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Handball » Austria 1 (M), 4. round
24.09.2016. 19:00 Finished
Bregenz - Union Leoben (39:21)
Home team total goals 31.5 tip: Over   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.80 5/10 1.65 32.5 Bet365
The team over is in my opinion the best option here. I believe Bregenz will cover the first half handicap but they have been struggling with defense at the start of the season. They conceded at least 29 goals in all 5 games and 31 to Bocholt in semifinals of the Champions League qualifying tournament (20-17). However, while things aren't great defense-wise, the offensive end is much better. They got limited to under 31 only by Hard last week but that was a derby match and a clash against the best defense in the league. They scored 31 in the Supercup against Fivers and 32 against Braga in the key game for CL 32. They score as many against Krems, who are better in defense and overall than Loeben. Those kind of performances will see them score 35 today, just like in the two games last season when they scored 36 in each.

Bregenz are the main contender for the title, while Leoben have an even younger team than before. The more experienced team from last season conceded over 31 goal on average (32 away). I expect things to be even tougher for them this season. They had a lot of games at 30 or so conceded goals in preseason (Csurgo scored 27 in 40 minutes). They have the good game against WW but Schwaz and Ferlach displayed all their shortcomings. None of the teams they met so far (preseason included) had Bregenz's quality. If they managed to avoid a convincing defeat, that will be thanks to the offense and Bregenz's current defensive shortcomings. I don't see them getting out of this game with under 33.34 conceded goals.
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