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Gerlach has problems with her serve. She won only 49% of points onthe first serve and 33% on the second against Witthoeft this year. Last year she had 46% at the first serve and 24% at the second against Beygelzimer. All these numbers clearly tell us that Gerlach has nothing to do on this level. This year Gerlach has only five matches and one long break She lost the last match with eight games of difference against a player who's not even among Top 600. This year in all of her three defeats she didn't win any games in at least one of the sets. Since I expect a similar, if not the same thing today, this margin is really too high. In the last three years Falconi beat Koukalova, Svitolina, Johansson, Larsson, Cirstea, Vecino, on clay. It's no measure for today's pick and the match itself, but it's a good show that Falconi has good wins at this surface. But let's focus on the level of her opponent today. Arango who is without ranking left her at one game this year, Arcangioli who was Top 300 left her at two games last ear. Zarazua who is Top 400 at one game. Toljan who was Top 500 at three games, Muresan (once a Top 500 player) at six games. But she beat Larsson with six games of difference, Cirstea with seven, Svitolina with five.