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Handball » Russia 1 (M), 16. round
10.02.2016. 16:00 Finished
Zarja Kaspija Astrakhan - Perm (25:26)
Handicap +1.5 tip: 1   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.74 5/10 1.70 0.5 Pinnacle
I decided not to bet on Perm-Saratov game, even though I though Perm should have been such a heavy favorite. That game confirmed that they will struggle a lot now that some key players left. They are now a team that is mid-table material. What Kaspija did a few days ago makes me even more confident about this bet. A win over Medvedi proved they can beat anyone, even though Medvedi didn't have a good day and underestimated them. However, the win in St. Petersburg only days later was great. They were in control from the start, had a 9-point lead in the second half and left the home team with no chance. Perm used to be St. Petersburg level but they are not there anymore. Besides, Kaspija will now play home and they should be underestimate like this. I think they will win here and the +1,5 serves me as a sort of a fail-safe.

They didn't cover this handicap home only at the start against St. Petersburg. Perm, on the other hand, have 6 away wins but that was back when they were much better. They beat Stavropol and Saratov and trashed bottom-table teams like Celjabinsk back then. All of them are worse than Kaspija are now. Stavropol had a 26-26 tie with 6 minutes left on the clock, while Stavropol had a 5-goal lead in the first half. Perm are now not as good as they used to be. Even when things were better at season start, they managed to beat Kaspija by only 2 goals. They now don't have such good choice of players and the quality to destroy opponents late in games. They could struggle now, like against Saratov on Saturday. Kaspija, on the other hand, trashed St. Petersburg away. They need points here since they're in the last spot that would get them into the race for the championship. Perm are in spot 3, they will be in that race anyway but even Voronin said they cannot count on the greatest achievement anymore.
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