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Tenis » US Open (W), Hard court, 2nd Round
02.09.2015. 17:20 Finished
Madison Keys - Tereza Smitkova (6:1 6:2)
Games handicap -6.5 tip: 2   Doublem
Odds Stake Min. odds Bookmaker
1.80 6/10 1.72 Pinnacle
Keys played overall 26 matches on hardcourt and grass-court, so on faster surfaces. Of the 26 matches she played, she won 16, and she covered the 6.5 games margin only twice. Once against Krunic, who has clearly been on a downward trajectory in the past weeks (six back-to-back defeats with only one set won), and against Koukalova who appears lost in a majority of her matches. So the numbers are on our side. Keys is not a player who demolishes, and that's no secret. With the earlier mentioned numbers, she only won three matches by 6 games, the rest went below. She defeated Koukalova here by six in the first round, but Koukalova had two balls for a 5-1 lead in the second set. With that, Keys didn't use her break chances in two service games in the first set. Smitkova hasn't been in form for a while now and I don't intend to convince anyone to believe that. But she has been improving and is not losing convincingly. She covered this handicap on grass-court in all of her four defeats, against Hercog and Bencic on hardcourt before US Open, while she lost with this handicap only twice in the first half of the season. She covered this handicap in five of her defeats in the first half of the season.
These are numbers that can't be ignored and they reveal a lot. Keys is not a player that demolishes with her tennis, she wins, but not convincingly. She has had some oscillations in the first round here, and I don't see a reason why it wouldn't happen today again. Smitkova can win her games by serve, if a chance opens with return as well. It is not easy to cover this margin, especially when you're facing a player who has a great serve and strong strokes. The lack of pace doesn't suit Keys, that's no secret. With that, she will be under certain pressure here because she is put into a 'must-win' situation. Smitkova is probably aware that she has nothing to lose. She can play relaxed, and wait for a chance. But she definitely has enough quality to compete with Keys, and I repeat that Keys is not a player who will play at a top level from start to finish.
Win/loss statistics
Head to head

**There is a chance that the odds shown on this page are not actual odds at this moment, due to a slight delay in processing the odds.

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