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The margin for the total number of points in this game is completely illogical. To begin with, I think it's necessary to emphasize that all three head-to-heads played this season went over 180 points. The reason for this is obvious - the Kings easily adapt to the rhythm of their opponents while the 36ers have no solutions for Magden and Young, while the Kings struggle against the fast-paced Ervin and Johnson. More importantly, the stakes are pretty high in this game. The Kings desperately need a win and they've beaten the 36ers in the faster games. On the other hand, the 36ers will impose their faster game that they will try to perfect before the play-offs. Because of this, I expect Heal to send five players lead by Magden and Harvey who only know how to attack. He is aware that his defense can't hold the 36ers when the Wildcats couldn't do s. All in all, I see this game closer to 185 points than 175 points that the bookies expect and I believe this bet is worth a medium to high stake. Details

Even though the Crocs announced they will approach this game with maximum dedication, I don't think it will be the case. Pace has had an argument with the club after they lost the chances of reaching the play-off during his suspension, so his performances have been in accordance with this situation. While he will probably play but probably less than he would usually play Conklin is certainly out and that's a huge blow for the Crocodiles. On the other hand, this game is the most important one for the Hawks so far this season. A win would give them the advantage over the Kings they need while a defeat would see them try to catch up with them. Unlike in recent games, the Hawks have one of their best players Kevin Tiggs, who will additionally improve their game, especially in offense. I expect the Crocs to rotate the squad and give a chance to the players from the bench while the Hawks will force the starting line-up in this game. Motivation, quality and the depth of the bench are working for the away team who I believe have a much better chance than the odds would suggest. Details

I have to say that the odds on Perth Wildcats are based only on their standings as they clearly make no sense. While a win means nothing to them, as they are definitely the first team in the league, a win would put the Crocs back in the play-off race. True, the Wildcats have beaten them at home by 10 points at the start of the year, but the remaining two matches were much tighter. It is obvious that the the style that the Crocs have doesn't suit the top team and there is no denying that. A win for the Crocs by more than 13 points in the last head-to-head was no accident and is just an additional confirmation of the fact that they have what it takes to handle the Wildcats. In this game, I expect to see a somewhat faster rhythm as the Crocs have no solution for Ennis and they will look for the win in a slightly faster game. Pace is back, and he will be huge asset in offense, while Markovic has also been in great shooting form lately. Even though the Crocs might keep match tight until the very end, I decided for the option of them scoring over 79.5 points. In all three head-to-heads this season, they played 87 points so the margin set here is well worth a higher stake. Details

Although Muguruza has better strikes, and will most likely dictate the rallies, I think the handicap is wrong. Muguruza has not played in along time, and showed ups and downs in her game vs King. She scored a decisive victory against Scheepers, but we should bear in mind that Scheepers is a rather passive player with not too many options. She retreated and allowed Muguruza enough time to set her shots and easily end rallies. The next opponent Muguruza will face is much different. Alison is also an aggressive player, and filled with confidence too, after four consecutive victories. She managed to keep her serve in 30 of her last 33 games and also showed more consistency in her tennis. Once we consider the great serve of Van Uytvanck and the inconsistent performance of Muguruza, it becomes clear that the handicap is wrong by a game, and that this match could easily go to three sets. Overall, I believe the offered counterhandicap should be played, with at least a medium sized stake. Details

Even though Donna Vekić has not won an ATP match since last September, I believe she is underrated here. Against Lisicki in Pataya, she showed signs of good improvements and a much better performance than in the previous two tournaments. She arrived to Florianopolis on time and had enough time to adapt, but the main reason for this bet is her opponent. Zakopalova has played 16 matches in last 15 days and fatigue must be there. Apart from that, she had some respiratory problems so she didn't even sleep before the finals against Nara. She was below par in the finals and she continued her bad run of performances in finals. She was nothing special in Rio as she played against a much weaker opposition and even struggled with the opening. The conditions in Florinapolis are very tricky. Apart from the heat, the humidity is high and the matches are often paused so that the players can catch their breath. Coupled with fatigue and respiratory problems, we can see Zakopalova is facing a tough challenger. Vekić was able to match her for the better part of their H2H in Shenzhen and I believe she can win here. The best bet to take is in the"one-ball" bookies which pays up even if Zakopalova forfeits. Details

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I have to admit I was taken aback by the odds offered for this match. Granted, Pereira is better ranked, but only because she chooses the tournaments wisely and plays the lower level tournaments. The question is whether she even deserves to have the role of the favorite for the win here. I personally think she doesn't because the first two round wins are entirely her opponents's fault. Cadantu has been struggling with serving for a while now, and the match against Mayr was probably the worst match Mayr has ever played. On the other hand, Begu beat King in the first round, and then proved she is still fit and ready in the third set. She is more confident about her serving, and more consistent in rallies. I am absolutely sure she at least has the equal chance of winning today. That is precisely why the offered odds have significant value. Details

Even though the margin is relatively low for the NBL League, I think it should be lower by at least a couple of points here. The Wildcats' coach criticized his team and the lack of dedication in defense which resulted in two great defensive performances. I won't take the game against the Crocs into consideration as they showed some poor commitment there which is not likely to happen in front of their own fans. They played what was probably the best game of their season against the Tigers. They stayed close to the players and forced the Tigers to slow down their flow of the ball. It is well-known that the Tigers depend on their semi-perimeter and perimeter shots and that they do go for penetration so often so the pressure from the Wildcats forced them into many poor decisions. On the other hand, I believe the Tigers can also play a great defense. The reason for this is Knight's return on one hand and Walker's return on the other. Knight is one of the best players in the paint while Walker is a candidate for the best defensive team in the league. He showed he can stop Ennis in the first game against the Wildcats and I expect him to do the same. Stopping the Ennis is the key to stop the Wildacts and if he does his task, the Tigers will control the game. It all points to another low-scoring game and I think it's worth putting a moderate stake. Details

All credit to the Wildcats, but I don't see them as such favorites here. In the first game this season, they beat the 36ers at home by 3 points, while they lost the last one by 5 points. The reason is more or less clear - the style the 36ers have does not suit them. The Wildcats have the best defense in the league but they have no solutions for the best attack in the league. Johnson has scored more than 21 points in every game, while his average is usually much lower. Ervin uses his speed the right way while Gibson sometimes take the responsibility. On the other hand, the Wildcats are largely dependent on Ennis. Redhage was impressive in the last game with 30 points, but the fact is that they lose every time that Ennis scores under 20 points. The Adelaide 36ers have shown they can handle Ennis in both games. I believe they lacked focus against the Hawks and that they won't defend against perimeter shots so poorly once again. On the other hand, they have plenty of offensive solutions and I think this counter-handicap is a really good bet. Details

Congratulations to Annika Beck for beating Barthel, but Barthel is known commodity. After she lost the tie break in the first set she also lost interest in the match. With no more desire to play she tried to score a winner every time Beck served. Such numerous mistakes "inflated" Beck's serve statistics. Pironkova, on the other hand, played well and beat Vinci. Truth be told, the Italian has not played a good match the entire season, but she plays the base line as consistently and as passively as Beck. Despite the fact that Beck beat Pironkova in the single match they played, Tsvetana showed a lot of progress in this season. She is secure in her serve and can shift rallies to her backhand side, which is her strongest suit at the moment.I think Pironkova should win this in two sets, but due to the unpredictability of female tennis I've chosen a bit safer option, a 3.5 game handicap. Details

Al Nabhani has failed to go through the first round of Doha in her five attempts and she played against player worse than Niculescu. Monica has show good tennis from the start and she only needed a better serve for an even bigger success. Al Nabhani is not good on the return and has lost again much poorer players than Niculescu while Monica is renowned for her peculiar style and she often gives her opponents no chance in the first head-to-head until they find a solution for her slices. Al Nabhani has never played against a similar player and I see no reason for her to win over 4 games here. Details

Meusburger has been really struggling with her serve lately. She lost three matches in a row, plus she lost to players much worse than Lučić in the Fed Cup. However, the main reason I'm going for this bet is adjustment and the speed of the surface in Doha. Meusburger played in the Fed Cup two days ago in different conditions, while Lučić had to go through the qualifiers in Doha. She displayed great first serve tennis and I'm convinced that will be the deciding factor in this match. Meusburger is much more consistent, but also known to be passive. The fast surface suits Lučić, who has enough experience and quality to use all her strong points. Lučić will know how to end the points fast and not enter long rallies with Meusburger, which makes the lowered odds justified. Details

Pavlyuchenkova arrived to Doha a few days ago and she managed to completely adapt to the surface and the climate. She played great tennis in Paris and the new title helped her confidence which might be even more important than the title itself. She has announced Top 10 for some time but the she lacked the wins against the Top 10 players that only came recently. She has the game to play in the top tier and it is realistic to expect her to continue playing this way. Majeric got her place in the main seed due to Suarez Navarro's giving up. She lost against Hsieh in the qualifiers where her second serve was the biggest problem (3/19). I think she has no chance in this match. Pavlyuchenkova is assured after first serve and she can take the initiative in the rallies which allows her to finish the point quickly. At 1.7 odds, this bet is great for a moderate/high stake. Details

Even though a lot of the factors point to the home team winning, Wildcats proved that predicting against them is never safe this season. On the other hand, I think that a bet on over points is much safer. This is a third match between the Tigers and the Wildcats this season, they went under the margin offered in the first one, and ended with 163 points in the last one. Tigers made it clear that they close the paint to defeat the Wildcats, but I think it's only a matter of time when the league's leading team's three pointers will start working. They throw over 20 three pointers per game, and score about 25% in the last few games, while in the rest of the season, it was over 40%. Besides, in the recent defeat against the Tigers, they only had 41% two pointers, while in the last month, they had over 50%. I think the Wildcats will find a solution for the Tigers' defense and end this game with over 80 points scored. The easiest way would be to impose a faster game and attack the Tigers' defense when they're not ready yet. Both teams have great strikers, which makes the 161 points margin a few points too low. Details

Even though Alize Cornet has shown on numerous occasions that she is not to be trusted when she talks about fatigue and injuries, I believe she doesn't have a chance in the match against Petković. She played against Zahlavova until midnight and she will have very little time to rest. But her inconsistent performance is more important than fatigue. She doesn't move well which she doesn't compensate for, while her second serve is insecure. On the other hand, Petković has played two great matches and she was so good that she is placed among the favorites to win the title. She was particularly impressive with her forehand as she took the initiative in both matches and ended the points with ease. Petković beat Cornet in slower Washington and I see no reason why she shouldn't beat her again. She is more assured but more importantly, she doesn't make too many mistakes. I believe Petković deserved the odds on her to be lower and that's why I decided to go for a handicap with a moderate stake. Details

I've already said on several occasions that the Kings were born again at the start of this month, and have been playing much better. This is why I feel the bookmakers have made a mistake when putting together the odds for this game. They gave too much relevance to the last game of these two opponents, one which is completely irrelevant now. While they had 21 turnover back then, the Kings have halved that figure over the last month. Apart from that, it is unrealistic to expect another such performance by Wilkinson, especially when the Breakers have a gaping hole in the paint due to Pledger missing, so Wilkinson will have to work harder on defense as well. On the other hand, the Kings are aiming at the third position on the ladder. Magden is in great shape, and they've also managed to find a setup in which both Ogilvy and Young are equally contributing as well. Much is expected of Ogilvy in this game since Pledger is still not ready to play. Although the teams are pretty much even on outer positions, the Kings have a major advantage in the paint. Young, who is usually aggressively going for the basket, will penetrate the paint even more and go to the free throw line more. Literally every segment of the game points toward a fifth consecutive win for the Kings, but because of the expected number of points the easiest choice of bet for me is the team over. As this bet is not very available at the moment, I will definitely recommend the win too. Details

Suarez Navarro was assured with her serve in the first round which is one of the reasons for odds like these. However, one should take into consideration that Larsson had some unused chances in the second set. Unlike the Russian, the Swedish player doesn't have strong enough strokes to force Carla Suarez to lots of movement and strokes on the move. On the other hand, Pavlyuchenkova is exactly that kind of player. True, she did need some time to get used to this surface and get the rhythm of indoor conditions, but she showed all her quality in the remaining two sets. She has a 5-0 score against the Spaniard, the conditions suit her more and she can force the Spaniard to a defensive baseline game. The Russian has shown on many occasions that the Spaniard's style suits her and I believe she will win another match without losing a set. However, I will go for a game handicap due to a somewhat weaker opening in the first round. Details

Sharapova is not in good shape, and she herself is not denying it either. She announced she will be changing her serve, so we should not expect her to give her best in the immediate future. She is also afraid of another shoulder injury, so her second serve is quite reserved as well, and the number of double faults at the Australian Open also shows she still doesn't trust her serve fully. Hantuchova already played a match in Paris, or to be precise a set. However, that set showed the conditions suit her, as the surface is slippery and the balls don't bounce very high. This is why she could get Sharapova to move more with an aggressive play-style. She's also shown a secure game after her first serve. Although I don't believe she can surprise Sharapova, I think Hantuchova will easily cover the handicap on offer vs the insecure Russian. Details

All credit to Knapp on her epic battle against Sharapova at the Australian Open but this is a completely different story. Both players have played a poor match due to intense heat and the match reminded me of amateur matches in which every game was a break. Knapp is now going into Paris where she has no fond memories. She has so far played three times there and has only once gotten to first round where she was knocked out. Paris is a somewhat slower indoor court and these conditions definitely don't suit the Italian. On the other hand, great Arruabarrena- Vecino on the other side has shown that she loves these conditions. She was the underdog in all three qualifier matches and got three two-set wins with great performances. Vecino has shown great game after the first serve as she got 67% and 69% of points after the serve in the first two rounds. Even though Knapp will definitely have the initiative in this match, I believe Vecino can get a surprise result here. She has shown consistency and calmness and will surely force the Italian player to make a few errors. After all, she got a good feel of the court and will have the advantage in the opening stages. Even if she doesn't get a new win, I believe she will put up a solid fight and the handicap of +4 games offered by Pinnacle seems like a great choice. Details

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