betprepare.com

This is a very important match since both teams need to win to secure the next round, while a defeat could see one of these opponents not get through. The Spain vs Sweden game will have a say in that as well, of course. Since this game is to be played first, we cannot expect either of these teams to hold back.
As for this head-to-head and some previous ones, we can't really draw comparisons as the circumstances are significantly different today. Both teams now play different game styles and the coaches are different too. The previous h2h results can therefore be misleading.
Germany are playing rather fast and have a tendency of playing as short attacks as possible. That will not really be possible today since Slovenia have a fast transition into defense. As for the German defense, we can expect a 6-0, which will not suit the short and technically skillful Slovenians. Mackovsek is a good shooter but his performances so far weren't that great.
Slovenia's defense is just like any other defense Vujovic was ever in charge of. It's very aggressive and border-line illegal, which could cause trouble for the young Germans, who have not really been faced with such a defense so far. Slovenia have a controlled attack which always looks to spot a player in the best possible position.
This is a clash of two defense-oriented coaches. Every goal will be worth double. It's hard to expect a very productive game - 50 or so goals are much more realistic. Details

We can hardly expect an efficient match today, for a few reasons. The first is definitely Koper's motivation to make up to the fans for the last defeat. That means Koper will be better defensively because they're the best defensive team of the league after Celje and Velenje. Then, except their game against Celje who are a league of their own, they have 4 unders on this margin in the last four games. They never conceded over 24, too. Gradec will hardly go over that number today. As for Gradec, they do play faster handball, but when they face a real defense, they're struggling. Let's also add that their first match ended at 44 total. The number is more likely going to go towards 50 than 55 today. Details

It is clear that this margin is based on some earlier head-to-head games between these two teams. Their last three games went over 60 goals. So why then are we betting on under? For several reasons. The first is definitely the Maribor coach's change in comparison to the last three games. Ivezic is no longer a fan of the fast handball Maribor played over the last years and at the start of this season. Now the greater focus is on defense. That is clear from Maribor's recent results where they hardly get over the 55 goal margin. Maribor faced teams faster than Krka and it didn't come close to this margin. Second, and perhaps more important reason is that Maribor were eliminated from European competition. Since they are faring quite well in the national championship,they will have to look to Cup for a chance to compete in Europe next year. Ivezic knows that well and it is hard to assume that they will engage in a sort of a race and crazy game which would reduce their chances of advancement into the next round. On Krka's side, we have seen over the weekend that they couldn't go over this margin against fast Gorenje, and the game was much faster than tonight's will be. Since Krka will also look for their chance of advancement, it is more likely that they will accept the home team's game.
The stakes are high and in this situation we should use the margin that is set by at least 2-3 goals too high. With that, the under imposes itself as a great choice. Details

Gorenje are now turning all of their attention to the championship, after getting knocked out of the cup, which is all the more reason for resting the players. We can expect a positive reaction from them, at least in the offensive end. We don't have to say a lot about their game. Fast transition and short attacks are their strong suit. They score 33,25 goals per game. Krka are one of the fastest-paced teams in the league, which their 58,66 goal average per game suggests. Krka went over this margin in the last two games, they are good in offense and do not do well on the defensive end.
As for some head-to-head games, 5 out of the last 6 went over this margin. If we went into a more detailed analyses, we would see that 4 out of the last 6 h2h games in the last 5 years went over this margin.
To sum up, we have to very fast-paced teams that don't play great defense. Gorenje are still shocked by the knock out and will look to play an appealing game. The h2h record is good as well, which is why we should see a game with a lot of goals today. Details

Gorenje are coming to Ribnica at an unpleasant moment. In a few days they have an EHF Cup return fixture, and this away game is seen as the most difficult on in the championship. Gorenje have played great in the championship so far, but it is likely that they will take it easy today. Actually, it is quite likely that they will make some rotations in the team. Ribnica have recorded two straight wins, and the last one against Krka 31-24 is remarkable. They had problems with efficiency in the last game and that is the only reason the game against Sevnica was tense until mid-way through second half. I will also mention that coach Cvijic keeps repeating that he is unhappy with his team's performances after the international break. He said that after all three games (Slovan, Ormoz, Holstebro). In such situation, the most important thing for Velenje is that there are no injuries ahead of the game of the season. So it is worth to bet on the handicap on the home. Details

Trimo Trebnje aren't as good as they were last year. Their last results make it obvious. Losing a home match to Maribor, barely beating the weakened Dobova, and a tie against Izola. A match in Velenje can be taken as a measure, they lost 42-22 to Gorenje. We should also mention they'll be rotating a lot today, and some younger players will get their chances. Celje have to make up to their fans for playing weakly against Veszprem. They'll definitely be motivated, that's something Tamše will insist on. The difference was 15 goals last year, and 19 two years ago, for Celje. We can expect an easy practice match today, and them getting ready for Veszprem. Details

Statstically, this margin is pretty right because Dobova's games average 54 goals while Gradec play games at 57 goals. But what is important here is that the bookmakers should not have taken that into consideration. Gradec played Ribnica (66), the fastest-paced team in Slovenia, Velenje (63) and Ormož (62) so far. All of those teams are much faster than Gradec and better as well.
On the other hand, there is Dobrova who played Celje at 60 and Ribnice at 65 goals. All those fast games lead to this margin. Since this is the derby match but of the bottom part of the table, we can expect the fight for every possession and a slower pace. That makes under a very good option. Details