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Without Tyutlin, Storozhylov, Kapelus and Iereshchenko, this Ukraine is far weaker, I'd say by about 60-65%. They are without Tomyn as well, the second-choice player who fit in the team well. The Spaniards may not be as strong as they were in recent years but they're a very compact and a very organized team. With Villena, Delgado and Nodo, they have quality in their attack, they are missing Perez but Villena is there to cover his absence. Ukraine haven't even played any friendlies, Lokomotiv Kharkov have given up on Superliga and they haven't had enough strong games. They changed their coach and they currently don't seem capable of handling Spain. In addition, the intense political situations in Ukraine makes it very difficult to focus on volleyball and I expect the Spaniards to win. I would recommend the braver punters to go for a handicap on the Spanish team, but a clean win also pays nicely. Details

Had anyone told me I'd be writing a pick on Luxembourg I'd tell them they're mad, but today I have to try them. Lithuania will be missing their best player, Mišeikis, their alpha and omega, and the rest of the team seem to be too weak even for this level. Luxembourg are the home team, they've had great support from their teams. We should also point out a rather small venue and somewhat more experienced home team, as funny as that sounds.

Luxembourg beat Switzerland in the preparations, who are stronger than Lithuania, lost an even game once, and this is their basis for optimism. I think there is value in home team for the win, but much more realistic odds would be @1,85 on both teams. Details

BiH are missing not only their best players in Hungary, but their replacement as well. I'd dare to say this is their worst selection lately. Božić literally had to "scrape together" a team, with just two middle blockers in the team, the reception options are not a dream either, and Bosnia and Herzegovina are doing very, very bad at the moment, proven by a 0-4 loss against a C or D team of Slovenia. The Norwegians are not a volleyball nation, but are getting better with each year. The fact they hired an Italian coach for the tactical side and prepared in Italy speaks volumes. A year ago they took two sets from both the Greeks and the Swedes, two teams that would beat an even stronger Bosnian team with no problems. IN the end, everything points to Norway winning this. Yesterday the odds were much higher and there was huge value here, but today Norway are the favorites. Personally I'll take a handicap, while I'd recommend Norway for a clean win with a stronger stake. Details

Two days ago, I bet on Trentino believing in their organization and cohesion ahead of individual quality of Al Rayyan. It turned out the other way around as Trentino seemed completely lost at some points, and coach Serniotti made some wrong very wrong moves. On the other hand, UPCN had an easy task against Esperance, they got a confidence boost ahead of the crucial game, and they will certainly not want to decide the playoffs against Al Rayyan. Trentino won their last game against the Argentines by 3-1 but I would say that a lot has changed since that game, mostly in terms of confidence. In addition, UPCN seem like a team with more cohesion and team chemistry and they are more secure with their setter as Lanza and Ferreira are far from good form and the odds on the win for the Argentinians are certainly worth it. Details

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It's a clear cut situation that I have to try. Chaumont played five sets against Tours in their last two away games, with the current champions playing with a full roster. Today they will be missing Pinheiro, next to Konečni and Exiga their main player, the brain of the team who initiates all their plays. Pinheiro also gives the players a certain confidence as Dillies is below his level, as proven by the fact that next year he will be in an average second league team. The home team have great support in their arena, cheered up by the latest results against Tours, and I think they will go full out to tie the series today. They have the quality, no doubt about it, they just need to convince themselves mentally that they can beat the champions. I think they will, and that we will once again see Chaumont win at least 2 sets. Details

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Paris are the favorite today, and rightfully so. But, I don't believe they'll get the win that easily. Sete are a tough team who can match them up in some segments, and Parisians usually have a hard time against opponents like that. The proof are the two matches they played this season. Paris celebrated 3-2 at home when Sete were playing badly, but were defeated 3-1 in the away match in the France south.
Last two matches in Paris were decided after five sets, and considering the margin set, even four sets are good enough for the bet to be successful. I expect the guests to resist with all their force, Paris lost the Cup to Tours last week, and more often than not, that kind of a defeat leaves impact on the team. Bet365 have 179.5, but since they're the only bookmakers with that margin, I'll take the 180.5 that's widely available, and has the same value. Details

The fact is that Ajaccio have 6-0 against Beauvis this season but I don't see this today. The Corsican team struggle at home, and 5 out of last 6 went over, and if we factor in away games, their alst 7 out of 8 went over so it's clear they struggle in front of their fans. Today, they are playing in the playoffs and they are under pressure over the second spot. Beauvis also have a tendency for overs, they stabilized their form after poor February and they have a chance tonight. Their offense can match Ajaccio and they can pressure them with the serve, so we can expect a tight match. At the moment, I wouldn't worry too much about the regular season results, things have changed for both teams and we should see a high-scoring game today. The margin is not too high and this bet is widely available. Details

The match between the 4th and the 5th team can only mean a tight game but that's what their games have been so far anyway. The first one ended at 196 points and the one before that at 187 so the margins are not even based on stats. If the H2H's aren't enough for this bet, we should also mention that Toulouse have gone over in last 7 games, 5 of them over 190 points, while the situation is the same for Chaumont. There aren't too many differences between the too teams, Toulouse will have great support from the stands but they are in the playoffs for the first time in a while and it's hard to see them playing a perfect game. The additional motivation for an over is that both teams are prone to fluctuations. The bet is widely available and everything up to 185.5 is worth this stake. Details

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Even though Ajaccio didn't get three points at home for a long time, I believe they'll manage to do it today. A win would secure one of the first three places, which is a huge motive, and Lyon are the weakest team they hosted lately. Lyon had three consecutive wins, but two of those were at home, and the only ones they defeated away were Beauvais who are in crisis. Considering Tours defeated Rennes yesterday, and increased their advantage over Ajaccio to six points, Ajaccio would be six points behind if they lose, and basically kiss the first place goodbye. Also, yesterday late at night DNACG's decision to take six points away from Tours was announced, and if that's confirmed, Ajaccio would have a great chance to take the first place. Of course, winning tonight would be a prerogative. We should also add that Lyon won the first match 3-2, which was talked about for a long time because the Corsicans were really damaged in the fifth set. Details

Today's final in the JuFa Arena is a chance for Posojilnica to win the Middle European League, and the best one they'll get in a long while. Firstly, they are a better and more experienced team with players such as Satler, Sequeira, Grut, and the great Pollack Wawrzynczyk, while the coach of ACH has a very young team, with some of the players playing a game like this or the first time. According to info from Bleiburg, the venue is sold out, and the Champions League games have proven Posojilnica have excellent supporters. As they are not far off, ACH will have their supporters too, but a minority presence at best. Secondly, Posojilnica had a tougher opponent in the semifinal than ACH, and they still demolished Chemes, especially in the first two sets, which were perfect, and not even a lost set can change that. ACH seemed impressive against Hypo, but the Austrians were out of their depth and if the league were any stronger they wouldn't make it to the playoff. Thirdly, there is motivation. ACH players will be motivated, of course, but Posojilnica have some unfinished business with the Slovene team, as they lost the finals in Bratislava to them last year, and the top spot a month ago with another loss to ACH. Back then they were missing Satler and were still a better team. Perhaps the most important factor in the bet is his return. The experienced Slovene setter is the alpha and omega of the Austrian team, I'd even go as far as saying he brings the up by at least 30%, and that gives the players a certain confidence. All things considered, we'll be seeing Posojilnica win today. The bookmakers are favoring ACH, which is unrealistic, but it gives betting on the home team a nice value. The bet is widely available, online it averages @2. Details

Ajaccio obviously have a problem with home games as they have lost their last two home fixtures. OK, the defeat against Tours is not surprising but the one against Toulouse most certainly is. The Corsican team is having the best season in their history, but it seems they are under pressure in home games. With a defeat in Tours, Cannes dropped to ninth spot but they played a good game and have something to be optimistic about.
This is a very important game for the visitors and a defeat would reduce their chances of reaching the play-offs and they have to go for it here. Ajaccio have been doing better in away games recently and they seem to struggle at home and I believe Cannes could take advantage of that. Details

Sete never defeated Chaumont, but I think this is the day they'll end that embarrassing tradition. Everything's on their side now, the shape, the home court, the atmosphere, and that's why I think they'll get the three points. Chaumont lost their last three matches away, four out of five, and the only ones they defeated are the miserable Montpellier. Defeats against Lyon and Rennes show they don't have what it takes to win away matches right now, they basically have only one player who is in the mood compared to Sete's fantastic players.
I expect Sete to get three new points, they're a lot better team than Chaumont at the moment, and that should show. Details

Set have change a lot since the start of the season. They finally got a few wins in a row, the team is compact and they have started showing their full potential recently. Narbonne have briefly ended their run of defeats but they got another disastrous loss in Nantes in the last round and coach Medeija is struggling with the depth of his team. He has no players on the bench whose introduction could change the course of the game. Sete have the head-to-head working for them by far as they've won 11 out of 13 games, they've won last 3 games at Narbonne and that was when Narbonne were fighting for the top spots and were a much better team. Even though they've only won about 35% games in Ligue A, everything speaks in favor of the visitors here. Details

I just can't understand why ACH are regarded as such favorites today. The bookies are obviously under the impression of Posojilnica's three defeats in last 4 games but the first spot is at stake today and a win against ACH would help Austrians regain their confidence.

ACH have lost the game against Calcit and then they beat the poor Maribor and Salonit's youth team, and this can certainly be no real measure of form and quality. They lost against Posojilnica in Ljubljana, and they had Rašić and Ćuk, who got 31 points. Posojilnica will be without Satler, who is an important player, while Wawrzynczyk is in doubt. However, considering the importance of the game, the Pole might somehow play.

When is all said and done, I see no reason for Slovenians to be such favorites in Bleiburg. Every odds over @2 on Posojilnica is a must-take bet. Details

Jastrzebski got Lasko back, which in itself makes them at least 20% stronger. At the same time, Resovia lost their "defense minister" Ignaczak, for whom there is no substitute, since Maslowski or Penchev are not even close to his level. The away team are facing hell in Jastrzebie-Zdroj, they've already lost there once in the championship, with their strongest roster. The last game went to Resovia 3-2, but back then Jastrzebski were missing Lasko and Pajenko, very important cogs in their machine. If Ignaczak were on the team this would be a clear 50-50 game, but without him Resovia might really struggle on defense and reception. Jastrzebski will surely pressure the inexperienced Maslowski and the shaky reception of Penchev. Overall, I think the home team are more likely to win today, Resovia will look for passage onwards in their home court. Details