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This game is super important for both teams. Ivry are trying to stay in the league, and they need one point to do it. Nimes are trying to get to play in Europe. Every game is life or death for them. They can't afford a wrong step. IVry are playing under this average at home, 54 per game. They have 8-3 under this margin. They had over against Nantes who were tired. Nantes are much better offensively than Nimes, and they had a tough period then. Saran doesn't matter here, or Montpellier at the beginning of the season. Nimes had 6-4 under this margin in away games, 54.7 per game. They went over against Nantes who don't matter here, and also Montpellier and Paris. Also Saran at the beginning of the season, irrelevant because they've got the weakest defense in the league. Looking at all that, there's one common thing in Nimes' opponents- they all play fast and end up at high numbers. That doesn't hold true for Ivry. Their first game was at 56 goals, but the defenses weren't their best at the beginning of the season. Both teams are saying they worked hard to get ready for this, and that translates to them being a bit tired. That only adds to this pick. Picking under in this game considering all that was listed here is pretty realistic. Details

Saran had an extremely bad start of the second part of the season - only one win in seven games. But that win was when the team was complete. What stands out is their defeats - Toulouse at home by one, Aix by two. After that they played away against Ivry, lost by four. Montpelier crushed them at home, 20-37. After that, weak Cesson beat them. Then they started getting injured, and lost to the weak Selestat. That was Selestat's first win, and they're almost definitely going to get to the second league. They are now hosting St. Raphael who wrestled Paris this weekend and lost in an incredible final, with the goal scored in the last second. Their form is rising, and their last results are showing it. They beat GOG in an important game in Denmark, 28-32. Then they finally managed to beat Chambery in their third duel this season, 30-25. They were even convincing in their win against Berlin. That all proves that their form is timed great, just for this part of the season. Their first duel ended in a tie, but the circumstances were different. Saran have three players in the back line today, and their best scorer on the right wing position is missing, so they can hardly get out of this due against St. Raphael unbeaten. Details

These two teams are in different forms ahead of this derby. Kristianstad have 4 wins after the Champions League ended. The +10 win over Lugio was the one that stands out. They can now focus on the domestic championship and we need to point out that they have nothing but wins home. Alingsas are on a two-game losing run and will definitely not be easy opponents today. The defeat in Stockholm left a trace on the team and that was obvious in the Guif game. They recorded an embarrassing 23-30 defeat. Alingsas won the first game home but that will only given and extra boost of motivation today. They will go full throttle, there is no doubt about it. Looking at Alingsas' results away, we see they are quite modest. They beat only RIK when it comes to better teams while the rest were a struggle and often defeats.
They are now to face a team which beat them two years in a row. They face a team that trashed them every time home and that wants to confirm his domination in Sweden. With Simić in great form, this should be rather straightforward. Details

Kristianstad finally have the chance to get the first place today, and they won't give up on anything. They're hosting the weak Hammarby. Kristianstad easily beat weak teams like those when they were the host. IFK Ystads twice, by 10 and 17. Kalskrona, who are the most similar to Hammarby with their game style and quality were beaten by 15, and Aranas as well. They also crushed Malmo and Redbergslids.
Talking about Hammary, they're pretty weak when playing away. Their results are pretty barren - they lost to Guif by 8, to Redbergslids by 11, Alingsas by 7, Savehof by 8, Malmo by 10, Guif by 4 and Lugi by 6. Also, Kristianstad had one day more to rest. The guests are certainly not used to playing two big games in a short while, so we believe that as the game comes to an end, Kristianstad's advantage will grow. These two teams played each other in Stockholm two weeks ago, and Kristianstad won 21-29. Things should end in a similar fashion today. Details

Some things can simply not be looked over in this case. Aranas are to play this away. They cannot put up a fight against any serious team for more than half an hour. They haven't had a lot of such games but let's look at their results. Malmo 15-11, Savehof 18-15, YIF 17-12, Kristianstad 15-7, even Karlskrona had a 17-12 lead by half time. Lugi, on the other hand, have the following results in Lund: Kristianstad 15-12, Karlskrona 16-7, Savehof 14-9, IFK Ystad 15-11, Skovde 16-9, YIF 13-10, Ricoh 18-11. Against teams of similar quality, they are always 4 or more goals ahead at half time. A plus to this tip is Aranas' win in their last H2H. The home team will be motivated. They already played in Lund once this sesaon - it was 31-13 back then. Today, with the right approach for the home team, the goal difference should be at least 4 by half time. Details

This game is important for both teams because both are far from the safe zone. Every point is very important. Total goals of these teams in the league are 53,9 and 52,4 but those teams aren't what these teams really are. They are hyped by bad defeats. Realistic numbers on both teams are at least 2 or three goals lower, which sets a completely different tone for this game.
Karlskrona don't have a proper over in important home games. IFK Ystads maybe stands out but they played away games at +60. Malmo, Lugi, Kristianstad, Guif and Aranas got limited under these numbers. Ricoh don't have many relevant away games but two stand out. One was to IFk Ystads which was well under and the other one with Hammarby. When it comes to Ricoh, we can take into consideration some home games and add Hamamrby, Skovde, Kristinastad and Redbersligs. Malmo are the only ones at 52 there.
And finally, there are h2h games. They played three so far and never got close to 50 goals. There is much chance for that happening now either given the importance of this game. Details

Tunisia have certain problems here. First of all, they're missing their first goalkeeper, and that's a handicap for them at the start. After that, they don't even have real replacements for all of the players, and as the tournament goes on, that will be felt. When we talk about Tunisia as a team, their offense is pretty bad. Of course, some will mention they recorded 30 goals against Macedonia, but that Macedonia and defense can't fit into the same sentence. Also, the preparation games in Croatia can hardly be relevant. They served only to paint a better picture about Slovenia and that's it. Tunisia showed their real face at the Olympics where they were terrible. They only played in the group phase, and this was their efficiency: France -2 at the opening, Denmark -8. They lost to weak Argentina, and Croatia tore them apart. Before that Poland did the same, Slovenia twice, and then Germany. Today they're the same team who can't be saved. Spain aren't known was a crusher team, but their progress is visible under the new selector. Still a lot of it is based on defense, but offensively it looks a lot better. Bosnia and Herzegovina and Finland were smoothly won, and in the preparations for this competition, Poland and Argentina lost with a double-digit difference. Qatar was at -5, but we know they're led by Rivera. They opened up the championship quite weakly against Iceland, they missed a lot, were searching for their game, fell behind at half-time. But, half an hour of real game is more than enough for them to show what they can do. In the end they won 27-21. Today there's no doubt they will be motivated, and that's hard to think of for Tunisia who tomorrow have a very important game against Iceland. Besides, we saw how Tunisia play when they fall apart. What's realistic is to expect that the best players will spend the second half on the bench. As the icing on the cake, we can mention the head-to-head from the last WC when it was 28-20, and you guessed it - Spain won. Today we can expect the same thing. Details

Tartan are today without their captain Pekar who is defensively very important. What's more important for this story is Rabek's absence. Presov's whole offense is centered around him, and he's everything for them. He's the only player who can seriously threaten the opponents' defense. Without him Presov is doomed to goals from wings and counter-attacks. That's not going to pass in the game against Montpellier through the entire game. Besides, we saw how Presov plays without Rabek in Ljubuski. It ended with the home team's first win this year. True, Sadovyi got a red card, but despite that, nothing was good. He's slow, always late. He's not worthy replacement. On the other hand, Montpellier are in great shape. They have six wins in a row, and all six were in this handicap. They started playing with their defense, with the return of Simonet they have an additional dimension in the offense. They pulverized Metalurg in an away game, they beat Nimes in a local derby. Today they're full of confidence and everything except a convincing win would be a miracle. They also won the first game in the handicap, and at the time Rabek was the best scorer of his team with six goals. No one recorded more than three from the others. Details

This is a big derby with high stakes. The prize is the first place, so we can expect the right approach from both sides. Lugi are currently the best defense team of the league who allow 23 goals per match. Alingsas aren't weaker, they allow only one goal more per match. Lugi so far are on an average of 51 goals per match, but that average is raised due to matches against Aransas and IFK Ystad. Aransas was crushing, and the only real fail was against IFK Ystad where they underestimated the opponents. Alingsas have bigger numbers, but there's a good reason. They crushed a few weaker teams where they pumped up the statistics, and then there's the derby against the fast Savehof. When some matches are removed, which are not as important for this one, then they're on much more "normal" numbers. Additionally, Lugi this season had three derbies and none went over this margin. And when we know that last season these two teams played at 47 goals, and two years ago a matter of life and death match, then we have not much left today but to go for an under. Details