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Basketball » Italy 1 (M), 28. round
23.04.2017. 12:00 Finished
Capo Orlando - Air Avellino (68:76)
Total points (OT incl.) 151.5 tip: Under   Juraj
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.82 5/10 1.70 149.5 Pinnacle
I expect a tough game from start to finish here. The only option is a total under. Capo Orlando played with Reggiana at 121 points here, Venezia at 154, Trento at 134, Sassari at 137, Pistoia at 143, Milano at 136. That means that in relevant games they have an over only with Venezia by one point. They have an under with faster-paced Brescia, Caserta, Varese. They have overs with super fast Torino and Brindisi and bottom table Cremona at 155 points. Looking at the more relevant away games for Avelino, we have Venezia at 153 points, Reggiana at 156, Pistoia at 126, Sassari at 145. There are some downsides for this tip, especially Brescia. Torino and Brindisi aren't relevant. We have their meetings in Champions League where they stayed under with all the defensive-oriented teams like Canarias, Oostende, Strasbourg, Venezia. They have unders with Pesara, Varese and Cantu. I think there is some leeway at this margin. This is a very important game for both teams. I don't think they would fall apart, the playoffs are imporatnt for Capu and they will go full throttle in defense. The first h2h is not that importnat, the stakes were much lower, Avellino went 14-for-25 from the three point range, 19-for-27 from the two-point range. I don't see them at those numvers today. Capo have better rotation today, Avellino have the second center and won't go small as much. I don't see this going over this margin.
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