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Honestly, I expected lower odds on Germany to win. Preparation matches prior to this championship in which the Germans demolished Belgium three times, are the main factor for this bet. Those were the final tests prior to the championship, and Germany seemed to be doing way better than Belgium. They never lost a set, and won two with a 24 small points difference, and one with 21. Both teams started all matches with their strongest lineups. Compared to those, Germany are missing Karg here, while Belgium arrived without Aelbrecht, whose absence is more important, as Belgium are not performing very well in Italy and have so far left less of an impression than Germany. Much depends on how Van Hecke performs, which a great coach such as Guidetti will be able to counter. I don't expect him to change the roster today either. Germany was expected to do more here, perhaps even fight for a medal, which is why the coach said they will go for a win in the two remaining matches, to improve the poor impression they left up to now. Germany beat Belgium in important matches last season, while the Belgians openly say they cannot remember the last time they beat the Germans. On top of all that, the match will be played in Trieste, where Germany have already played two matches, while Belgium are arriving from Bari and had to spend part of yesterday on the trip. The Germans won seven matches in a row against Belgium, beating them when they performed much better than today, and I see no reason they should not today. The points handicap is really small if one considers the friendly matches played less than a month ago. If you don't want to tally up points in the end, play Germany to win on an accumulation bet.