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The home team have nothing to play for while only a win will do for Lebanon. Thailand have not won a single point and Lebanon beat them at home by 5-2. The motivation is definitely working for the away team and I will trust them. However, since these are very exotic teams, since information are incomplete, and since the outcome of the game could depend on the outcome of the game between Iraq and China, which the Lebanese will definitely know as it is played at the same time, I will cover the outcome which will allows us to get the money back in case of a draw. I recommend the braver to go for a clean win for Lebanon for a smaller stake, but I will go for this option. Details

This game was supposed to be played on January 7th, but it was postponed due to a snow storm. Back then we predicted Canes would win, and now we can repeat that. The teams did have a break, but the circumstances haven't really changed much. Buffalo are still by far the worst team of the league, while the Canes are a few points short of the playoff and every win means a lot to them. Now they are starting a five game tour that could define their fate, and a good start is always important. They could not dream of a better opponent, and the motivation alone seems reason enough to give Canes a bigger advantage. Details

Giannina's fall was seen in the last round, very simple, they can't move from the middle of the pitch, and their opponent Panionios saw their coach replaced motivated with the relegation battle. Panionios' win was mostly due to bigger motivation, but I didn't choose to predict that time. It's similar this time. Like we said, Giannina had European ambitions, but since they definitely won't have that, we can say the season is over for them. New coach proved himself with three wins right at the start, so he secured his position for some time now. On the other side we have Veria, these points are crucial for them. They haven't scored for four matches now, but I'm not worried about that here. In all the matches before this one they played against teams that were either really motivated or against Olympiakos, and we'll see a whole different story here. I think that Giannina can't be this much of a favorite here by far. Details

Aris have been playing better and better lately and they have not been defeated in last four games. Their coach Papadopoulos managed to save them last year and he found a way to wake up a stiff team this season as well. They are seven points away from salvation, which is definitely a lot, but the with great games they have been playing and the fact that they have 9 games to go, this is a very plausible task. However, they should fulfill one condition and that is at least avoiding relegation in Platanias. The home team have not been doing well lately, they've changed their coach recently. It was the wrong moment in my opinion, as it was right ahead of the game against Olympiacos, which nullified the so-called positive shock. They are having problems with absent problems while Aris are practically complete. Aris have been the better team lately and I doubt they will lose the game today. Details

Panathinaikos are looking very well lately and one may expect that they PAOK, Atromitos, and i daresay, Asteras will lead a tight race for the Champions League spots. I would be good to carry as many points into the play-offs as possible and this means they have no margin for errors in games like this. Ergotelis are coming at the right time. New coach got them three wins in a rows and has stabilized their mid-table position and then they lost a match but have no reason to panic as they have practically avoided relegation. A few more points at home will be enough for them. What is particularly important is the fact that they are coming without four first-team players and that's why I expect an easy win for the home team. I would usually go for the -1.5 handicap, which I definitely recommend to the braver players for 4/10 but since this is the Greek league, I decided to go for -1 handicap for a slightly bigger stake, as a win should not come into question. Details

Savvas Pantelides took over at Levadiakos last week and his team managed to beat a very powerful Atromitos immediately after. Levadiakos are one of the best home teams - only Olympiakos and Panathinaikos managed to beat them at their stadium this year. Olympiakos because they're better and Panathinaikos because Levadiakos had a bad day. So basically only Olympiakos can count on wining points at their stadium. Asteras are no better than Atromitos. On the contrary, they're ever worse, and on top of that have some problems with absences today. I therefore believe the home team remain undefeated. Details

First I wanted to play Aris' win, but then, a lot more interesting option caught my eye, with bigger odds, and almost equal chances to pass. First of all, this match is crucial for both teams, so I doubt there will be any goals. If Aris win, it's more likely it will happen without conceding goals, than with scoring 2 or 3 goals. They haven't conceded a goal in the last two matches, and because they have an imperative to win today, they'll be really, really careful. The team that come to them have the worst offense of the league, they haven't scored in the last three matches, and the lack of their offensive quality was obvious in the match against Panthrakikos when they didn't manage to score a goal even though they had one player more for 90 minutes. They have 0.79 goals scored per game, and there were some matches where there were plenty of goals, so that raised the average quite a bit. In the last few matches, their offensive looked weak, and I believe that will happen today as well. Like I said, I expect Aris to win, but there are minimum chances that this match will have 4+ goals. That's why this bet has a certain value. Details

Asteras had everything served in the last round, they had a player more from the 15th minute and the 0-0 score, but football writes different stories, and they were defeated pretty convincingly. Usually, they're a team with a tough defense, second best in the league, and I think they'll confirm that status today. PAOK lost in the last round, they played a Cup match a few days ago, and Asteras haven't, but what's most important is that this match is not on PAOK's priority list. They didn't even take the most important players to Peloponnese, all they think about is Benfica, and I think that attitude will cost them this match. Asteras can definitely defeat PAOK like this, and the worst case scenario is a tie. Details

I played against Atromitos in the last round, but by some miracle, they managed to get the win with one player less and the 0-0 score. Today, I have even more arguments on why to bet against them. First of all, Levadiakos are nervous, today, they're playing with the new coach Pantelides for the first time, and that will definitely have an impact on the players. What's even more important is that Atromitos are completely worn out after the cup match against Olympiakos where they deserved to go through. After that failure, with the physical aspect, they're surely emotionally drained, too, and will hardly be able to be motivated for this match. Add to all that that they're also missing three key players. The first striker Papadopoulos who scored 9 goals is out, as well as the midfielder Iglesias who shares the second striker position with 6 goals scored, and the forward Karamanos who scored 5 goals. They scored more than half goals for Atromitos combined, and Atromitos can hardly win against Levadiakos who are a very good host anyway. Details

Asteras haven't lost to Atromitos in the last 12 official matches, and that series is definitely not an accident. Asteras are a team with a solid defense, and they only lost to Olympiakos, PAOK and Panathinaikos this season. They dominated in the match against Atromitos, they needed a convincing win, but missed chances cost them in the injury time that ended 2-2. I don't expect them to dominate today because this is their away game, but I think Asteras will continue being undefeated in this match. Both teams will probably be more careful, and that's where Atromitos' first striker absence will be obvious. Without Papadopoulos, Atromitos' defense should be completely sterile. The home team will hardly score without him, I wonder if they will manage to score at all. Not counting the matches against Olympiakos, Asteras only conceded two goals in the last 11 matches, and I'm pretty convinced they won't lose here. Details

We've had quite a few tips with the same logic but to sum up, this is a division derby where points mean a lot. Both teams need the points to reach the play-offs and both are expected to approach this game more cautiously. Under is definitely an option,especially with the Devils in the mix, as they aim to get this game into overtime when things get tight. Their games usually end with under 50 shots, without too many chances and I believe today's game will be a similar case. Details

With two wins under the new coach Marinos Ouzounidis, Ergotelis have managed to get away from the relegation zone but I doubt they will stop there. Today, they have a Crete derby and Platanias are not a team they should be afraid of. Truth be told, they need the points, but I'm sure they won't rush in the derby. The game should be decided by defense and Ergotelis are much better in that aspect. I believe they can stay undefeated today, Platanias are nothing special at home and the odds that we have for this outcome are unbelievably good. Details

There is no logic in Mariehamn being regarded as such favorites in Turku, let alone any additional bets after that. Yes, Turun are having huge financial problems, all their major-contract players have left and they're a completely different team this season but they're simply not so poor as these odds suggest. They started the League Cup with a double defeat against Inter but after that, they got three new players that will play today and this will certainly affect the team. Marieham's best player Petteri Forsell got back after his episode in Bursaspor and consequent loan back to Mariehamn, and in this respect, they will be stronger, but their form was visible in their last game when they were crushed by Djugarden by 7-0. Even if Mariehamn were in a better situation, it would be worth playing on Turun, but this way it seems like a great bet. At first, I planned to go for 1X but after the odds on Mariehamn got even lower, I will chose a safer option - a +1 handicap which means the stake will be returned if Turun lose by 1 only 1 goal. Details

In the last game Helsinki played in the League Cup, we had a bet against them, or that Rovaniemi will not lose by 2 goals. it ended 2-0, with both goals scored late in each half, but what could be seen was what we've expected - Rovaniemi are team that is on par with Helsinki. Today I'm basing a similar bet on same arguments, meaning Helsinki are not interested in this League Cup, and the bet will have a somewhat "stronger" version this time. The bet wins if Honka don't lose, and should they lose by one goal, the loss is only half of the stake. Firstly, because Helsinki are playing an away game, and secondly as the opponents are much stronger this time. Honka will surely be motivated in this game, vs the champion team, who will try out some players today, and who are also missing two of their regular starters. I believe the odds of Honka not losing are even over 50%, so there is value to this bet. Details

If Helsinki were fully psyched up this would no doubt be a victory with a 4-5 goals lead. However, they have had doubtful motivation vs other teams for the last two years, and this is especially true for the friendly League Cup, which brings the winner nothing in the sense of an European spot for advancement. Helsinki will certainly try to end the League Cup situation as soon as possible and then set of to preparations in Spain or Turkey, to play vs stronger teams, as they did last year. Back then they lost to Jyvaskyla (who played in the final then got relegated clean out of the league, which shows what the Cup stands for), and I doubt they will try very hard this year either. These odds would make sense if this were a league game, in the League Cup one should definitely play as if Helsinki will not demolish Rovaniemi. Details

In my opinion, the odds for the outcome of this game have been a huge failure. I expect the the odds to be at 1.80 on Ergotelis and I would go for their win in this case. The change of coaches are a normal thing in the Greek League, and even though there hasn't been too many of them, it's the same story all over again - new coach comes along, gets a few good games and as soon as the team hits a slump, he is fired, takes over a new team and the cycle starts over. This is, of course, a general outline but it's not far from the truth. A change of coaches is always a positive shock for the team and we will have a chance to see that with Ergotelis as they are fighting to avoid relegation and they need a win really badly. On the other hand, we have have Panetolikos who have been a strong team this season, especially at home as they have haven't been beaten there so far, not even by Olympiakos. However, things are much different in away games as they still have no away wins and have only won 3 points in 10 games. This is obviously a psychological problem but I doubt it will be resolved today. A huge advantage for Ergotelis is their general motivation as they need the points to stay in the league while the away team can't reach Europe but are far from relegation as well. Their goal was to stay in the league and you can say they've accomplished their goal and can now play their games more relaxed, especially the away ones in which they can't do anything as it is. In addition, I can't help but notice that Panetolikos had better results before than in the last month or so. They're a typical second-division team that has a great start of the season but slightly drops as the season goes on. The motivated hosts should be able to win this one without too much trouble. I think these odds are a solid mistake by the bookmakers, and I strongly believe the hosts will win this one so I will go in with a higher stake, at least in football terms. Details

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Even though Panionios have a lot of problems with the finances, the players' paychecks are more than ten months late, and so on, and the players didn't go to strike even once (there were rumors about it before a few games, but they didn't do it in the end), and they're playing like everything's fine. They're in a very good shape at the moment, they defeated PAOK 2-0 in the last round, and they also celebrated in the Cup when the coach rested some players. They aren't really making it in the away games, but I think that could easily change today. Panthrakikos had a lot of problems with them lately, they only managed to get a tie once in the last three matches. No doubt Panthrakikos are the favorites on their own pitch, but I expected the odds to be about 2.20 for them, so any bet on Panionios has a value here. I think we'll be seeing a tough match with few chances, and the Panionios' chances to leave Komotini undefeated are much better than the odds would suggest. Details

Since the Portuguese expert Sa Pinto took over the guests, their game improved significantly. He brought them to the middle of the league table from the bottom where they were, and what he managed to do, and his predecessors didn't know how to, was that he managed to completely tighten the defense without the offense suffering at the same time. Only two teams defeated them convincingly, Atromitos and Olympiakos, and Asteras aren't nearly as powerful offensively. I think they're overestimated here, so much so that I question their win, let alone a convincing celebration. They get points against the teams who come to outplay them, and we won't be seeing that here. Asteras will hardly crush the guests' defense, and even if they do, I doubt they'll win with two goals difference. If the odds were higher for Asteras, even x2 would have value, but this way, I'll go for the safer bet - that OFI can lose with one goal difference, and we get the void. Details

Aris' destiny seems clear this year. They're still announcing the fight, they're not where they are without a reason, being behind that much. Their team is a typical "kindergarten", and personally, I think they're facing AEK's destiny. To remind you, AEK dropped to the second league last year, but the club asked to be dropped to the third so they would have time to recover financially. Right now, Aris are coming to this game without a lot of players. First-team absences aren't numerous, only a few are missing, but there are ten players on the absent list, so the already narrow roster was limited all the way. In the home team's lines, who play decently at home (6-1-2), only the first striker Mantzios is missing, but the offense should be strong anyway because a few days ago, the offensive player Simon Vukcevic came, who played in Sporting and Blackburn. His experience will definitely contribute Levadiakos to defeat the young guest team and push them one step closer to the second league. Details