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I think the margin is too high. Russia and Finland played three games in the last 2 years. The first one at Eurobasket finished at 160 points. Compared to that game, Finland is without Koponen, their top offensive end player, while Russia have Sved and Mozgov to count on. That game is a somewhat less relevant since Russia hired a new coach and made some changes to the team after Eurobasket.
Last summer, they played two preparation games which finished at 142 and 156 points. Koponen played for Finland back then, while Russia cannot count on Fridzon and Kulagin now.
Looking at the results after the new coach took over, Russia went over this margin in 3 out of 9 friendly games, while they played at 122, 145, 158 and 137 in qualifiers against Sweden and Bosnia.
Since the start of the preparation period for the last Eurobasket, Finland went over this margin in 3 out of 20 games. In the last one against Latvia (166), last summer against Germany in a preparation game (165) and with Serbia at Eurobasket (175).
I see the context of the game as a problem here but I think there is enough leeway given this margin. Details

I expect Spain to win convincingly and cover the margin. Even though there are no comparable games, I think Spain are much better than Israel. The Spanish team consists of their top players, they are all playing important roles in their teams, both in the championships and in Europe. The Israeli team consists of young players from the national championship, and the difference between the Spanish and Israeli leagues is great. Spain are also more motivated because they are fighting for a chance to play at the Eurobasket with the senior team. They are playing at home and I don't expect them to take it easy. The only downside to this bet is lack of relevant comparable games, but the quality difference is too big and Spain are more motivated than Israel, who cannot count on several key players. Details