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The odds at Goppingen were around 2,2 on Friday. They are at 1,7 today. I think the 1,50 is realistic and that we should go with -1,5 at visitors.
Gummersbach were knocked out of Cup by second tier opponents and lost to Wetzlar home by 11, to Melsungen by 2.
Goppingen beat Friesenheim easily home, and Friensenheim stood up to Melsungen in the Cup and were just a goal down to Magdeburg late in the game the other day. Goppingen have had three away games at the start and they want to start propery. I expect them to dominate here.
Just to note, they played here last season. Gummersbach had some players who left, Goppingen were under no pressure and without some players. With a lot of help from the refs, the result was 22-22. Goppingen were better while Gummer saved the season with that point. The circumstances are favorable for the visitors and they won't slip up. Details

This is a meeting of very good offense-oriented teams. The 52,5 margin is not really realistic. Nørdsjaelland have 25-33 against Lugi, 24:31 Skanderborg, 25:28 Lemvig, 33:31 Skive, Helsingborg 29:32 i Ringsted 28-22 in test games. Arhus are better than all of them in offense. Their 26-20 in the Cup against Sonderjyske doesn't mean that much since the opponents mostly record unders. They have Stjarnan 32:27, Skanderborg 21:31, Ribe 29:31, TM Tønder 27:27, Midtjylland 30:27 and Randers 25:20 in test games. The home team played two games against top division teams last season. It was 32-32 against Holstebro in the Cup and 21-19 against Skjern in QFs. Arhus played here two years ago 32-25. A lot of the players are still on both teams. Details

After it became clear they won't be able to count on Teodosic, coach Nikolic said that they will play less productive games
All the top offensive players are out (Teodosic, Jokic, Nedovic, Kalinic). They no longer have much talent but they do have hard working players. The defense will be at top level. In three games at a tournament in Greece, Serbia conceded 65 to Italy, 67 to Greece, 68 to Georgia. I think everyone at Serbia know that there is not point in them trying to compete with Latvia on the offensive end. Latvia are full of talented players but also players who are not very creative. Also, they are not that powerful physically and won't be able to play their game today. Details

Melsungen had a slip in the first round but Stuttgart are not just some team. Things will be different today. Gummer are currently at the level of Friesengem, Huttenberg and Lubbecke. Melsungen beat Lubbecke by 14 this summer, and Hutenberg by 10. They struggled with Friesenheim in the cup to win by 4. They are now to face a wounded them without top back players and without top options in defense. I don't see Gummersbach standing up to a team that will be very motivated. Melsungen were weaker in March than this team. They played Gummersbach who had Kuhn and Ernst and finished at 30-23. Kuhn is now at Melsungen and Ernst recovering. Details

52 points were scored in the final quarter of the Brazil game. In spite of that, I think the 144,5 (total) and 71,5 (first half) margins have value. These are the two toughest teams in the group and the fact Palacios played yesterday despite not being on the list before played a big role yesterday.
This might have a close finish so the first half option seems a bit better but I think the 144,5 will work out too. Brazil have Colombia at 150 and 130 this summer, Uruguay 132, Argentina 156 and Cameroon 163 and 132. Mexico, Uruguay and Brazil are similar teams, Brazil and Mexico played two years ago at 123 and 131 points. All the important players from that team are no longer at Brazil. Their offense is bad but they are physically superior to Mexico. They played 3 games this season, with Panama at 129 and 146 and Puerto Rico at 135 yesterday.
This is a very important game. Details

The margin is low but based on what we saw in Argentina last week, the offensive ends are definitely the weakest segments on both teams. The h2h meeting finished at 130 points, with 8-5 in the first qualifier. That is not realistic but neither is 50 in the last quarter. Colombia are the home team here and will try and out up a fight. Brazil have 12 pretty unknown players and their offense isn't great either. Colombia played Argentina, who probably have the best offensive end out of all the teams here, at 137 last week. There is one other interesting meeting too - last year at the start of South American championship, Colombia lost to Uruguay 60-54. Uruguay didn't have Granger back then. Granger played Colombia last week in a game that finished at 76-74 but that was the meeting Uruguay played after meeting Argentina and Brazil. It was obvious they weren't going full throttle. Batista didn't play much, Colombia hit 5-6 three pointers in the first quarter so the 150 mean nothing. Uruguay are offensively better than Brazil. Puerto Rico and Mexico are in this group too. Colombia seem to be the weakest team and Brazil cannot allow to hold back here. The 70,5 and team under at Colombia are equally good options. Details

Last summer in Centrobasket final, Puerto Rico were at some 1,60. It was a game that was decided by a single attack, Puerto Rico won 84-83. Puerto RIco do not have all of the players from that team. They have a team taht never played a game together. Mexico have 4 players from the starting 5 of that game. Only point guard Stoll is out but they have a good replacement for him. I think Puerto Rico are too much of a favorite here. Mexico should be the favorites and I expect them to record an opening win. Details

Leichlinger seem to be a mystery since they didn't play yesterday. Their opponents went bankrupt and didn't show up here.
Leichlinger was the 5th team of 3rd league West, 24 points of champions Neusser. They lost 35-30 away and 35-25 home. A lot of their games went towards 70 goals. They had the second worst defense in the league, with only the written off Ratingen conceding more. They conceded an average of 31,7 goals per game, scored 32,7 and their games were at 64,4. I expect 65-70 goals today.
Hannover didn't get a win in the last 16 rounds of last season. They changed the coach but the defense still won't be great, while the offense and transition won't change. They can score a lot. Yesterday, they were 10-17 down around minute 40 against Lubbecke. They scored 16 until the end and turned things around. Ii will be easier for them to play today, I'm sure of that. Last year in the Cup, they played overtime with Bad Schwarau and then 38-24 against Dessauer. They have no relevant games for this pick but given their quality and opponents' characteristics, this will be an offense-oriented game. Details

Lowen are the defending champions, Balingen were eliminated, they faced each other 4 times, 26-23 in the pre-season, 32-25 at Balingen in the cup, Lowen also won at Balingen in the championship, and at Manheim they won 33-23. Three out of four games went over 55.5.
Both teams kept around 90% of their squad, but Balingen's coach is switching to an offensive style. "We have a lot of players who are fast, so we want to play at a fast pace. That was not our style last season, but we are switching to it now", said coach Sigtryggson.
Their pre-season games: St. Gallen 71, Melsungen 66, Zaporozje 55 and 64, Kadetten 62, Hard 59, Kriens 64.
Lowen are a great team with great offense, and the big change is the arrival of Rnic instead of Du Rietz, but considering Rnic scored a lot in the pre-season, he seems like a great team with Schmidt. Their roster is complete for today.
Lowen's pre-season: Flensburg 62, Vardar 59, Rimpar 41-19 and a lot of irrelevant games against lower league sides where they scored 51, 52, 47, 45 and 50. Details

Last year when they played at this Cup tournament Mels won 37-30, and after that they had a bad start of the season. Melsungen have reinforced now with Kuhn, Lemke and Reichmann, three members of the German national team, and middle-back Mikkelsen and pivot Maric. This is a team that can defeat one of the Tp 3 teams and play for the Champions League.
In the same time period, Neuhausen have been relegated from the second division, changed their coach and almost the whole team, and they lost their only relevant preseason game to Essen, who were fighting to stay in the 2 division last season.
This is a game that has to go toward 20, because Mels defeated Kielce by 9, Stuttgart 12, Lubbecke 14, Balingen 18, Huttenberg 10... in the pre-season. They have such a wide and quality team now that there is no drop when Kuhn and some other players are off the field. They are great defensively, physically powerful, with Sjostrand and Simic on the goal. Neuhausen won't be able to reach the goal, and Allendorf and Reichman are top wingers. For this type of a game, defense and transition like Mels have are a guarantee of at least 40 goals, and they cannot conceded over 25. Details