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I have to say that I was surprised with this handicap on last year's champions and a team who each year have to struggle to get among the Top eight teams. One of the facts which support this thesis is that Dina solved their last match against Novaja Generacija without any struggle, scoring 10 goals. The teams didn't change too much, Novaja Generacija are just a tad weaker, while Dina have been strengthened with Abramov's and Moren's arrivals. They have been mentioning that they will head to the top of the table where they belong. Let's add how Novaja Generacija are without their best player, Portuguese Joel. So, anything except Dina's convincing win would be a big surprise. Details

Simply, this will be one of those tough games in my opinion. Even though Elche scored 4 goals in the last home game, while Palma has two wins in two first two rounds, both teams are very cautious in offense and feel a lot more confident when they defend than when asked to control the pace. I believe Palma will be the one to try and win and attack because they are the favorites here.
Junaito, their coach, this alike: ''It will be tougher than we think. Things look good for us in the table but that won't see us win. We're talking about a new team in the top league that will have extra motivation in this match. Also, it will be broadcasted on TV and they have the win from the first match home. They put pressure on opponents' defense and that is always tough. We have to stay strong in offense and defense and I'm sure we'll win.''

The goals under in first half might be an even better option since the importance of the match and the TV cameras will play their role at the start. But that option is not that widely available so I'm going with this one. Details

Bosnia and Herzegovina are to meet Kazakhstan in Zenica as they attempt to qualify for the European Championship in Serbia next year. The visitors became a hit after the win over Portugal. The Brazilian coach Cacau did a good job with the team. Alongside the three Brazilians, who won Futsal Cup with Kairata, are the best players Kazahkstan has, which according to the bookmakers won't see Bosnia stand much chance today. But, this is only the first leg game. It's taking place in Zenica, a town that will give Bosnia a great home court advantage. Far from it that Bosnia don't have good players. They can stand up even to the best teams as they proved previously. I think they can at least draw this, maybe even win narrowly. They played two very good games against Serbia in preparation period away and had a lot time to prepare for this. I'm also sure the two defenses will be at a high level. Goal keepers on both sides are great, which makes the goals under a good option as well, but it's not as widely available as betting on the final outcome. Details

Pogress are, as their coach Sokolov claims, a different team. They brought in strong Russian additions who will try to stabilize the young inexperienced team. The bad matches are their past and behind them; Progress did great in the pre-season matches: they didn't win but they gave a good beating to Dinu and Dinamo from Moscow, two teams who are at least two classes above both of today's clubs. Progress are already mentioning playoffs as a possibility this season.
On the other hand, Norilsky Nickel are almost identical to the last season. Coach Maevski didn't want an official friendly match in the preparation period, but they played "among themselves" behind closed doors.
Statistically speaking, Progress played against Norilsky three head-to-heads under this goal margin, but they were at the time a weak team. Now they're more even, this is the first round and I don't see this match being the one with a lot of goals. I see it as a ditch battle with very few chances in which both teams will try to reach points from the start of the season.
Considering that plenty of betting houses will have "live" in their betting options, I recommend opting for a smaller number of goals in the first half. Details

Some twenty days ago we played on less goals on a game that practically decided that these two teams will meet again in the play-off. So I'm repeating a bett that passed, and I believe that it will pass again because these two teams don't rush, they simply wait for their opponent to make the first move.
What I often wrote about, when I wrote about Jean, was said best by Daniel Rodriguez, Jean's coach, in a preview of this game: "As far as we're concerned, we will stay true to ourselves, our confidence in defense, and especially responsibility and avoidance of mistakes in offense in order to avoid opponent's fast transitions which are their main strength."
The home team's coach, Juanito, is aware that a defeat at home means the end of the play-off for them, and that they will not get a second chance, so I think we will watch a tough game which has become a trademark in clashes between these two teams.
The margin is really low (5) goals, there is the 'danger' from the goali-player, and that's why we have these odds. But, I would take a bet on less than 2,5 goals in the first half even at a greater stake, but it is currently being offerend only by B365 betting house. Details

I rarely do overs on games in the Spanish league and Copa del Rey, but today I simply have to do it. Although it's for the trophy and the defenses will be motivated to the max, I thinks offenses will be the main weapons. Marfil are known as an "over" team who don't pay attention how to secure their goal, but more how to jeopardize their opponents'. They also have one of the best scorers of LNFS in history. Dani Salgado, who often very "loosely" considers his defense tasks and remains in the opponents' offside, waiting for a counteratack. For the whole season Marfil have been playing like that and I don't see a reason for them to change that in a match for the champion's title of Copa del Rey. Although the law of high numbers suggests that Marfil have to end at least one match with an under for this margin, I think their offensive power will take the lead in this finals, and I'm not scared for Inter Movistar. Richardinho and company guarantee at least three to four goals in this match. Details

Russian teams are not really famous for recording unders but I have to bet on this. If anyone is a typically 'under team', it's Norilski Nocker and KPRF. This is a direct battle for playoffs and I'm sure both teams will be more than focused on defense because each point will be more than important as the defeat in this game probably loses playoffs.
If we take a look at last games, this under is more than likely to happen. he last five h2h games finished under 6 goals (3-6, 4-2, 2-1, 2-2, 3-2). Both coaches know how important this game is and they say the game will be a proper battle.
If you want to be sure, great option is the under 9.5 goals, which available at 1.20 with Marathonbet. Details

Forget about the last games, this is the start of the playoff. Even though it hasn't officially started yet, the fight for spot 4 will take place today, which unlike spot 5, gives you the home court advantage in QFs. Jean and Palma are playing today and if Jean win, they will get 4 points ahead before the last round and the tough away game in Navarra won't mean much to them. On the other hand, if Palma win, they will meet the feeble Santiago int he last round, which makes this the de facto game for spot 4. Taking a look at their h2h matches, we conclude that they are both playing tough defense with very little risk.
We talked about Jean a lot this season, they played a controlled game with a great goal keeper and mostly benefit from fast counterattacks. Winning the Cup saw them do more than the hoped for but they still want to cause trouble for top teams. Palma are also a great club, with possibly better individual quality but I believe they will work on this game through defense and that each goal will be a struggle.
The odds at first half under are good but that option is available only with B356 for now. Details

Russians, unlike most of Europe and the world, are still playing the cup the classical way; one game "away" and one "at home". I love such "statistical" bets. Ant this one says that in the last six seasons only once was this goal margin surpassed; and that was in season 2011/2012 when Yugra and Dinamo met. The reason for that was simple:; there's no goalkeeper-player because that "risk", as well as other ones, are taken over in the next match. That's why we have an interesting data that in the last six seasons in other matches only the margin of 7.5 goals was not surpassed. Don't look at the last two head-to-heads of these two. Today the situation will be different. They're playing for the trophy, and if you look Norilsky Nickel's results, you'll realize on what their coach bases his game. On defense. And who will know how to stop the mighty Dinamo than one of their former players. Two seasons ago Maevski defensed the color of the Russian and world futsal giant, and then he became a coach.
Of course the clubs' web pages scream about the importance of this match, as well as to focus on defense. I believe that Norilsky Nickel's defense in Arkadium will be on their level today, and that this match will end with a small number of goals. Details

The bookmakers obviously reacted to Isi, Bellverte and Matamoros' injuries in one team, and Dan Bilzerian Jean, the goalie Alfons Prieto in the other. But I'd never play anything else except for the under when these two teams face each other. Even though Jean got a big hit in Barcelona in the last round, they also got their strongest link injured - Prieto, but I think they'll push really hard in the defense today. Their defense is their strength, and they can't offer much offensively, not nearly as much as Barcelona, Inter or El Pozo. Considering that the guest coach Juanlu is defensively oriented, and he's coming here without three of his best players (Matamoros is the strongest link in the offense), I believe this match will end with few goals.
If you're afraid of the goalie-player, you have the option of under for goals in the first half-time, that's a good option, too. Details

I've been looking at this couple for a few days now, and I believe Santiago more. Even though their results don't look great with Barcelona, I believe Santi Valladares' team can cover this counter handicap today. Barcelona have to go for a win because they're facing a dead race against Inter Movistar for the starting place for the playoff, but Santiago won't just give up. The home team announced over 4,000 people in their arena, the match will be broadcasted, so they're definitely going to be motivated. A big feat is being prepared, so, even though Santiago lost the local Cup final (Final Copa Xunta) two days ago, I believe everyone was already thinking about this match. They showed they can do it in the last round against Inter Movistar. Santiago were an even opponent in the first half-time, and then they started falling apart in the second, starting with the goalie-player.
A plus for my pick is that Buffalo Sergio Lozano got injured, and Santiago are complete. The numbers are definitely not on my side, but I believe that this handicap is at least one goal too big, and Compostela will see a fight for every inch of this court. Details

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I see that the odds on the Slovaks are falling with the local bookmakers, but I think some were surprised with the Armenian's strength, they're pretty much a mystery still. I don't claim they'll win, that would be ludicrous, but I think they're too organized to be crushed by the Slovaks so much that this match would end over the margin of goals total. The Slovaks are a working team, they like defending themselves better than playing offense, and that's a good chance for us. Marcos Antonio Angulo, the Spanish expert leading the Slovaks, is too experienced to rush offensively today, he'll definitely settle with the second place in a group with Croatia and Turkey. For that, winning today with a minimal difference is enough. The Armenians were placed first and passed the first round of qualifications that was played in Sweden, and there were the Scotts and the Israelis, besides the Swedes.
Besides the goals total, you can also bet on counter handicap (+3.5 @ 1.72). Details

I simply have to use these high margins on goals scored total, they'll probably be a number lower tomorrow. There's no need to describe Italy, they're in the top of European and world futsal, lead by naturalized Brazilians. On the other hand is a team lead by the Croatian expert Mićo Martić, and they did something amazing in a tough group in Montenegro. They didn't concede a single goal in three matches! I thought the goalies were the weakest link of the team, but they obviously managed to fix that. They're incredibly fanatic, especially in the defense and I think they'll show that today. Two years ago in Bari (ITA), the Italians celebrated 5-1. This match will be played on neutral court, in Krosno (POL), it's the first match, and everyone is obviously feeling really motivated and focused, so I doubt we'll see many goals scored here. Details

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Everything I wrote for the MRA Navarra and Palma game will apply to this one. The first game at the final Spanish Cup tournament. The pressure of winning it, especially on Barcelona. I believe that will affect the offense while defenses will be particularly motivated. In the only head-to-head of the season, Navarra managed to scored a goal in minute 39 but that didn't help because they were in a big deficit. Two favorites were knocked out yesterday and Carmona's team is under a lot pressure now. I believe they can handle it but I think that both defenses will do very well, especially in the first half and that we will not see more than three goals here. Second and fifth best LNFS defenses are meeting here and we need to try and take advantage of this margin. Details

The Cup is one rather special competition. One game in which everyone can surprise is played. The two games that were played yesterday in which I expected surprises proved it. I was toying with going with counter handicaps but I really couldn't imagine that both underdogs (Jean and Burela) will knock out heavy favorites Inter Movistar and El Pozo Murcia. Why am I talking about what happened yesterday? Because it is now clear that the others will be under even greater pressure. There's only one favorite (Barcelona) left and they already proved to be vulnerable. Two teams that don't have the offense potential like two leading teams are to meet today and because of that and the fact the stakes are high, forwards will be under more pressure. The championship games ended at 6 and 7 goals but both teams had to do their best back then.
I can't deny that I prefer going with the Spanish unders and yesterday's games showed that we can expect something similar to happen again today. Slower surface, very focused goal keepers, the pressure, new ball - all of that and two well-experienced tough teams are the reasons I expect this kind of outcome. Details

This margin is a result of these two teams' last matches, Inter against two weakest teams of the league (Lugo 9-1, Tenerife 16-1), and Jean against two offensively oriented teams Jumilla and Ribera Navarro. I'm sure we'll be seeing a completely different match today. Both teams rely on defense primarily, especially Jean, and even though their last results don't show it, we'll be seeing a match with fewer goals today, with tough defenses. Inter have to win this if they want to keep the first place, while Jean could slip down from the fourth place that they earned the hard way, if they continue playing badly.
Daniel Rodriguez, the home team's coach, is aware of how important this match is: "There's only one goal on our side, like every week. We have to play like we do most of the season, knowing that we're playing in front of our own fans, leaving our hearts out there. I know we're playing against one of the best teams in the world, a very compact one with fast flow, and that leads to lots of one-on-one situations, where they're very efficient. A very complete team who come in a great form, and we have to face them with a disciplined defense, showing character that brought us to this position on the league table."
Both teams are complete, with no absences. Details

This is one of those games in which you have to go with an under. The first Russian cup game between Nickel and Novaja Generacija. The Russian cup games have the typical Cup model - the second leg played at other team's arena, which rarely results in goal keeper acting as the player and that is one of the main reasons futsal games end up in overs. A month and a half go, I said that Novaja will get better and that their bottom table position is not realistic. And that is exactly what happened. The team is now in spot 7 in the table, they're in the playoff zone, and reached Russian Cup semifinal. I expect coach Maevski to keep on pushing his style and to g with a more defense-oriented approach once again, focusing on counter-attacking. The Portuguese players on the team will wait for opponents' mistakes and will try and get the positive result today. On top of that, these teams are very close quality wise, which is another reason to believe in an under. Since I don't expect the goal keeper to play in the field today, I'll go with the higher stake than normally at overs/unders.
The bet is available at bwin, B365, and Marathon. Details

There are more reason for me to believe that Luparense will win this. They are the most successful Italian team and the defending champions are set to face a team in the 8th place of the table that is here only because they got points home. The more experienced and better team should win just because they are better and more motivated. Fabrizio are here to learn and since only one game will be played, there will be no chance for making amends. Luparense want to succeed after failing at Fustal Cup and Winter Cup. Anything but reaching final in the Italian Cup would be another failure. They were the better team in both head-to-head matches this season. They won 6-0 home and played a 1-1 draw away. Miarelli, Nore, and Mauricio are questionable at Luparense but all three are expected to play. Leandrinho is out at Fabrizio and De Luce questionable. Both are starters and that only makes me trust in the defending champions more.

For those of you who want to be sure I recommend the DNB option if it shows up in the meantime, because the game is taking place very early. Details