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Maybe it doesn't make sense to bet on the last team of the league, but trust me, Torino will be a lot higher on the table soon enough. Dyson coming back, Goulding coming in are great news, and now the five Dyson-Goulding-Eyenga-White-Ebi look phenomenal. No exaggeration, they can beat anyone in the league now. They won three of the last four home matches, including the current champion Sassari, and the great Cantu. They used the two week break to settle the team, and they'll be very dangerous now. The same can't be said about Varese who look really bad. They didn't get to rest because they're playing the FIBA Europe cup where they had to play away in Turkey. Their new point guard Wright still didn't prove to be the reinforcement they needed, and Varese are the likely candidate to replace Torino at the bottom. They've won only two of ten away matches this season, and I'm convinced that score won't improve today. Details

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Real are now setting off to try and beat the team that owes them. Fuenlabrada shocked them home but this game is a whole different thing. real will have Llull, Lima in the paint and form that is much better. They are also very motivated. On the other hand, we have a team that is brilliant home but as soon as they go away, things start falling apart, They lost by 22 to Murcia, b< 24 to Laboral, by 16 to Valencia. Granted, Real are not the home team today but for a team that beat Khimki away that clearly isn't important. Besides, be sure that the slap Real got from these opponents last month still stings. Details

Even though Gran Canaria's coach said that he thinks that Valencia will win the Cup of the King, we should mention that Garcia Reneses is an experienced coach and that was his way of putting pressure on their opponents. Spanish media also helped him with that, because they all declared Valencia the favorites of this tournament and Pedro Martinez did not need that pressure. In the last month, 'invincible' Valencia lost four times, there is no more magic in their performance and they have become insecure. Gran Canaria, on the other hand, won 11 out of 12 games in that period and they are coming to the Cup of the King with full team and aware of the fact that surprises are always possible here. The quality difference between the teams in not as big as the first game in Valencia showed, when the home team won by 25 points. Today they are playing at a neutral court, Granca are in much better form, Valencia in worse form and we could easily see a surprise here, and as a safer option, I decided for the counter-handicap. Equally as good option is Valencia's team under at the margin of 80,5 points. Details

Pistoia are second on the league table, but we have said already that they don't belong there based on their quality. Latest injuries are a consequence of constant playing with only 8 players. In the last round they almost lost at home to Pesaro who had a 18 point lead. In the end they won, but now they are without Filloy, Blackshear, Czyz and Knowles are questionable and that would be a problem even for a team with wide roster, let alone for them with only 8 players in rotation. Trento aren't having such problems, all of their players are healthy, and that means they will play aggressively and at a high pace which Pistoia cannot follow. Trento showed their great form with two wins over Karsiyaka and I am sure they will continue winning today. The odds are set based on the position on the table which is not realistic because Trento are a much better team than Pistoia and they will prove that. Details

The margin on today's game is high. Rodriguez will be absent from Real, and it can be expected that Llullo will get reduced playing time, he played for 32 minutes in the Euroleague, and Laso won't force him too much. That means Real will play slower and that Doncic will get more playing time, and he is much slower than the mentioned duo. Manresa know they cannot win today if they conceded 90 or more points and they will try to slow down the game. They did that against Barca when they stayed at 135 points, and they played at 136 against Valencia, they only went up to 161 against Laboral. But that is all still inside this margin which Navarro will not want to go over, and Real have shown that they are winning with defense not by rushing. They will definitely want such tempo here and I don't think they will go over 160 points without Rodriguez and with Llullo's limited playing time. Details

The first game between these two teams revealed a lot. Zaragoza are physically dominant in comparison to Sassari and that is an advantage that could not have changed before today's game. Sassari have been having a lot of problems because of that in Europe over the last two years and, besides the accidental win over Galatasaray in which every three pointer they shot went in, they cannot defeat anyone in Europe. They have now started to lose in the national championship and at home. The team is in a crisis, they are not playing well, rebounds and defense are bad, and that will be felt today again. Zaragoza have created a game with Casadevalla's arrival, they got the results, they are playing great defense and they are strong. They keep high pace because they have two great players in every position and Sassari will not be able to keep up with that today. Smaller stake only because of a possible three pointer series by Haynes, Logan and others which is always a possibility in this hall, but that is also their only chance to win. Details

Cantu are nowhere near the team they were at the start of the season. New coach Bazdarevic took over, while Ukic and Fesenka joined to change this team completely. They are now material for the top of the Italian league, which makes them a contender for the title in this competition. Bazarevic claims there is still a lot of work to be done, it's obvious that no one beats Sassari away by coincidence. The three straight wins home are no coincidence either. Orlandina lost by 28, Pesaro by 25. Those are the games that prove Cantu's quality. This would have probably been a closer match if it was taking place a month ago. But this opponent won't be a problem for Cantu at all. They beat them away without Ukic and Fesenka and do even 50 percent better home. Tartu have yet not met a team of this quality. They lost to Khimki by 25 points, to Enisey by 19 and Cantu are better than both of those teams. Details

I think Bilbao are being far too underestimated here. They are a team that has to far not lost away in Eurocup. They have a total of 3 defeats in 14 away games this season. That is because they find it easier to play away without any fan pressure. That is when their quality really takes center stage. They had a lead for the most part of the game last week and ended up losing in an unlucky manner. but they proved to be at least as good as Bayern. Bayern already lost here to Zvezda, Fener and Real. I'm not comparing Bilbao to those teams but I think a team that plays so well away both in ACB League and Eurocup deserves a lot more respect. Bilbao allowed over 80 points only twice in those 14 away games - in the Murcia game and against Telekom in a game they ended up winning. Coach Alonso said Begic's absence can be made up for through fierceness and defense, which will clearly be the focus today. I'm not sure Bayern can get even 80 points her, let alone 86. That would be a realistic margin if Bilbao were playing Real or CSKA away. Details

The first had-to-head played only week ago finished at 164 points. Limoges had a crazy shooting night and hit unbelievable 92 points. That cannot happen today because Martinez will see vengeance for the only defeat his team suffered in 30 games through defense today. Vujosevic is very similar to him when it comes to style and he puts defense first as well. Only shooting of over 60 percent for each team can get this at over 150 points. I don't think that can happen. Limoges were limited to an under at this margin in 9 out of 10 last home games, while Valencia have 3 unders in 6 Eurocup games. But, they did play faster-paced teams. When it comes to slower teams like Limoges, they always recorded unders and I believe this game won't be any different. Details

This margin definitely doesn't suit today's situation. Torino are not an offensive team, and since they lost Dyson, that offense is even weaker. Their top point guard and top scorer meant a lot for Torino's offense, and his replacement Kloof is not as good, and he still lacks chemistry with the team. Coach Vitucci said that they have to change their game style without Dyson, and that means even slower basketball and more focus on defense. Torino went over this margin at home only three times out of eight games, and that was with Dyson on the roster. Caserta are, on the other hand, one of the strongest teams in the league. They play great defense, and they are physically strong. In eight away games, they conceded over this margin only twice and against excellent Reggiana and fast Pistoia. Here they will face a slower, offensively thin team, without their best point guard and I am convinced that they can easily leave them under 70 points, so I have to bet on this margin with bigger stake. Details

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Right now, Caserta are a much better team than Varese. They used the All-Star game break for the recovery of injured Siva who is their best player and they will go into the play-off fight with him completely fit. A full arena is expected and it would help them in doing that. While things are great at Caserta, Varese are having a lot of problems. They had no rest because they played the Eurocup, Campani, Kuksiks and Cavalier are still injured, and the coach admitted that the players couldn't wait for a day off. They weren't great in away games even when they were complete, and Caserta already defeated them in away game with this handicap. The home team are better in all positions, and with fans support and great defense, they should easily win this. Details

Pamesa earned their great run mostly thanks to defense that Martinez perfected. They are no longer rushing as they used to and Valencia are playing organized basketball. Zaragoza started doing the same thing when Casadevallo came, they have finally stabilized and started performing in accordance with their quality. Diener's departure also helped because he was one less player due to his illness, and Kravtsov's arrival also means a lot, because he further strengthened their paint. There won't be any rushing today because both teams are playing will classical number fives and they like position basketball. In their two Eurocup games, Valencia celebrated both times, but Zaragoza were horrible then and I don't see those games as relevant, even more so because Valencia's shooting back then was unreal. The situation is different now and if we ignore their results so far, I don't believe Valencia are worth less than 1.40 and I wouldn't put the margin on points over 80.5 so this is worth a bigger stake. Details

I'll start with saying I don't consider Adorra to be the favorites here even though their spot in the table and some of Sevila's last games suggest that. But that's no reality. Andorra are no team capable of doing well in the Cup or reaching the playoffs. They got lucky in some games which got them to spot to. But, a team with Sad at point guard position will never be a team deserving such a high margin. Andorra aren't particularly fast and they got close to this margin only once - in the blowout against Gipuzkoe. They reached 80 points only twice. This margin is probably the consequence of Sevilla's the last two visits where they allowed over 100. One of those was against Real, the other one with Estudiantes. Sevilla allowed a fast pace in that one. The games in which they limited Gipuzkoa, Fuenlabrada adn even Gran Canaria, who are better than Andorra. Coach Casimuro always starts with defense. He will forbid his team from setting a fast pace because he knows that they cannot afford to allow close to 100 points. That should not be a tough task against as limited an opponent as Andorra. Details

Obradoiro are a classic home team and it's not favorable to play against them when they're like that. I'm not saying they're going to lose today, but I'm convinced that today's game is going to be a lot tougher than they expected. With the arrival of new coach Vidorreta, Canarias' defense got better, the players found their roles and started playing in accordance to the roster which is usually a lot better than Obradorio's. If we take a look at the last couple of matches, we see that Canarias are playing a lot better on road games where they beat Laboral and Bilbao, and they lost to Unicaja only after overtime. The hosts today have the advantage only at home, but Canarias can stand up to them since Vidorreta's arrival, while offensively they're a lot stronger, and if they stop Waczynsky, I wouldn't be surprised that they win. Details

No margin is too high for CSKA this season. They hit over 90 per game in the Euroleague, play the perfect offense, have top players, and went over this margin in 16 games in a row. But today's game isn't anything like that. Besides Olympiacos, Barcelona are playing the best defense in Europe. Their offense goes to 20 seconds each time, there's no rushing, no turnovers. Focused, organized and clever. They themselves said that the key is in stopping the Russians from running, and they believe they've got the players for that. I believe them, their point guard is the extraordinary Satoranski who can guard anyone in Europe. Oleson and Perperoglu are the wings, Tomić controls the paint, Lawal blocks. Top defensive team whose primary goal today is to leave CSKA under 80 points. Unicaja kept them at 78, Brose at 83 points. Barcelona is a space shuttle compared to them, and I really don't see how CKSA can go over 80 here, so I think this is worth the high stake. Details

Kruno Simon is mostly a good choice for these kind of bets and interestingly, the number of points he finishes with this season isn't affected by whether Gentile plays or not. It is, however, affected by whether Milano play home or away. Simon hit 12, 11, 16, 17 and 14 points in European games home while finishing with 5, 7, 3, 9, 13 and 8 away. Simon is clearly more relaxed home and his shooting percentages are much better there. When Gentile is on the floor, Simon gets more uncontested shots as opponents' defenses focus on Gentile. Form is not an issue and also, Kruno won the All Star three point competitions last weekend. That's not something that will change his carrier drastically but things like that can affect shooters' confidence greatly. I think Kruno will go over this margin easily with 10 usual shots. Details

This may not be a great pair statistically, but there are several reasons we are betting on it. Estudiantes had a slow start of the season and they are in a bad position, but coach Ocampo has improved them lately. That is also confirmed with a win by 26 points over Sevilla in their last home game. They will be even stronger in this game for the point guard Laprovitolla who should be a great acquisition for this team. Even though Gipuzkoa have shown some improvement lately, their quality is still not at Estudiantes' level. They can parry them at home somewhat, primarily relying on defense, but that is much harder in away games. The only away game they won this season was at Canarias and they lost the other six away games by 13 points or more, and I expect a similar thing today. Details

If Siva had played, this match would be very interesting and unpredictable, and the away team's defense could complicate things for the hosts. But this way Caserta are without their engine, without a player who in the last two matches had 13 and 10 assists and who made the whole game 50% better. Without Siva, Caserta are a very limited team who have big offensive problems, and that will especially be seen today because rarely is there a team in Italy who are as aggressive and as firm as Trento are at home. They impose their tempo here and keep it on high speed for 40 minutes. In the last couple of matches the shots didn't serve them as good as always, and still they would win with ease at home, and today I expect they will destroy Caserta thanks to counter-attacks. Caserta here doesn't stand a chance. Details