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Bastia started the year very good, but I doubt they can keep this pace up for a long time. As I pointed out in the preview, they have a very thin bench and the absences of six very good players (not counting the two who have been absent for a longer time) have to be felt. On Saturday five players aged 30+ played a very demanding match - the alternatives are young ones such as Djiku, Vincent and Kone with one or no league matches played. They will have fantastic support, but Rennes are an experienced and good team who is hard to beat when you're "charging" on them.
The away team are also cup specialists - in the last five years they've played three finals and one semi-finals. It's clear that they can't hit Europe through the league, but they will surely give it their best in this competition.
They're known as a quirky team, and that's why they should be avoided when they're favorites, but also force in situations like this one. Quality (individual and game-wise) is definitely on their side. Details

New Nice's offense might not do its best in the first game but I'm sure they'll be superior to Loriente. Not many teams despend on their top striker the way they depend on Ayew and if they don't get luck in a set-piece of a fast break, they will most likely not be able to score.
Nice managed to not concede a goal in 4 out of the last 8 championshp game, poor form in spite. Lorient did not score in 4 out of the last 8 games and didn't even managed to net the ball as the met third-tier Avranches in the Cup on Saturday. Details

Adelaide got lucky twice this season as they met Phoenix. We are to expect at least another tough game today, with them ailing and the opponent in great shape. I don't understand why the bookmakers regard them as such heavy favorites. Granted, visitors struggle with offense as well, but the brilliant McGlinchey and Bonevacia are still there, just like young Boyd who scored a lot of goals in the New Zealand league (5 in four games) and seems like a better option at the moment than Warland who will start for the home team. he bet will be successful even with a goalless draw, and the defense will be complete with Muscat back on the team. Details

Very good odds considering Reims had three overs in a row, Evian had two, and four of their last six matches were overs too. Their league averages are 2.71 and 2.75.
As I mentioned in the preview, the home team are playing very offensively right now and their front four players don't contribute much to defense. They also have some issues regarding goalkeepers and are missing Devaux in the middle who gave them balance. The home team have shored up their defense a bit lately, but it remains their weak point. Even if they get pressured into their own half (which they certainly won't) they can always score through the most efficient set piece executor in Europe, at least statistically, Wass. Details

I think Celtic would have problems even if they came to Zagreb complete and motivated, but considering the absences and no meaning in getting the points, they can hardly get a result. Dinamo finally caught a rhythm and started playing well. They crushed the only opponent in the national league last Saturday, and this is the only challenge they have left... basically till the end of the season. The team are almost complete, they can focus on this game, and I think they'll give at least a bit of what they owe to their fans. Details

These two teams played a few very efficient Champions League games, but I don't see any reason for this one to be productive. Galatasaray have a new coach who demands discipline and who wants a good outcome to keep the spirits high. Arsenal are here to get this game over with, hoping to be as better prepared as possible for the weekend to come. The visitors are hit with problems in offense, with Campbell and Podolski out of shape and I don't think they will play a very exciting game, especially because both those players can't wait to leave Arsenal. The defense line is virtually unchanged, with only Bellerin as the not normally being in the line-up.
The home team recorded two unders and one over since Hamzaoglu took over. We need to note that the under was the toughest of their games, while their Cup game with the reshuffled team boost the average. There were red cards, penalty kicks in that Cup game.
Stats aren't backing me up on this (even though Galatasaray have an average of 2.50 goals in the championship, while Arsenal played three unders in the last 4 games), but I think smaller stake is worth going for here. Details

I don't see a lot of point in favorizing a team who have won once on their turf, and thanks to an imaginary penalty kick (Lorient 2-1). Caen prefers to play away where their tireless forward Duhamel and fast wings come to life, unlike at home where you have to make something. Even if they didn't have defense problems, I would give the away team a 55-60% shot.
Nice have the quality, are rested and are seeing the return of their key player, and in a situation where both are motivated, I wouldn't underestimate them. Details

Judging by the starting line-up and everything they said ahead of the game, Montpellier won't take any chances for as long as the result is favorable. Offense is always the downside of their game, with three goals they've scored in the last 7 away games as a proof. They now face Rennes, who concede a single goals in the last five home games (to Marseilles).
A win at home team seems like a logical choice and won't dissuade anyone from going with it, but this option is better paid and, in my opinion, just as likely to happen. Rennes are not a super offense-oriented team, their main weapon counter attacks through Ntep, who might be fatigued, since this is his third game in a week. Also, the stats suggesting that Montpellier didn't concede in four out of the seven head-to-head games concerns me. Details

The difference in quality between ISL teams are minor and not having noe or two starters to count on often proves crucial. Chennai are down four starters today, including Elan, the top player of the league. They were defeated in Guwahati with a similar (or even better) line-up and barely managed to get the points in Kochi despite being forced to defense most of the game. I can't understand why they play the role of such a heavy favorite here.
The visitors are top-form, complete, and motivated since they still haven't secured a spot in the play-off. I think they can get at least a point, while three would not surprise me either. Details

Both teams have gone without a win for a while now, but Pune have been on a much tougher schedule lately, meeting top table Chennai twice, the most efficient team in the league Goa, and then Guwahati away. They were defeated to Cacultta Sunday and that opponent is doing much better than Mumbai.
On top of that, the visitors are forced to face Pune without their two top player Andre Moritz and Anelka, and important midfielder Stohanzl. The home team are fighting for the play off and to get back to Mumbai for the defeat and I think that makes them much greater favorites than the bookies suggest. Details

It would be realistic to expect the home team to win this, but the odds are pretty short and I can't recommend that bet. But, there's an old trick to it - if Toulouse win, Ben Yedder will score. In the six home games this season, Wissam didn't concede only twice, and in those two, they scored one each. Today, they'll be extra motivated because this is their 100th game in the Ligue 1, they scored to Lorient in the previous match, and I think their odds are better than the bookmakers think. Details

Both Arsenal and Dortmund are teams that don't exactly exemplify aggression, and when both are happy with a point and have major away matches in the league which they want to play with as few injuries as possible, I doubt we'll see many cards. The home team received six in the first four rounds, the away team just a single card.
The referee is Viktor Kassai, who has a high average, but is also an elite referee who will not cause unnecessary tension. For instance, he recently did not show a single car in the Albania - Denmark match.
Several bookmakers are holding the margin at 4.0 but i believe this is worth the risk and try with a lower. I'd go for 3.0 if I had the chance. Details

Ivory Coast need and most likely will win this game, with the goal difference being completely irrelevant for them. It can be a 1-0, 5-4, 6-0 or a 7-1 win - it does not matter. They conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 matches, just like against Sierra Leone in the first round and as faced Tanzania and Slavador, two teams that very close to Sierra Leone quality-wise.
On top of that, Sierra Leone have Kamara - possibly the most productive African striker at the moment. That makes this bet a good choice. Alhassan Kamara scored 14 goals for the Swedish Orebro in the last 12 Swedish championship rounds. Details

Antigua have been known to give Haiti trouble, but Haiti are overall in a higher class in football and can routinely deal with such opponents when in good shape. I believe they are in good shape right now, and have been improving for some time. They arrived to Jamaica with a very strong team, and their statements indicate they're serious. The group consists of Martinique and the home team, whom they're hoping to face off with for the top spot on Monday - so it makes sense they'll do their best to get three points today and rest a few starters on Friday for the 'final before the final'. Their starting 11 consists of quality European players: Placide (Reims), Goreux (Rostov), Mustivar and Alcenat (Petrolul), Sarki and Guerrier (Wisla), Louis (Standard)... All Antigua have are Francis-Angol (Motherwell), Parker (Domžale) and a few juniors from Premiership. The team's leader, experienced forward Blackstock (Nottingham), is injured. Details

Bordeaux won two derbies against Toulouse, but I don't think that's a sign of getting back in the form. Sagnol rotated all the players, changed a few tactics, and managed to find the way in the right moment. Realistically speaking, they could've lost both matches - in that case, I'd be writing about a crisis of an inexperienced team and a row of five games with no win.
Lens outplayed Toulouse more convincingly than the guests, and created problems to Marseille on Sunday... They're a rising team, young players grow with each round, they play in front of their own fans and I expect them to at least avoid a defeat. And they should definitely shake the net of the opponent that didn't manage to avoid conceding a goal since the first round. Details

Phoenix might not be the best-performing team in the league, but they are very well-organized, efficient and capable of forcing any team to drop points. They weren't successful in it in Melbourne many times, but they probably never met Victory when the opponent had such a weak team as they do now.
Phoenix are well-rested, all the players are at coach's disposal and I believe they will at least stay very close till the end. Even if the home team wins, the odds are still good enough. Details

United aren't your typical "under" team, but they played very carefully in all big games this season. In the last six games against top 5 teams, they went over 2.5 goals only once, when they scored three goals against Kansas in seven minutes (ending up winning 3-0). They stayed under in all three games this year against the Red Bulls, and in seven out of the last eight games. The home team are tired and won't be able to impose the rhythm they usually force in Harrison. Henry's 37, Cahill 34, and the first scorer of the league, Wright-Phillips, really depends on them, because he usually just tips the ball in. Details

The odds are set only based on the stats the teams have at the moment. Granted, with only one yellow card per game, Montpellier are the best team in the championship when it comes to fair-play. Evian are mid-table with one and a half but we need to realize this is a duel between two very frustrated teams who desperately need good result. The referee appointed for the game is the strict Lesage.
All of their 6 last season's head-to-head games were over this margin, and only one ended at 4. Details

I see no reason for the home team to be such heavy favorite. They were in the battle to avoid relegation a few rounds till season's end while Tours fought for the top 3 spots. The teams have not changed that much over the summer.
The visitors were greatly affected by losing their top scorer Delort. Without him, coach Pantalni no longer had the chance to push his ambitious tactics, but he was sacked last week. The newly-appointed coach Dujeux is more cautious and Tours are finally expected to start doing well. They lost the derby match in Chateauroux after conceding a goal in stoppage time. Tours can count on winger Ketkeo today and all the other players.
Laval are mid-table, but recorded only two wins so far and staggering 9 draws. The tenth draw would be no surprise, especially since they can't count on forward Bekamenge (9/3, last season 37/18). Monfray is injured as well and the rest of the team tired from the league cup game in Nantes. Coach Zanko didn't give any of his players a break. Only Diallo, who recovered from the injury, had some time off. Details

I think it pays out to force an over on Melbourne for the second week in a row. Maybe they won't pass as easily as they did with Victory, but it's realistic to expect three to four goals.
The home team have trouble with their defense which they can't get rid of so quickly and it's obvious they will have trouble until they get at least one quality back. On the other hand, they have Villa (for whom this is probably his last match and who wishes to say goodbye in proper style); the wing duo Mooy-Duff are functioning great and, as the coach says, the offensive is the least of their troubles.
Under Gombauo Adelaide are always playing an open game, especially now when they started doing well with the scores. Twice they stayed an under, but each time they scored (like City) and it would be a surprise if they don't manage to do the same against the most porous opponent so far. As was the case last Friday, for the more cautious among you, I would suggest the both-teams-score option, but I think it's worth to try with a braver option. Details