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Kvitova mentioned her Madrid title so many times. OK, she won it, her last four matches at that tournament were flawless, but let's take a step back here. It is known what kind of conditions are in Madrid and that's where we draw a thick line. But, she had a slow entry on this tournament was well, she opened up Rome slowly, she was defeated by Brengle in Stuttgart in the first round, she was struggling in Dubai, Doha... All first matches on a new tournament. That's not a coincidence because it's well known that Kvitova needs time to catch her rhythm. Last year she stuggled against Diyas (7-5, 6-2) on Roland Garros, lost in Rome to Zhang in three sets. A year before that she had three sets against Rezai, three against Lisicki in Rome. Her head-to-head against Erakovic is 4-0, but only in the famed Madrid and on blue clay was it convincing (6-2, 6-3). All other three matches were really tough, last year here on Roland Garros. Erakovic's coach didn't point out the court on Roland Garros for nothing, and that the same doesn't suit Kvitova. That's no secret and it should be a big plus in this bet. When we add to it Kvitova's slow opening of tournaments, Erakovic's game which can be tricky, then I don't see a reason for Kvitova to sail through the first round.