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Haslum currently have an average somewhat over 59 but the 65 in the Cup should be taken into consideration there. Concerning the league, they ended the matches on 55, 59 and 58 against teams very similar to Arendal. The away team are dictating the set margin but realistically they can do more than that. They scored Runar 18 in the first half and then fell apart in the second. After that a rise against Stord was expected but they lost although they scored 27. As I expect Haslum on 30+, to go over the offered margin it is enough for Arendal to score 24 and I think they are capable enough for that. If Falk, Follo and the second league team Sandefjord did it, then they can certainly do it too. They had enough time to consolidate their play and today they should look better. The home team are a team that likes to outplay the opponent and they are very powerful in the offense. Details

Bodo are again playing against one of the weakest team in the league, at least according to what they showed so far. I will try to use that once again. In last round I recommended a win with two or more goal differential, but Falk proved to be a tough nut to crack at home, although Bodo had their chances. Today Bodo are playing at home against nominally weaker opponents, the atmosphere in the team is good and a win is expected. Follo are still searching their play and are still without a win in this season. Their offense does not function well and Bodo should use that to create some easy goals from counterattacks, as they did against Elverun. The handicap is set lower that I initially expected. If we take into account current plays and what both teams showed so far, Bodo are to me absolute favorites in this game. Details

Elverum showed a shameful performance against Kolstad in the Cup, which is actually the basis of my tip. I don't think the defeat came as a result of inferior quality or bad form; it was simply a matter of approach. To say that coach Berge was furious after the match would be an understatement. Allegedly, he had a team meeting with the players the following morning, and he asked them to reassess their priorities and attitude. Even without that, Elverum are the favourites against Notteroy, but due to the alarm bells in the locker room, I expect them to explode and win by a margin of over 4 goals. The players must prove themselves to the coach and the fans, and Notteroy are a good opportunity for such prospect. Details

If they win, Bodo will share the top position on the league table with Haslum. No one expected that to happen before the season started. I've already written two picks for Bodo matches so I'll avoid repeating myself. It's quite obvious from the preview that their defeat would be a major surprise because Falk is a newly-promoted club with no experience and of questionable quality. They are at the bottom of the league table and I expect they'll stay there after this match. Away team's goalkeeper and amazing backcourt players are, in my opinion, the basis for this pick to come through. I believe that the spreads are bookmakers' mistakes because they still underestimate Bodo despite the win over Elverum. I think Falk is bound to go +4, unless Lund and the gang play way below the expectations. Details

Today I am governed solely on the quality and recent form of the team, and the Pulawy team is superior to the hosts. Lubin made no particular addition to the team before the start of the season which means the ambitions and capabilities of the team remained the same. The team will probably struggle to stay in the top tier and this should be clearly visible by now. Defeats against Wisla, Kielce and Gornik are not surprising but the home game against Piotrkow showed that it will be difficult for them to get any good results. The backcourt line-up is a bit slow which should do well for the opponents' defense. Pulawy on the other hand is aiming for third place and if they want to get there they must win against teams like Lubin. They won convincingly against Piotrkow and Kwidzyn while they dropped a substantial lead against Legionow because they relaxed too early. These three teams are not worse than Lubin and I see Pulawy on over + 2 today. Details

This is first home match for Arendal this season. So far they played two away matches and they have won on both occasions in a very convincing manner. Those victories have certainly filled them with confidence and they must use the momentum they have. Before the season even started many experts have stated that Arendal could be the most pleasant surprise this year and if they wish to meet these expectations they must win points at home. Although Runar had pretty good start of the season their defence doesn't really look good. Their goalkeeper was the man of the match against BSK and they still managed to concede 33 goals that day. Arental are a better team and I believe they can win this one. Handicap bet is a smart move here. I expect Arendal to win comfortably. Details

I must admit I was surprised to see the odds for this match, as many things don't sound realistic. Kielce are a team that played the Champions league Final Four last year. They have won the national championship more than decisively. They have only grown stronger since last year, and their goals stayed the same to say the least. In their last 5 games they scored less than 33 goals in only one game, at season's opening. With all due respect to Porto, I don't believe they can leave a team such as Kielce under this margin today, regardless of their defense. The Polish team are not Benfica or KIF after all, and I see them playing a devastating match today. If they were playing an away game, this kind of a margin might seem too much, but as it is, I have to take it. Marathon so far also has a solid handicap of -9.5, which is also not a bad option in my opinion. Details

I mentioned in the announcement that Pulawy are missing a few players, but I also think that won't be a problem for them. This is the first real test for the home team and they have to take it seriously. Regardless that MMTS don't look too good at the moment, they could be their rivals for third place, which is their goal. So two points are extremely important today. Pulawy have an additional motive, which is revenge for last year's defeat in the battle for the bronze. The visiting team lost both away matches so far. First Pogon won conclusively and then Legionowo surprised them with their quality defense. If they could handle Kwidzyn's attack, I see no reason why Pulawy can't do the same, seeing as they had the third best defense in the league last year. Home team has quality and form on their side and I believe they can win by more than two goals. Details

Stal have been a disappointment to me so far because I know what kind of players they have at their disposal. I saw the game against MMTS, and they didn't look good in the first half, but improved in the second. Pribanic was their go to guy in attack, who did okay if you take into account that the opposing team figured out their game plan early on. He even ended up in the team of the week. Krieger at right back was a big handicap for them. He didn't even try to play on the right, but he kept coming back in the middle, which made him completely harmless to the opposition. Dzono will finally play in that position today, and I trust that will look much better. I expect to see a good performance from Pribanic again, and Adamuszek has proven his quality as well. Glogow lost at home to Pogon by 13 goals in the last round. I am convinced that Pogon is not that better than Stal. They simply have more experience and a better team understanding. Therefore, I am expecting a convincing home win. Details

The betting offices have put the margin based on the statistics which don't make a lot of sense after only one round behind them. Notteroy has worked hard on fitness this summer. They didn't train the triathlon and ran a couple of kilometers only to take a stroll down the out, but to be able to hold the same tempo during the entire game. The tempo wasn't the problem against Bodo. In the first part they scored 12 goals to a team which is defensively good, but then in the second part they fell apart. We've counted only seven or eight technical mistakes they made. We won't even mention the missed shots, unused 2-minute suspensions and penalties. It's not about the tempo, it's about the mistakes which won't happen in that amount in front of their own audience. Stord has a similar story behind them. But, in the match against Arendal they surpassed the margin, despite all the bad parts, which we need in this bet.

Today we expect a lot less mistakes in the offense on both sides. Notteroy had seven, and Stord 10 days to get some things straight. Both teams have excellent shooters, and we believe that this could surpass the 49 which is offered by the betting offices. Details

I will repeat only the most important facts from the preview. Wisla is missing very important players Wisniewski, Nikcevic, Spryzak and the second goalkeeper Wichary. On the wings they try to make up with Milas and Paczkowsi who are actually back players and didn't manage well on these positions against Gwardia, especially in the second half when Ghionea ran out of strength. That goes in favor of Gornik who are quite slow on these positions. The other thing are the former Wisla players Twardo and Kubisztai who should know how to play against their own. Lastly, Wisla meets Kiel on Sunday and seeing how they are a team weakened by injuries they wouldn't want a rough game today. Margins on spreads were up to 10.5 which made me happy at first but then they dropped even to 7.5. Germania has an excellent +9.5 on Gornik which I have to use. I don't see Wisla being ran over today and I recommend a symbolical stake on the win of Gornik. The odds at some points dropped from 22 to 12. Details

Even though this is the first game, I can't help to notice that Bodo is slightly underestimated so the handicap is at least two goals short. I won't be repeating the announcement. Words Borge Lund say it all. He is the man who will make the difference. Goalkeeper Christensen is quite assuring as well and I believe Bodo will score more than two goals more than Notteroy simply because they are a better team. Last season's second best defense is better in offense this year too and Lund should be able to bring these two together. Because this is only the beginning of the season, I'm placing a middle-sized wager. Details

I have to go for this tip today. The 39 goals MMTS conceded to a team like Pogon is simply too much for me. Stal gained a huge reinforcement in Pribanic who will definitely cause chaos at the line, which has always been a weak point for Kwidzyn. What is important for Stal is defensive play, which was very good against Legionowo. Dzono should enter the play today, which will add a new dimension to their play. Another important fact led me to go for this tip, and that is the somewhat pessimistic mood of the home team coach, who admitted he wasn't expecting good results for a while. I doubt he managed to change anything in a week. Stal are starting to resemble an organized team, and that might turn out to be crucial today. The odds are excellent compared to the current state of affairs. Details