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Füchse don't seem like a team that would beat their opponents by 10 goals or more. They went over 8.5 only against the league new-comers and relegation candidates, Eisenach, in the second round. Füchse came to this game after their debacle at Kassel against Melsungen. Their owner and coach were very angry, and the players had to react and in ended +14 for Fuchse They are coming into this match with four games in a row, their defense on the up, but this margin is still a bit too high. Minden are not such a bad team to lose by 10 goals. They lost both head-to-head games by 4 goals last year, and they have the same players this season. They've only once lost with more than 8 goals, and it was against Löwen at home (10 goals). Their biggest defeat in the remaining 4 games was 23-18 against Flensburg. Details

In their six games against Holstebro last season, Kolding scored over 26.5 goals on two occasions, when they won 28-16 and 30-26. But, Kim Anderson played on both occasions and he is missing today, and so is Karper Irming, which means they are forced to play a right-hand player as a right back, and this kind of offense cannot have the flow as the attack with a lefty, despite the fact that Lasse Boesen played this position all his life. But the team with Boesen, Spellerberg, and Lukas Karlsson in their back line is over 100 years old altogether and speed is not their strength. Kolding is gonna put everything in defense - Jorgensen, Boldsen, Laen, and goalkeeper Hvidt make a defensive wall that is nearly impossible to breach. Holstebro's attack is not really deep but their defense has been powerful for the past several seasons. They conceded 23, 25 and 28 goals in their first three games, and they conceded 28 goals when they won 35-28. We are in for a tight, low-scoring affair, and I think Holstebro are able to leave Kolding under 26.5. Details

Serbia is playing without their lead play Stefan Markovic today. Given that the coach Ivkovic was very unhappy with Micic and his play against the Ukraine, today I expect to see Nedovic as the lead play, and I expect to see many more balls in his hands. He's a type of the player who can't play without the ball for too long, and when he get a ball, he's very dangerous, especially in the open court and in transition. The French haven't impressed in defense during the championship and Parker never had a reputation of a top defensive player. But this is not the reason for this tip. The key factor is that Markovic will be absent and I expect Nedovic to get more play time. Details

Gladyr scored more than 12.5 in only two games of this competition - 17 against Israel and 25 against weak Germany. In the second round he scored 12 against Latvia (shooting 3/7 from open play) and 7 against Serbia (2/8 from open play). He will be facing probably the best defence of the Eurobasket alongside the Spanish team, so he surely won't have a lot of freedom. Maciulus is a great defensive player, and the Lithuanians will be fully aware that Gladys is a man to guard. This is an important match for Lithuania, so they won't be playing in second gear - therefore, this margin should be taken. Details

Analyzing position by position, I find Minden to be a much better team than Lemgo, and I can't see why Lemgo are put forward as favorite, plus on Minden's court. The back line Bilbija - Doder - Schapsmeier is no weaker than Lemgo's back line with Lemke (Lonn) - Herthom - Hermann. Minden's defense is much better, their goalkeepers are better and they are playing at home. Last season in May they played 21-21 against Lemgo. Lemgo then had the middle back Martin Strobel and the goalkeeper Carsten Lichtlein, the two German national team players who left the team last summer. Minden lost to Esmdetten in the last round, which influenced the quotes today, but the goalkeeper Babin saved 23 balls in this match, which doesn't happen every day. Practically, Minden were their own worst opponent, and even with such poor shot efficiency, they still had a chance to tie the match, but Bilbija missed. Their chances to win points are much better than what the quotes suggest. Details

The first round is always difficult, Chambery lost in Rennes, PSG did not win in Tolouse, St Raphaël played an even closing of the game with rookie Nimes... The vice champion Dunkerque are opening their season in Paris, and I think they will not have it any easier than the previously mentioned favorites. On the contrary. They have scored a win on Tremblay home court only once in the last five seasons, by 26-25. Last season, in tune and with a full roster, with Bosquet and Siakama, they lost 28-25. Today Bosquet is the first right back of Tremblay and Siakama is seriously injured. Tremblay is significantly stronger. Apart from Bosquet, they brought in Nantes from Ademar Leon, goalkeeper Gajic from Velenje, Tunisian national team wing Boughanmi, and are rightfully shooting at a spot among the top five. It did not look so good in the preparations, so I will not push the bet, but this handicap is practically good for a maximum bet. If Dunkerque even manages to win this, they would have to do something unseen to get a 4 goal lead. Details

I don't normally bet on this sort of thing, but here it really deserves a minimum bet. I've said it all in my previous forecast, Tremblay should be followed up for high odds on them not losing the game. Details

Holstebro performed poor in the first two rounds and today we will see a much decisive team, I am convinced. If the appearance of Michael Damgaard, an important left back, got confirmed I would be much more certain but I think they will win this match anyway. Last season they had an efficient tactic against Ribe, they played fast, they scored 42 goals at home and 35 in Esbjerg. As the offense was a bit poor in the first two rounds, I believe that during the week they prepared well for this match and this 26.5 is simply not enough for me. It needs to be played on. Ribe is not known as a very good defensive team, in the first round they conceded 29 goals at home against BSV and in the second round they conceded 28 against TMS Ringsted in a visiting match. Details

The statistics say that France has went over in 4 out of 6 games and Latvia in 2 out of 6. But statistics can sometimes be misleading. Against Latvia, Ukraine scored 51 points and Macedonia 66. The game against Montenegro had a total of a 145 points, and against the defensively minded Lithuanians the total was a 126 points. However, this will be a completely different game. France will do a better job in the offensive department than the Lithuanians did. Parker will surely take control because this game is too important for them and he won't allow the game to get out of their reach. In the last game he only had 8 field goal attempts. Latvia likes to shoot the ball and the players move around a lot on offense. France has problems dealing with teams like these, and this has the makings of a game similar to the one between Serbia and Latvia, where the total went over a 150 points. Two years ago these teams played a game that ended 89-78. Both teams have similar game plans, similar head coaches and similar types of players. If Batum has a good scoring day, this will be an excellent pick. However, we'll go in with medium stakes. Details

I was impressed with the game Chambery played against the champions (PSG) and runner-ups Dunkerque. They played 28-28 against PSG and won the game on penalty shootout, while they beat Dunkerque 23-21. They've won the Supercup without the Gille brothers, Bicanic and N'Guessan. In addition, their defense was great. This was their first title in 11 years and will be a massive confidence boost for them. Bicanic and Bertrand Gille were announced to return today, which means better offense and a stronger defense, and this defense was already great in the two games mentioned above. Cesson lost their middle back and brought no quality reinforcements, they also lost their left back and had some financial difficulties. Chambery have an awax game against PSG in round two, and they need a good game here. They conceded 23 goals at Rennes and I don't see them going over 25 today. The defense, lead by the goalkeeper Dumoulin can leave any opponent in lower figures. At the same time, Cesson also has a good defense, and they've shown that many times last season when they had low-scoring games. This team hasn't changed much since and I don't expect many drastic changes, which can be seen in the games against Billére and Sélestat. They had 31-28 against Nantes, but Nantes were missing several players and their performance was lacking .Today's game is round 1, the pressure will be higher and Chambery will come pretty motivated. Details

These two teams will be involved in many high-scoring games this season. St. Raphaël has brought in middle back Morten Olsen, who was involved in a lot of games that went over the total of 60 goals while he played for Hannover last season. Similarly, St. Raphaël usually scored 33-35 goals in their preseason games and they lost 34-33 to Montpellier, and that was without Barachet and Atlason. Barachet won't be fit to play for another month, while Atlason is listed as doubtful for today's game. Last season, when Nimes was in the 2. division, they played against each other in a cup match and Nimes won the game 32-29. Later on Nimes lost to Montpellier 30-28. There are still 12 players left from the team that played those matches, so there should be no problem with waiting for the team to gel together and we should be seeing the same style of play this season as well. The 55.5 total goal limit looks appealing, and some betting houses offer a 25.5 goal limit for Nimes, which is a good bet as well. Details

Without Henrik Hansen, Arhus are not the same team, especially on the offense. This was clearly visible in the last weeks away game vs Mors after Hanssen's injury. They were leading 20-15 a that moment, and then took 11 goals in the last 15 minutes, to barely manage a win by a penalty in the end. GOG on the other hand are a strong defensive team, with an excellent 6-0 defense. In their first round away game they managed to reduce Nordsjealland to only 8 goals till halftime and 23 in full time. In their home game Skanderborg managed only 24. GOG scored 13 of their 29 from fast breaks, precisely due to their 6-0 defense. This will not be the case today, as Arhus are better than Skanderborg, but I do expect the home team to struggle offensively. The option for 26.5 on Arhus, which you can find in some betting houses, is interesting, but since GOG are not doing well themselves against a set-up zone defense, I'll go with 51.5. Arhus won their first home match 23-19 against Holstebra, another team with a strong defense. Details

In two preparation matches Belgians scored 53 and 61 against Lithuania. Lithuanians take very few points here, two days ago team France with Parker only scored 62 against them. This victory will be meaningless if they lose today, so we will see a motivated Lithuanian team. This is a defensive team, with some great strategies, from Kalnietis´ play, to Marcus, one of the best defensive players on the tournament, and I have to mention the tall Javtokas and Valanciunas. Belgians dont have the power to break through such defenses, and could end up with less than 60 points scored. Details