betprepare.com

None of these two teams can boast with a great shape, but Osasuna did play against difficult opponents in the last two rounds, Villareal and Athletic. They're also playing at home today, which is more often than not a great advantage for them. Getafe are playing really bad, and the last time they won was long ago, last year. They were defeated in the last four championship away games without even scoring a goal. Two important starting eleven players are coming back for the home team today (Arribas and Silva) which is definitely a big plus for Pamplona team.
These are two pretty evened out teams, but considering the home pitch, the current shape, and players coming back, the home team should definitely be a favorite. I won't take a clear win by the home team here even though that bet should be tried, but I think playing the Asian handicap -0.25 for Osasuna has a value here. In case of a tie, half of the stake will be returned, and the bet will be a full win if the home team wins. Details

I expected the odds for the home team's win to be about 1,7-1,8 and I was pleasantly surprised when I saw them. In my opinion, the home team should be much bigger favorites than the guests today. Rayo's game style is focused on offense completely, and that's why they were defeated 15 times in the championship so far. The offensive game could work if Rayo's forwards were in a better mood, but they just can't score as much as their hollow defense can concede. Even though Jemez is under more and more pressure, even before they went to Levante for an away game, he said he doesn't intend to give up on his game. I don't know why the odds set the odds so high on the home team, maybe they considered the cup match, but Levante played with the substitutes in the cup. Looking at only this year (the championship), Levante play very well, they defeated Malaga and Sevilla, and got one point against Barcelona, and we can all agree those are all opponents that are stronger than Rayo. Home team have almost no absences issues, maybe only Hector Rodas could get a chance from the players who are missing. On the other hand, Rayo are dealing with absences for ages. I'm really attracted to the home team's win which is valued with high odds here, so that's why I chose this bet today. Details

It seems like a rule - as soon as we're talking about Emery's Sevilla, the bookmakers give low odds for over. It makes sense in a way because he's an offensively oriented coach, but we have to draw the line here. A very defensively oriented team are coming to Sanchez Pizjuan today, and they'll close off hard, you can see it from the players' statements, and they'll be looking for their chances using counterattacks. At the beginning of the season, home's team defense playing unevenly, and numerous absences, worked well for Sevilla's over, but the situation is dramatically different now. If you take a look at the goal stats, you can see Sevilla didn't concede more than one goal since October. On the other hand, Levante conceded over one goal only against the strongest teams (Valencia, Atletico, Villareal).
I'll bet on under 3 goals, which means we'll get back the stake if three goals are scored on the game, while the bet will be a full win if under three goals are scored. I expect a tough game here, and a typical Levante, a match that will be just like those that these two teams played before. In the last five games between Sevilla and Levante were these: 0-0, 1-0, 0-0, 1-1 and 1-0. Something like that could happen today, as well. Details

I've had many ideas for bets on this game - goals, handicap, away win, and they all come down to two things - Villarel's quality and Valladolid's lack of quality. I chose to go for the simplest one which has value in my opinion - goals by Villareal.
In the three games in 2014, Valladolid have won only 1 point against the last-placed Betis in a game in which the aim for both teams was not to lose and the game without too many real chances. Valladolid were crushed in the remaining two games against Granada an Athletic. On the other hand, Villareal have gotten 9 points and 12 goals in that period are very impressive at the moment, a real Champions League candidate.
Villareal have won five away games this season against Almeria, Osasuna, Elche, Levante and Rayo and they are all teams on the same level as Valladolid or even stronger. They suffered defeats against Barcelona, Athletic, and Betis, and only the latter can be regarded as a blunder. Valladolid's form at home is not too great, they've only won here twice (Getafe and Celta) and I see no reason why a team like Villareal couldn't get all three points here. Absence should not play a too vital role for the away team today. Yes, they're coming without their captain but they've shown they can play without him and the fact that Valladolid are without Marco Valiente is a much more decisive factor for me. After all, Valladolid's biggest problem is that key players from the previous season like Patrick Ebert are having injury problems this season and can't seem to find the right form.
Away team's strikers are in great form, especially Uche who scored 11 goals in 12 games and seems to score when he feels like doing so and Valladolid's leaky defense is a godsend for him. You could see how Villareal handle leaky defenses in their recent away game at Rayo.
A survey among Spanish football fans has recently shown that Valladolid are among the teams most likely to be relegated. I agree with this view and even though the bottom part of the Spanish league is very even, the hosts will have to find their way out of relegation zone against team at their own level.
I decided to go for a total number of goals for the away team for a moderate stake. I believe Villareal's great attack will score at least twice today. Details

If we only look at the stats, Celta might not seem better than Betis, but the stats don't tell the whole story. Celta have played three league games since the start of the second part of the season and they have lost two and won once, which is not a too great result, but we have to stop and explain those. Celta was first defeated by Real (3-0), but managed to keep things at 0-0 for more than an hour. They created some very good chances but failed in the end and lose the game. Against Espanyol, their players played great but were unlucky and conceded a goal in the final stages. At home, they beat very good Valencia in a game which Celta played superbly, especially in the second half when they turned the game around.
On the other hand, Betis took a point against very poor Valladolid where they actually played without risking too much, just like the hosts, and it seemed both teams settled for a point in this game. They were terrible in the remaining two home games and were defeated twice (Real Madrid and Osasuna). In their last 13 league games, Betis only got 2 points which says enough about their form.
The away team have undergone a managerial change as a coach without any experience in Spain took over, and it's very questionable just what he can do in only a few days. His talks about good atmosphere on the training ground aside, it's obvious this team is not functioning well and you could see in Ruben Castro's attitude in the last round.
Taking everything into consideration, Celta's chances to take the points are much higher here, but I will go for a slightly safer Asian handicap -0.25 which means half the stake is returned in case of a draw. Details

Elche are in a poor form and Sevilla in great. Elche are without several important first-team players, most notably keeper Herrera and center-back Botia, while all players are in the mix for Sevilla. Elche's results at home are not too good as they have 5 defeats in 9 games and have lost last four out of five at home (failed to score a goal on all four occasions). Sevilla have 3 wins in 9 away games but all 3 came against last 3 away games (Villarreal, Granada i Espanyol) and they even played arguably the best game of their season. The atmosphere this week was improved by Ivan Rakitić who extended his deal with Sevilla and all signs point to an away win here. The odds on Sevilla have been dropping since yesterday but I will still go for a slightly safer option and betting on Sevilla through Asian handicap -0.25. In case of a draw, only half of the bet is lost while it it will be a complete win if Sevilla wins. Details

Odds set for this game would be okay if you would consider only the games so far and the placement in the league, but I'm under the impression that the bookmakers didn't consider all the things they should have.
Osasuna's result should be analyzed having in mind all the absences they had problems with throughout the whole season. Even like that, Osasuna started getting better results when Javi Gracia came, and he'll have the full line-up for the first time since he came. Osasuna were without Arribas, Oriolo, De las Cuevas, Nino and Silva, all of them being in the starting eleven, and will play from the first minute today.
On the other hand, the guests had a flu epidemic, and a few players didn't go to Pamplona because of that. Okay, media can be overly dramatic when writing about eight players, because those that got sick are not all in the starting eleven, but Fuentes and Sanchez are. The forwards Stuani and Garcia are also regulars, but they're questionable. Even if the latter two are in the line-up today, it's clear they won't be in their best shape considering they didn't train in full capacity this week. There's also the home pitch advantage. At the beginning of the season, Osasuna played a bit worse at home, but they're a home team traditionally, and have been playing better each time on their El Sadar lately. Besides, neither Real nor Barcelona managed to win here this season.
I was thinking about taking the clean 1, but I finally decided for a safer bet of the Asian handicap -0,25 for the home team, which has a great value. In case of a tie, we can get half of the stake back, and the bet will be a full win if Osasuna win. Details

Looking at the percentages, the bookmakers give about 40% probability that the home team will get three points, and 35% that the guests will do the same. I think they're overestimating the guests and underestimating the home team. Betis played eight away games this season, and got only one point (1,9 against Espanyol). Their goal difference is an embarrassing 6-24. I don't mean to say that Betis are a team who are better at home, because the facts show the green-whites are miserable no matter where they play this season. Sometimes changes of the coach create a positive shock in the team, but that wasn't the case with Betis. Quite the opposite, it seems that Betis with Garrida are even worse than they were with Melo. He managed to kick out the third league Lleida since he came, and get a tie in an unimportant game with Rijeka, but the two most important matches, the one against Real Sociedad and Almeria in the championship, they lost. One of the reasons for their bad playing are the absences, and there are some today, but the players who recovered are not playing as expected.
Valladolid aren't that great this season, either, but their last game against Celta, who they defeated convincingly 3-0, is remembered. Valladolid were losing to Athletico at home, and Atletico, and they're a whole other world, and also to Osasuna who are a completely different team than Betis are. If nothing, Osasuna have a great defense, while Betis concede three goals per away game, and are defeated in the handicap.
Since Valladolid aren't a team that you can rely on 100%, I'll go for a safer bet, the outcome without the tie, and that's also paid very well. That means our stake will be back in case of a tie, while it will be a winning bet if the home team wins. The braver ones could try the handicap -0,25 for the home team, that is, the clear win. Details

Why exactly is according to the bookmakers Granada a favorite for the win today? If we look at how the teams are currently doing, Real are definitely performing better, they've lost only once in the last eight rounds - at Santiago Bernabeu. I saw Granada's game against Rayo last round, and they played really well, but they are still in the penultimate position in the table. Besides, they are on a bad streak, so that game isn't a real reflection of their quality. Real are out of this space compared to Rayo. Just to add, playing home wasn't really an advantage for Granada. They won twice and lost six games at this stadium.
The bookmakers may have taken into consideration the players Real can't count on today. And I agree, Mike Gonzalez is an important player, but Ion Ansotegi has been doing a good job replacing him so far, and I fail to see why the same wouldn't happen today. The situation is similar with De la Bella, but he is not as important as Gonzalez. The other players who will miss the game have been out for a while now. I think that the visiting team should play the role of the favorite for the win here. For the bet on the visiting team without a draw as an outcome, you can find odds over 2,00, which I think is great, and you shouldn't miss on it. For the more courageous among you, a clean bet on the visiting team is also a possibility, but I'll settle for this bet. Details

I will got for over 2.5 goals here. Perhaps this might seem like a strange choice for the first game of the finals but I have enough reason for it. The most important thing is the offensive orientation of both teams. They have had their ups and downs this season but both teams have forced offensive football in the play-offs. In the four play-off games so far Leon have played 3-3, 4-0, 3-1 i 2-2, while America got 2-2, 1-1, 1-2 i 2-0, which means that the visitors have 2 unders but both at the Aztec stadium where the guests usually park the bus. No team can beat America at Ciudad de Mexico without many problems and because of this Leon's chance lies in the home pitch where they could chase the advantage today. However, considering their defensive lapses and the offensive potential of the away team, this could very easily turn into a goal-fest.
I would also like to mention the offensive caliber that the two teams have. Playing for the home team we have the league top-scorer Mauro Boselli (14 goals) and along with him we have Franci Arizala (3 gola), Matias Britos (3), Eisner Loboa (4), Carlos Pena (4) and Hernan Burbano (3). It's easy to see that Leon will be in danger from all positions which is logical considering Matosas's game. On the other hand, the away team have Raul Jimenez (8 goals), Luis Mendoza (3), Narcis Mina (5), Luis Gabriel Rey (5) i Rubens Sambueza (5). So, a similar situation like with Leon. We have two offensive teams and the odds are 1,74 for under and 2,04 for over. The average odds for an over at 2,04 is an equivalent of a 49 % chance that there will be goals and in my opinion the chance for this is more like 55-60 % which means the more realistic odds would be 1,75. Because of this I think over has a huge value and I will go for it here. You can still get it at 2,10 at some bookmakers which is great. Of course, both teams to score is also an acceptable option. Details

In my opinion, betting on Olimpo today has a huge value even though this is a match between two relegation candidates that are at the bottom of Torneo Inicial.
To begin with, Olimpo are in a good form, they have 3 wins in a row, they haven't conceded a goal in 3 rounds and I am sure they want to say farewell to 2013 with a win in front of their fans. The points are even more valuable as they are playing against the direct relegation competition and a potential win would probably see Olimpo climb out of the danger zone.
Colon have not won in 13 rounds. No one from the Santa Fe team is focused on football and how could they be when the players have to think about their existential problems. At this point, there is an ongoing discussion about the solution to take over the club and settle all debts. That is the only way Colon could be saved. Their games are a borderline disaster. They have been defeated 11 times in 17 rounds (the game against Rafaela has not been played but will probably be registered as a 3-0 win for Rafaela) and they have socred only eight goals which is less than half a goal per game. Their defense is leaky and will miss two standard first-team players. They have the desire but Colon simply cannot match the rest of the first-division teams.
I played against Colon last weekend and I will do so today. There is no reason not to take advantage of the problems the guests are currently facing. Details

Real Sociedad played over in all the last six games, while Espanyol also went over 2,5 goals in the last two occasions, and even three times in the last five games. The last three games between these two were played in Barcelona, and all went over 2,5 goals (2-2, 2-2,4-1). Considering that neither of these two teams are brilliant in the defense, I think this bet is worth taking. Bookmakers have set the odds that there probably would be less, rather than more goals, but I'm personally more attracted to the latter bet, that there will be more goals. Lack of focus in the defense can't be a coincidence, and both teams showed they have great offensive weapons, Sergio Garcia and Jhon Cordoba on one side, and Carlos Vela, Imanolo Agirretxe and Haris Seferovic on the other side. Beside this bet, you could also try a bet that both teams will score, that is, the Asian handicap of over 3 goals. Details

Disorder rules in Colon, and in a situation like that, it's hard to focus on football. When the players are forced to worry about their own survival, when there are no results, and the fans are threatening, it's hard to expect a good performance and game from the black-reds. On the other hand, Velez are in a lot better shape than before. Their chances for the title are only theoretical, but as long as they exist, they'll keep hoping, and try to do their job, so I think it's smart to bet on them. Considering this is an extremely unpredictable Argentinian league, I'll take a lower stake on the guests' win. Also, I think it's worth betting on the home team not scoring, or both teams not scoring which is also valued with some nice odds. Details

I think that Boca might not have what it takes to win the championship - they are not doing best against the greatest teams. I do have great respect for the team and I think they are among the best ones in the league, but Velez, Newell's, San Lorenzo, or Lanus are in this moment slightly better. However, the Argentinian championship is tied, everyone is dropping points, and the championships are won in ''small'' games. That is exactly what Boca have been doing best this season, especially as Bombonera. Boca's record at their home stadium is 6-1-1. They lost only to last season's champion Newell, despite being better - too many mistakes on their part caused the defeat. Boca was in the lead till the very end against Rosario but failed to win. They have almost all the players at their disposal today, and the most important thing is that Riquelme is on the team - they play much better with him. They may not be the best club in the league, but they can win the championship and I believe they will try to do so.
The visiting team are in poor form, they have a bad coach and that's a great handicap despite getting rid of Falconi. New coach Rodriguez decided to make a number of changes after only a few training sessions, which won't make it any easier for them today. The All Boys' record away this season is 0-2-5, with a horrific goal difference of 2-10.
You can get odds over 1,70 on Boca's win, which is great. Home team's win in a game like this one in a better-known league would not have odds over 1,4-1,5. Details

Valencia haven't been doing brilliantly this season, but we can't just ignore all the players who will miss the game for the home team. Even if Elche had all the players at their disposal, Valencia would still be the favorite for the win. To bet on Valencia is even easier today.
The visiting team have been winning this season almost exclusively if they managed to get through a game without conceding any goals. That, sadly for them, didn't happen many times. But, goalkeeper Diego Alves is back today, and he is much better than Vicente Guaita. On the other hand, most of Elche's players who will miss the game are forwards and midfielders.
Elche haven't been in great form, they managed to win only once home this season, which makes Valencia the favorite for the win today. I opted for an Asian handicap +0 for the visiting team (the game won't be a draw) bat because you can get great odds for that, and because Valencia are not very consistent. Anything over 1,65 for this option has a value, and you can still even get around 1,80. In case of a draw, you'll get what you put in back, and you'll be successful in case Valencia wins. Details

Barcelona are Barcelona an there is no question they will get the points today, but in my opinion they are a bit overrated. Their win is currently at 1,10 or maybe a bit more, while the margin for the Asian handicap is at 2.5 goals. It is true that Barca can crush anyone, especially at home but the bookmakers seem to have forgotten whom this Barcelona team will be missing. We can all agree that playing without Lionel Messi, Victor Valdes, and Xavi Hernandez is a huge handicap and Barcelona are simply not the same team without the Argentine wizard.
Looking at the stats, we can see that Granada have not lost here by more than two goals since coming to the top-division (2 seasons) and this would go through for my tip.
So, we shall bet on the away team and give them a 2.5 goal advantage which means the bet will go through in any case if Granada lose by less than 3 goals. In my opinion, considering the entire situation, the margin should have been reduced to 2 or 1.75.
Since Barcelona are a home team and still have a deep squad at their disposal, I wouldn't put a high stake here, but something at about 3/10 definitely has value. The odds are solid and we should see a total destruction by the home team for the bet to fail.
Details

I don't see any reason why Betis are considered as such strong favorites. Their only advantage is the home pitch and considering that their fans have something against their coach, I wouldn't consider that a huge advantage. The home team's game and form are rather poor, even in the games that they don't lose they are awful and Pepe Melo's departure is imminent regardless of the support from the club chairman. One could get past all that if it weren't for all the absent players. Ruben Castro has been missing from the start and he was the best striker last season and you can measure his effect in the handicap. In addition, their crucial midfielder Xavi Torres is out for the past few rounds and the results have been poor since. There is also the reliable center-back Paulao, and solid Guillermo Sara, Nosa, Lolo...These are big problems and you can't make up for them just like that.
One the other hand, we have Levante, a team that everyone tends to underestimate. They have no stars, their game is not attractive but they simply don't lose. They did lose this season against Barcelona (7-0) when the team wasn't organized and against Real Madrid when they took the lead with 3 minutes to go and then conceded 2 in extra time. But then again, it was Real Madrid. The guests are improving, and you can see that in their situation. They are going for their traditional game, they will protect their goal and wait for a chance from the counter. Because of this, I will go for X2 (Asian handicap +0.5 on Levante) but one should also go for a win no draw, or a clean win. Of course, the latter would go with smaller stakes. Details

The preview says it all, the home team are without a coach, without coaching staff and ten national team players and have also been defeated by Alajuelensea from Costa Rica in the Champions League and this team is far below Puebla's quality. As Puebla's players say, America are still America, but the away team have an ideal chance and they will try to use it. This seems like good bed for me. Details

I just can't believe the odds for this game. We have a home team in terrible form that is fighting to avoid relegation, and the guests who are trampling everyone this season and who are solid contenders to win the title in this competition. You can see the priorities from the Brazilian coach, and after browsing some football sites in Latin America this morning I came across his statement that the game against Atletico Paranaense is much more important for him, and that he is aware that he will have a hard time closing the game from the first leg. Nacional's biggest strength is their strong defense, and as the home team have to go for the win today, there will be lots of space for the visiting team's forwards. In my opinion, the odds are completely missed here, and the home team are only favored because they come from Brazil. Nacional have already crushed Bahia in the first leg, eve though the result does not reflect that due to poor conversion, but the guests are definitely the favorites against Bahia's second or combined first and second team. Going for X2 is an option here, a clean win, or the Asian +0,25 handicap or -0,25 on the away team. Personally, I will got for +0 or win no draw result, which means that the bet is valid if Nacional win, and the stake is returned in case of a draw. Details

It is hard to understand why Tigre are nominated as a favorite against the only unbeaten team in the league. The only reasonable explanation could be the fact they play well at their home ground or maybe the fact visitors have recently won the Cup. However their players stated that this success won't slow them down and that they will look for all three points today. Arsenal are just behind the league leaders who could lose a point or two in their city derby so visitors will do their best to win 3 points and come closer to the leader. It is worth mentioning that in last nine games between this two clubs, Tigre only have won once, once there was a draw and Arsenal recorded seven wins. Home pitch was not an advantage for Tigre in last four matches against Arsenal as the visitors recorded three wins and one draw. Visitors are better team and are nominated as underdogs here so there is a great value to play on them. In order to be secure I choose to play draw no bet on Arsenal and for a smaller stake a straight away win could be tried also. For a draw no bet in case of a draw our stake will be returned. Details