her easily, and none of them is at McHale's level. When we add to that the inability to advance through WTA qualifications, that says a lot. Also, she is coming here after three back-to-back defeats against players who are not as good as McHale. The American is coming here in good form, she recorded back-to-back wins in Stuttgart and Madrid. She defeated Pliskova and Ivanovic, played a tight match against Begu, and a tiebreak against Serena. McHale played six matches against players outside the Top 200 this season and she mostly won convincingly. She did not lose, and in the last three seasons she did not lose to such players. And when we have McHale and the French who convincingly loses to players like McHale, I think that the American will easily win here. She belongs to the WTA level, while Georges is far from that. Details
  • Tennis 

    Roland Garros Kateryna Kozlova - Ipek Soylu

  • Games handicap -5,5 tip: 1
    20.05.2016. 11:25
    Result: 3:6 6:7
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.96
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Published: 20.05. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    I have been playing safe bets on Kozlova for two back-to-back rounds and it is clear that the Ukrainian is feeling great right now and that she is on her way towards the Top 100. Her form is great, especially on clay. She reached the semi-final in Istanbul, second round at Rabat and won a set against Bacsinszky. More importantly, she demolished two players similar in quality to Soylu. She defeated Pegula by 7, and then Feuerstein by 8. When we look at the stats this season, against players outside Top 150, Kozlova mostly covered this handicap. She played 12 of those matches, won 11 of them, and in those 11 wins, she covered -5.5 handicap 8 times. That tells us how she handles players like Soylu, and it was all this season only. More impressively, her record against Top 100 players this season is 6-5, if we count in Kanepi in that group. Of those 6 wins, she covered this handicap 3 times, and three more times she won by 5, which is impressive. These are all easy wins, and she lost to Ivanovic, Vesnina, Kovinic, Bacsinszky and Witthoeft. When we look at the first two rounds here, where she demolished her opponents, I think we have the right to conclude that Kozlova will win today. She is a better player, in better form and momentum and she is playing great, Top 100 tennis. Soylu, on the other hand, has 0-5 against Top 100 players in her career. Three times she lost convincingly, twice by 4, but she did not win a set once. She clearly lacks the quality to defeat players like Kozlova. The Ukrainian is the 111th in the world, but her tennis is Top 100 quality, especially on clay. She faced players ranked from 101st-150th position three times this season and lost all of them, by 6, by 7 and by 5. All convincing defeats, like most of her matches on clay this season, and none of the players she faced were on Kozlova's momentum or her current tennis level. By 11, by 8, by 9, by 5, by 6, by 3, by 5. Those are her defeats on clay this season, five of which were against players outside the Top 200 who cannot be put in the same sentence with Kozlova. It is important to point out that she did not win a single match as the underdog. Details
  • Tennis 

    Madrid Carla Suarez Navarro - Timea Babos

  • Games handicap -4,5 tip: 1
    01.05.2016. 12:10
    Result: 3:6 6:2 6:3
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Published: 01.05. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Suarez-Navarro is a very uncomfortable player in these conditions, especially for someone like Babos. Timea did a solid clay part of the season, but like she herself said, that's her weakest part of the ear. What's more important, the way she played on clay tells me a lot. This and last season she lost with this handicap to Kerber, Vinci and Muguruza, and with a bigger difference than just five games. Two weeks ago Garbine beat her with eight games of difference Suarez Navarro is an even more uncomfortable player due to her game style. Looking at the last year and a half, only Diyas is out of Babos's rank, and Carla beat her without covering this handicap. Mostly she lost to Top 10 names and the Spaniard is very good for betting. On grass she beat Babos with three games of difference, on hardcourt she covered this one, and on clay her advantage is even more visible. I don't see this as anything else but a one-way street for Suarez Navaro. Details
  • Tennis 

    Istanbul Adrian Ungur - Grigor Dimitrov

  • Games handicap +5,5 tip: 2
    27.04.2016. 16:40
    Result: 5:7 6:4 5:7
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.85
    Published: 27.04. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Dimitrov is not playing as he was expected to play starting few years ago, but he easily dealt with players like Ungur this season. Even though he lost a set to Trungelliti in the AO, later on he beat Sela, Kudla and Krajinović with this handicap. And Sela and Kudla are much more dangerous on hard courts, it's more difficult to cover the handicap against them than it is against Ungur on clay, and Krajinović is better than any of these four. Looking at Ungur's ATP results, especially when he played much, much better, we can see he always struggled. He covered +5.5, but focusing on clay, he did it in only five of 14 matches played, and that's not a good statistics for a handicap that high. Sela can't play on clay, Lopez struggles with the return, Pospisil, and Krajinović yesterday. He didn't cover it twice against Zeballos, Robredo, Istomin, Monaco, Goffin,Garcia, Montanes and Pella recently. They're all definitely better than Dimitrov. Ungur's season has been awful, his score was 2-7 before Istanbul. I think Dimitrov can win at least one set with a double break, and that should do it. Even when he was elite challenger player, he would lose to ATP players easily, and I don't see how he can win today considering his form and the level of tennis he's been playing lately. Details
  • Tennis 

    Istanbul Marcel Granollers - Cem Ilkel

  • Total games 17,5 tip: Under
    26.04.2016. 17:00
    Result: 6:1 7:6
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.82
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Published: 26.04. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Even though the statistics aren't great when picking handicaps this big on Granollers, we should keep in mind his opponent proved this is a great chance. First, Ilkel was never top 400, and even though he gave some challenger players a hard time, it was all hardcourt. He was always worse on clay. He only got two games against Džumhur last year, and only five against Gimeno-Traver. He lost his only clay match this year to a player out of top 800. Going even further back, he only took three games from Riba on clay two years ago. That shows Cem isn't doing well in these conditions, and now he'll face Granollers who's in a good rhythm. The Spaniard finally got it, he's been waiting for it for a long time. Winning a big challenger, second round of Miami, Monte Carlo quarterfinal, second round of Barcelona. He's worth at least Top 50 ranking, and I don't doubt he'll want to continue this good rhythm, especially because he's been struggling with the results in the last two seasons, so he'd want to keep this positive momentum. Besides being an experienced ATP player, he also does his best on clay, which can't be said for Ilkel who loses every clay match against an opponent of even a little quality. I think that's what's going to happen today. Details
  • Tennis 

    Rabat Teliana Pereira - Annika Beck

  • Games handicap +4 tip: 2
    25.04.2016. 15:00
    Result: 6:3 6:1
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.86
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Published: 25.04. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Even though Beck's been having a seemingly bad season and recorded straight wins only at AO, we need to say that she didn't have too much luck with the draw. After that AO, she was not the heavy favorite in any match and lost every one of them. Three of those to Top 20 players but she also has a win over a Top 20 player. She won a set against Svitolina and Kerber and beat Giorgi easily. Things aren't so bad as they look for her. Pererira, on the other hand, is having a horrific season. It took her three months to get the first win of the season. She beat the ITF player Haddad-Maia and then got three games against Ivanovic. Teliana is 1-9 in 2016 at the moment, not counting the Fed Cup matches. 7 out of her 9 defeats were by more than 4 goals. Mattek-Sands didn't cover the hadnicap but she's in horrible form and Beck limited her to 4 games in Indian Wells just a week earlier. Pella is the other one who didn't cover the handicap but she was never in Top 200. The defeat she suffered shows what a horrible game Pereira is playing. The odds at her in that match were at 1,30. Beck is a better player or at least the same level as those who covered this handicap against Periera. I don't see why she wouldn't do that. Especially since her results are much better. The Brazilian is clearly out of it. As for h2h matches, the one defeat Beck has happened a long time ago. The one from last year was when Pererira was playing her top game, which has nothing to do with what she's doing now. Details
  • Tennis 

    Istanbul Nao Hibino - Cagla Buyukakcay

  • Games handicap +3,5 tip: 2
    22.04.2016. 14:10
    Result: 1:6 2:6
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4
    Published: 22.04. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Hibino played nine clay matches of which she lost four before coming to Istanbul. All ITF level. She's been avoiding clay throughout her career, and for a reason. Even though her style makes her a perfect fit for these courts, her movement is the problem. It's different with every type of the court, as was obvious in the first two matches in Istanbul. The 15 y.o. lead the set and had two break-points for the double break in the second set, and a player outside of top 250 took that set. Disregarding clay and all it means for Hibino, her form is awful, and these two wins here were only a mask for that. She came here in a 5-match losing run, all in straight sets, and these two wins are no proof of the end of her crisis, but quite the opposite. Buyukakcay connected WTA wins three times this season, and is obviously on her way towards the Top 100. She also beat Cirstea yesterday, who's in a good form and got a rhythm from the ITF tournaments, and is worth the Top 50 position now. The Turk is playing at home, she's playing well, and her two matches here were tougher than the Japanese's. She loves clay much better, she played better, and I think she'll take advantage of the circumstances, something that a 15-year-old and a player outside of Top 250 just couldn't do. Details
  • Tennis 

    Monte Carlo Robin Haase - Damir Dzumhur

  • Games handicap +3,5 tip: 2
    12.04.2016. 13:00
    Result: 2:6 0:6
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.92
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.6
    Min. odds: 1.80
    Published: 12.04. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    It seems o me everything here goes to Dzumhur's favor. He made it pretty difficult for him to stay in Top 100, but he confirmed he belongs there. He's been avoiding challengers and focused on ATP hard court tournaments. That's the type of court he always struggled with, and even there he took sets from Kohli, Dimitrov, Goffin, and got eight ATP wins. Haase's in bad form, winning only one match as an outsider this year, against the lost Sousa. Also, he hasn't been playing for one month due to a knee injury, and he says he's still not at 100%. Also, Damir's been playing very well this season, and passed Monte Carlo qualifiers after crushing two opponents, so you can see him being in the mood after coming to clay. Those two qualifier matches are important, because Haase hasn't played a single clay match this season. Damir's great form and Haase's weak, great qualifiers vs. a month long break. Sure, Damir knows how to make a mistake, he's had them this season, but Haase comes here with lots of doubts, too many I'm thinking, and Dzumhur's been playing great (Miami third round), and can use all his form issues by playing well. Details
  • Tennis 

    Charleston Elena Vesnina - Silvia Soler Espinosa

  • Games handicap -4 tip: 1
    02.04.2016. 18:20
    Result: 6:4 6:0
    Tipster Tommy Haas
    Odds: 1.89
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.45
    Published: 02.04. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    I bet on Vesnina a few times this season. She disappointed me twice - in AO qualifiers and against Boserup a few weeks ago. However, the slips happen but her form is clearly on the rise. The Russian is back in the Top 100 and has wins over players like Halep, Wozniacki, Garcia and Venus Williams in the last month. On top of Vesnina's good form, we have Soler-Espinosa's horrible form here. The Spaniard is 2-7 this year and the two tournaments on clay did her no good. She did horribly and recorded 6 out of 7 defeats by over 4 games. She's been losing to all kinds of players, while Vesnina did rather well in Miami. Also, this is not typical clay court - it's the green one, which means Soler-Espinoza doesn't really have an upper hand here. All the players says this surface is different than the usual clay court. Details
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Statistics
The Betprepare tipsters have a two-year experience of giving tips on regional betting website Dvoznak.com (the predecessor of Betprepare.com). You can see their overall stats and individual stats for each tipster here. *The number of complete or partial voids is shown in the brackets next to the number of winning tips
Last 50
Success rate: 26 (1) / 50
Stake / Return: 248 / 225.85 (-22.15)
ROI: -8.9%
Overall
Success rate: 6353 (255) / 11008
Stake / Return: 53584 / 57466.92 (3882.92)
ROI: + 7.2%
By months
Month Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
2021/11 1 1 4.50 + 90.0
2021/10 1 1 3.10 + 62.0
2021/09 1 1 2.55 + 51.0
2021/08 1 1 4.10 + 82.0
2021/05 3 1 -5.10 -25.5
2021/04 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
2021/03 4 1 -10.95 -54.8
2021/02 4 2 -1.35 -6.8
2021/01 8 6 (1) 7.70 + 21.4
2020/12 4 4 15.95 + 79.8
2020/11 10 3 -23.20 -46.4
2020/10 23 10 -25.85 -23.1
2020/09 27 17 (1) 12.00 + 8.9
2020/08 16 12 (1) 20.31 + 27.4
2020/07 15 8 -2.05 -2.9
2020/06 22 11 (1) -11.70 -11.5
2020/05 3 3 10.57 + 66.1
2020/03 5 4 (1) 5.80 + 23.2
2020/02 18 11 21.90 + 24.9
2020/01 22 10 -12.95 -12.6
2019/12 29 19 31.18 + 23.6
2019/11 52 28 (1) -2.49 -1.1
2019/10 53 32 20.50 + 8.0
2019/09 35 18 -14.00 -8.1
2019/08 21 15 26.30 + 26.0
2019/07 23 12 -6.00 -5.4
2019/06 32 18 (2) -6.71 -4.4
2019/05 40 22 (2) -7.02 -3.6
2019/04 30 17 (1) 1.03 + 0.7
2019/03 36 16 (2) -44.22 -25.0
2019/02 32 18 (1) 0.65 + 0.4
2019/01 40 17 (1) -49.38 -25.2
2018/12 71 49 (3) 70.74 + 20.6
2018/11 81 45 (1) 8.90 + 2.2
2018/10 64 37 (3) 6.30 + 2.0
2018/09 45 28 (3) 18.05 + 8.1
2018/08 35 20 (3) -10.40 -5.9
2018/07 17 12 21.88 + 29.2
2018/06 31 21 36.95 + 23.5
2018/05 42 24 9.79 + 4.7
2018/04 44 25 2.45 + 1.1
2018/03 31 15 -16.35 -10.2
2018/02 40 22 (2) -6.20 -3.1
2018/01 31 20 29.95 + 18.7
2017/12 40 20 -18.35 -7.8
2017/11 47 29 (2) 22.86 + 9.1
2017/10 52 31 19.05 + 6.9
2017/09 91 55 (1) 29.90 + 6.1
2017/08 54 26 (1) -27.75 -9.1
2017/07 107 63 22.79 + 3.6
2017/06 49 34 (2) 66.58 + 21.7
2017/05 51 28 -14.95 -4.6
2017/04 56 34 (2) 45.40 + 11.4
2017/03 64 43 (2) 77.40 + 18.6
2017/02 47 30 (1) 45.95 + 14.7
2017/01 50 32 (1) 62.55 + 16.0
2016/12 45 24 (1) -3.80 -1.2
2016/11 65 41 (1) 91.65 + 20.6
2016/10 93 63 (1) 111.65 + 22.8
2016/09 82 45 -6.60 -1.6
2016/08 75 51 (1) 91.00 + 23.3
2016/07 74 48 81.34 + 20.5
2016/06 84 47 26.45 + 5.9
2016/05 124 70 (1) 19.00 + 2.8
2016/04 157 84 (4) -32.17 -3.6
2016/03 177 112 (4) 138.70 + 13.6
2016/02 178 103 (3) 133.15 + 13.9
2016/01 199 110 (3) 28.38 + 2.8
2015/12 183 109 (2) 107.21 + 11.3
2015/11 309 168 (4) 38.35 + 2.5
2015/10 305 193 (4) 281.13 + 18.6
2015/09 189 107 (4) 48.56 + 5.3
2015/08 133 75 (2) 31.03 + 4.8
2015/07 210 118 (7) 47.78 + 4.7
2015/06 149 88 (3) 86.40 + 12.3
2015/05 241 115 (8) -150.52 -13.1
2015/04 274 156 (10) 58.57 + 4.4
2015/03 298 171 (10) 83.10 + 5.7
2015/02 313 195 (11) 230.50 + 15.5
2015/01 328 194 (6) 216.65 + 13.8
2014/12 231 128 (1) 46.01 + 4.2
2014/11 330 195 (8) 183.56 + 12.0
2014/10 318 171 (6) 20.89 + 1.4
2014/09 285 154 (9) 13.34 + 1.0
2014/08 201 106 (7) -30.06 -3.4
2014/07 222 118 (3) -8.40 -0.8
2014/06 219 126 (2) 118.05 + 12.2
2014/05 318 177 (6) 92.28 + 6.4
2014/04 299 167 (7) 66.55 + 5.0
2014/03 355 223 (6) 292.57 + 18.2
2014/02 329 175 (7) 18.56 + 1.3
2014/01 330 206 (12) 246.30 + 16.6
2013/12 286 169 (8) 143.15 + 11.1
2013/11 333 195 (13) 109.72 + 7.4
2013/10 444 248 (12) 125.82 + 6.5
2013/09 268 164 (14) 161.46 + 14.3

Tipsters

Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Marko 713 440 (7) 462.87 + 12.9
Bacos 614 380 (6) 461.24 + 16.1
Pedja16 1407 796 (23) 404.96 + 5.6
Ino 423 251 (3) 269.30 + 11.6
Goran 716 417 (8) 267.72 + 7.5
Legolas17 452 272 (6) 246.94 + 11.4
Doublem 246 155 (14) 150.65 + 12.8
Green 153 91 (1) 109.49 + 14.3
Spužva 277 165 (9) 109.14 + 8.3
Seeker 544 301 (25) 62.77 + 2.4
Hans 115 71 (2) 60.24 + 9.9
Blaf 122 78 (5) 60.03 + 9.2
Agger 103 60 (3) 27.05 + 5.3
Chamakh 21 14 21.87 + 21.2
Hrvi 58 35 (3) 21.50 + 7.0
Viking 26 17 16.20 + 10.5
Tim 10 7 13.24 + 28.2
HR 236 134 (7) -6.95 -0.6
Tomo 107 59 (2) -7.98 -1.4
Matko 65 33 (3) -12.07 -4.2
Makas 86 46 (1) -17.05 -3.9
Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Blaf 2 2 7.60 + 76.0
Inactive tipsters +
Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Kaziyski 493 276 230.27 + 10.1
Richardson 342 199 (4) 134.87 + 7.6
Nucky 243 139 (8) 101.41 + 8.7
Al Pacino 200 115 (1) 98.43 + 10.3
Toni 197 110 (6) 62.26 + 7.1
Kapetan 67 41 58.20 + 14.2
Medo 189 106 (2) 48.69 + 5.9
Dompa 80 48 (4) 32.62 + 9.8
Ivan 119 72 (15) 19.33 + 3.7
Nik24 29 19 (1) 15.55 + 9.4
Aco 5 3 11.21 + 40.0
Slaven 9 5 4.27 + 13.3
Jean 2 1 1.80 + 20.0
Lovac 254 133 (9) -1.58 -0.1
Davor 20 10 (1) -5.09 -6.6
Marin 3 1 -8.48 -53.0
King 7 2 -10.68 -42.7
Neco 29 15 (1) -15.77 -10.5
Klara 19 9 -18.25 -16.6
Rosca 12 5 (2) -22.63 -39.0
Hitman 12 2 -30.20 -65.7
Iguodala 18 4 (1) -50.62 -58.9
Hrvoje 113 55 (6) -62.71 -12.4

By sport

Sport Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Football Football 1660 931 (81) 204.93 + 2.7
Basketball Basketball 3528 2029 (39) 1238.85 + 6.9
Handball Handball 2270 1360 (35) 1213.25 + 10.5
Ice hockey Ice hockey 457 263 (16) 117.89 + 6.1
Water polo Water polo 75 44 39.60 + 10.5
Volleyball Volleyball 1011 574 (1) 579.02 + 12.3
Tennis Tennis 1680 954 (74) 335.15 + 4.2
Futsal Futsal 115 72 (2) 67.59 + 11.2
American football American football 103 63 (4) 43.69 + 9.3
Baseball Baseball 6 1 (1) -19.00 -82.6
Sport Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Football Football 2 2 7.60 + 76.0

Top 15 competitions

League Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Handball: Norway 1 Norway 1 97 65 134.00 + 26.7
Football: Friendly Club Friendly Club 72 52 114.12 + 30.8
Basketball: Euroleague Euroleague 335 190 (6) 99.71 + 5.7
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 211 126 (6) 94.37 + 8.7
Volleyball: France 1 France 1 91 57 92.30 + 20.9
Handball: France 1 France 1 130 76 (1) 91.95 + 13.9
Basketball: Belgium 1 Belgium 1 78 50 85.92 + 21.5
Basketball: Greece 1 Greece 1 123 75 (2) 84.50 + 13.1
Basketball: France 2 France 2 76 50 (1) 79.93 + 21.5
Basketball: Spain 1 Spain 1 253 144 73.12 + 5.5
Handball: Croatia 1 Croatia 1 27 21 72.78 + 49.5
Handball: Denmark 1 Denmark 1 98 61 (1) 71.97 + 13.9
Basketball: NBA NBA 167 99 (4) 70.38 + 8.7
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 73 47 70.37 + 20.0
Handball: Austria 1 Austria 1 40 29 70.02 + 33.0
Football: Netherlands 1 Netherlands 1 67 42 (3) 58.76 + 19.1
Basketball: Croatia 1 Croatia 1 96 59 (1) 56.75 + 11.5
Basketball: Poland 1 Poland 1 83 52 54.12 + 13.2
Ice hockey: Austria 1 Austria 1 50 34 (3) 52.67 + 24.7
Volleyball: Germany 1 Germany 1 24 18 52.01 + 42.6
League Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Football: WC Qualification Europe WC Qualification Europe 1 1 4.50 + 90.0
Football: Netherlands Cup Netherlands Cup 1 1 3.10 + 62.0

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