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I think this is a classic case of overrating a big-name team and I will try to make use of that. The French may be slight favorites on account of home court, but Chile seem more experienced and, at least for the moment, a better team. They are also better organized as they have been playing together for two years while the home team have played only three games with this squad. Details

I don't think the Czech are favorites here, as they are coming without their best players, the selector yet has to pick up all the details and in their last match they played a tied game with Norway, who are not stronger than Finland at the moment.
The home team have been together for a long time, did a good job in the World Championship qualifiers and are eagerly awaiting the next cycle. A victory such as this one would be a big boost for them. Of the more important absences there are Moisander and Eremenko, for whom they've got replacements with perspective, Mantyla and Ringo. Details

Dordt showed a lot more throughout the season, but Sparta got top-form in the right moment, so I don't understand why the bookmakers make them out to be underdogs at home. In the previous round, they eliminated the first league club NEC with two wins, and they were the absolute favorite of the qualifications.
They were guests in the last round of the regular part in Dordt, and they had a tie 0-0 with a team weaker than one today. Today, both of them will be complete, more or less, and the best forward Voskamp (23/12) will sit on the home team's bench for the first time since February, so he could be coach Kruys' secret weapon.
By the way, these are local rivals: Sparta are the eldest Dutch professional club, and the traditional first league club, while Dordt only had a few seasons in the elite rank, and Sparta often used them as a B-team. Details

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Based on the principle "one of them needs it, the other ones don't", everyone decided that the guests will win, and it brought a nice value on the already underestimated Nantes. The home team are in a good form for two months now, they only lost an away match against Monaco, and nothing suggests they'll play relaxed - quite the contrary, they announce a decent goodybe to fans, the stadium is having a jubilee... ASSE aren't out of form either, but the can't be 55% and more favorite here. In this moment, only against Ajjacio and Valenciennes. They have more absences problems than the home team, their tradition on Beaujoire is awful, and in the end, the coach admits he doesn't expect Lille to make two blunders, so they'll focus on defending the fourth place. Details

The favorite here is doing quite bad offense vise, they also might be lacking motivation against the opponent who, first and foremost, want to avoid another failure. Both teams' offenses are weakened: CAB can't count on Pastorelli and Mandrichi, Clermont on Capelle and Bettiol. The home team recorded 8 unders in 11 games, the visiting team 15 in 16 games. Their only recent head to head game was an under...
Even if this wasn't French second division, it would be worth a shot. But, it is and these odds are definitely worth a higher stake. Details

We can thank Montpellier's festivals of goals in the last weeks for the odds being this high, but those happened in different scenarios than the one today, and they were regularly joined by sending offs, penalty kicks, etc. ASSE are generally a "boring" team at home who usually wins games like these 1-0, and in the last nine, they went over 2.5 goals only against Valenciennes and Sochaux where they scored three. Today, they're without the offensive "good luck charm" Brandao, one of the two offensive midfielders including Cohade and I doubt it will be inspiring. They don't have a reason to run, either, they will stay the fourth with a tie, even if Lyon defeat Marseille with one goal difference.
Montpellier definitely confirmed staying in the league and can play relaxed. A point from Guichard and three against Bastia would probably be enough for the 10th or 11th place, which would be a nice success considering everything that happened. Their defense is weakened a little bit, but the most important goalie Jourdren is coming back, and the line Deplagne-Congre-El Kaoutari-Jebbour doesn't look that bad.
Of the last five matches they played, only one went over, last year's 4-1, and then, the key roles were played by Cohade, Brandao and Aubame who isn't in the club anymore. Details

Two months ago, this fixture got the best of me but I have to try again for these odds. Rennes have been blowing hot and cold in the league, but this is the Cup - a chance to win the first club trophy in 43 years and they are bound to approach this game very seriously. In that case, they're at last 60% favorites against Guingamp.
Apart from advantage in terms of quality and organization, they will also have the advantage in the form of the pitch at the Stade de France as everything that Guingamp have achieved was at their "potato field" where they make up for lack of quality with dedication and persistence. Coach Gourvennec has said that they cannot allow Rennes to take control of midfield but he is also aware that Sankhare and Mathis can match Makoun, Konradsen and Doucoure only in a physical game. Their strength lies in long balls and counters, which will be of less use in these conditions.
The outcome without a draw is offered at the same odds but I think it's worth going for the final outcome - Rennes have more experience, especially in big games, and they have their keeper Costil who's an excellent penalty saver. Details

Lens will go after a win in front of their 40 thousand fans, a win that would take them a step away from the first league. They missed their first chance last Saturday against the team who are in the best mood in the league right now, Nancy (1-1), but the tired, weakened and disappointed Angers look like a much easier task.
The guests were defeated against Caen on Monday, and lost any real chance for the top 3, and they also got three starting team players injured - the back Bouka Moutou, and the midfielders Auriac and Boufal. Without the longer absent Keita, Ben Othman and Ayari, they come handicapped, especially in the middle where the main strength of the home team lies. Ayari is the team's second striker (32/9).
Lens are still missing the defenders Yahia and Tisserand, and coach Kombouare has the chance to get the offensive routine player Ljuboja back to the team. They already defeated Angers twice with 2-1 in the away matches - in the league and the league cup. Details

Chateauroux have not lost a single point against any team outside of Top 6 since September and that should stay the same against Laval who are coming without some of their best player. The home team are in a favorable position - they have 2 points more and an easier draw until the end while the hosts will have to risk more, which should open up the space for Bourgeois and Makeng. I will rely on the former as Laval's right side of defense has been their sore spot from the start of the season. Laval were the better team on only one occasion in last 9 games and it was when they played at home last season and the red-and-blues were completely uninterested and without half of their team. There will be no "freebies" today. Chateauroux are motivated, almost complete and in a better form. Details

The motivated Lyon on Gerland against the weakened, uninterested Bastia who play this as an away match - I think it's more realistic to expect three balls in the guests' net.
This could be the easiest game for the home team in the last two months, a chance for them to relax a bit and play the football they play best - aggressive and creative. The main playmakers are still missing, but that will be a true test for the young players like Ferri and Fekir. Lacazette and the rest Gomis will know ho to use whatever they serve them. I said that Bastia started their summer break three or four rounds ago, and they proved me right in the meantime. They put in a bit more effort in the local derby, but the match was still ended in the final moments - thanks to the goal of the defender they won't have today. The offense still looks decent, Khazri and Raspentino are in good form, but the patched up defense is more likely to have a debacle than to stop the home team. Details

The Caps have played very defensively in all three away games this season and they managed to get a point twice but they only scored against Chivas and that was after playing with an extra man for 60 minutes. Salt Lake have conceded only one goal in all three home games and that goal came against the LA Galaxy.
The whole team will make extra sure to push their keeper Rimand (who had several top-notch saves on Saturday) to a record, which is certainly doable against the unambitious visitors. Their reliable quartet of Beltran-Borchers-Schuler-Wingert is complete, as is their defensive midfielder Beckerman and I think going against the dangerous Caps is also a good bet. Details

A match where nobody will calculate. Reims can play in a relaxed manner, they are fighting for higher ranking, and a point means little to Sochaux in their battle for survival, so they have to take chances as well. As I said in the preview, both their offenses are rising in form - home team's due to Diego recovering, away team's as Ayew is awakening. Reims have not defended in eight matches and are missing two standard starting defenders, Sochaux have not defended in an away game since last season. Details

Nice odds for a player that has scored five goals in last two games against much weaker opposition. Dempsey is currently "flying" and if Seattle win, he will definitely play a major role. Since the bookies seem to favor a win for the away team and over 2.5 goals, it's reasonable to expect at least two goals in Kennedy's net. Details

"Kansas against closed off opponent" is one of the combinations I played often, and I can't pass it today with the odds set. The guests new coach Klopas is known for his bunker in every difficult away match, and last year, he defended against Chicago in an early phase on Sporting Park, and no doubt he'll try that again. He might make it, he might now, but either way, I don't see home team scoring over two goals, especially now that their offense isn't working completely yet.
Can the guests do something? They always can with Di Vaio, but that would cause the real "parking the bus", whether it was the lead or a tie. EIther way, I have to say I like the net untouched and I recommend that option, as well.
Here's the short of the statistics: Kansas four out of five unders in the league, Impact four out of six, matches they played against each other, three out of four. Details

I suggested a bet on Amiens in February that was not successful because two of their players were sent off, but everything I expected to happen in that game did happen. As soon as the offensive signings started functioning as expected, so did the rest of the team. They have recorded five wins and three draws since then, and won every home game by at least two goals. They are playing Lucon home today, a team who are bravely trying not to be relegated, but who are still not in the safe zone. The last round game against Colomiers, who are in en even greater danger of relegation, showed once again they are not lacking fierceness, despite playing the second half with only 10 players. They managed to score an equalizer in injury time.
Lybohy is still not at their disposal, just like the injured forwards Bure. But coach Echouafni still has a lot more dangerous weapons at his disposal. More than his colleague Reuleau anyway. I believe that will get quite obvious in the game. Details

The Revs are playing good week in week out, they dominate the possession, the create good chances, and the only thing that's missing are goals. A home game against the defensively weakened Houston is a real chance for testing your players, all the more so as Fagundez and Sene will finally get the roles that suit them better. Heaps has so far forced his targetman Bunbury, who wasn't of much use and introducing an additional midfielder will give the fast duo even more chances and will open up some space for Chalie Davis to come from the bench as he is on his way of becoming a useful sub. In away games, Houston mostly rely on set pieces so (considering the injury of B. Davis) it's worth thinking about a clean sheet, but I have more faith in the home team's forwards so a win for the home team is a better option. Details

Real good odds for a bet with low risk. It's hard to believe that Lorient who didn't defeat anyone in their away matches, could end their streak against Nice who are in a better form, better mood, extremely strong at home, and are simply better. It seems the market overvalued the home team's absences: their offense is definitely weakened, but the young Maupay knows his way on Allianz Arena, there's also the proven Bautheac, Eysseric who might be in the best form of his life, and whoever comes to substitute Bosetti (I assume Pied), will be eager to prove themselves because that position is now open till the end. On the other hand, Jouffre got injured for the guests, and he's been one of their better players for the entire spring. There's something else, too. Coach Gourcuff is leaving the club, the atmosphere is not the best, and we can't really expect them to get spectacular results, like winning in Nice. Another interesting statistic: Gourcuff and Puel met seven times as coaches, and the ratio is 0-3-4. Details

The local derby against Maritzburg was the last chance for the Arrows to shake-up and start doing better ahead of the season's final. But, they seemed unmotivated once again, and lost almost without creating a single proper attempt. They now have to, being tired and demoralized, do an away game against Ajax, who have both motivation and quality (despite not being able to count on some players), and who also have two more days off. I think they won't have any significant problems here.
The odds at their win are not good, but the best thing when it comes to Ajax is relying on the defense. They might have all the defenders at their disposal, and they didn't concede a goal in 4 out of the last 6 home games. The Arrows are, with 17 goals scored, the least efficient team in the league: they scored one goal in the last 500 minutes, and didn't score a single one in 8 out of the 12 away games. Details

Very good game to try this. On one hand, frustrated Marseille will soon start losing their nerves if things don't go their way and on the other hand,, Ajaccio will be forced to some desperate moves if things don't go their way. They are facing the strictest referee in the league Castro, who has given red cards in 5 out of 12 games this season.
The home team are the only team not to have gotten one apart from Monaco, and the only reason is that they are not forced as they any more fair-play oriented than any other team. In terms of yellow cards, they hold the 7th spot with 54. Details