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The over in today's match is logical because of fact. Thuringer are only formally in the fight for the Champions League quarter-finals, so they basically have no motive. Their coach Muller stated that their priorit by the end of the season is the German championship. Certain tactical combinations and rotations have been announced, and one of Muller's favorites is the attack with seven players, which is a double-sided sword. On the other side, Larvik's defensive has fallen. In the last four matches they allowed 29 goals by Byasen, 24 by Tertnes, 21 by Nordstrand (the second worst offense in the Norwegian championship) and 31 by Fleury Loiret in the last round of the Champions League at home. To sum up, seven of Larvik's last matches ended with an over of the offered margin. This match is heading towards at least 55 goals. Details

It's surprising that next to 66 goals from the first head-to-head of these two teams in this season, the fact that they have the better offensive potential compared to their defenses, on the "over" trend and the fact that the home team are practically without a motive, we have a margin for one goal less than the one before their first head-to-head by the end of October. The hosts announced rotations with juniors, the score is not important. This is definitely a match worth with a margin which is closer to 60 goals. Details

Nice have only two more regular season games left. They will try and make it among the top 6 teams and the playoffs. They have three points more and a game more than Besancone (6th spot) and Nantes (spot 7). This is one of the key games, which will require top focus by everyone. Also, this is the fifth game for them in the past two weeks for Nice. Everything we said about them goes for Metz too. They are playing three competitions and a point from this match would see them get a direct spot in semis as one of the top two teams.

Nice have 5 unders in seven home games at this margin. They are 4th best defense and meet the second best offense in the championship. Both teams have great goal keepers. Darleux at Nice has the best saves percentage, Glauser at Metz is top 3 in the league. Darleux missed the first h2h (a narrow 26-25 for Metz home). The first half of hat game finished with only 13 goals, which says it all. 40 goals were scored with 10 minutes left on the clock. Both teams will be without one players today - Abdemalek at Nice (scored 6 goals in the first h2h) and left back Aoustin at Metz. The general requisites for a game at 45-50 goals have therefore been met. Details

The margins for this game were published rather late. These two teams are only a point away. The margins were set based on their two games from the first part of the season. one was a championship game, the other one cup game. They both finished at 52 goals. Things are now much different here. Viborg were in search of form late September but they found rhythm and they're currently the most successful team in the second part of the season. They won 6 games in the last 8 rounds and haven't lost any, mostly on account of tough defense. They're the second best defense in Denmark at the moment. Both goal keepers are in top form- Greve at Raders is the 5th best goal keeper in the league. Randers are without the top middle back, who gave their offense rhythm as one of the fastest backfield players in Denmark. Finally, this game can affect their spot in playoffs greatly and unlike the first two games, teams will be more much careful here. The first two h2h meetings barely reached 52 goals. The situation here suggest under 50. Details

Even though this is a city derby between teams who are only three points away, Lublin are second, but they also have one match less than the fourth Zaglebie. The hosts have proven to be more unstable from the start of this year compared to Lublin who were defeated for the first time only last week after a nine-game winning run in the championship. Zaglebie have only beaten the leading Pogon in the last three rounds, but they also lost to Koszalinska and Gdansk, teams who are fighting for the play-offs and who are quality-wise behind the leading teams. They had problems during the middle of this week in the round of 16 against the second-league team SPR Olkusz whom they've managed to beat only in the finish of the game with 32-30. Lublin, after being defeated by Pogon, quickly rehabilitated in the cup and they beat Ruch in a visiting game with 28-15.
I think they're better, play-wise, they have the bigger width, and they've demonstrated that in the first match in the middle of October 2015 when they beat Zaglebie with eight goals of difference (30-22). Lublin's win had bigger meaning then if you know what it was between two matches in the Champions League and that a big number of players were injured back then. As for injuries, Lublin are only missing wing player Quintino, while Zaglebie will be missing middle back Semeniuk. Lublin were convincing last year too in both matches (31-24, 34-27), they are expected to reply after being beaten by Pogon and to return to winning in the championship. Details

This game is, for Viborg, the first of three they will be playing in the next seven days, they will play at Randers on Wednesday, and next Sunday they will host Esbjerg, two teams from the Top 3, and these games can impact the qualification for the play-off, and after these games they have to play EHF Cup Winners' Cup. Since it is expected they will win two points against a team that has already said good bye to the top league, we can expect Viborg to have an 'easier' approach to this game, to rotate more and a slightly more opened game in comparison to Viborgs performances in this period and in the next two games. Sonderjyske are playing without pressure, they insist on offensive handball, defense is almost in the background, and with such approach, in five games since the second half of the season starter, they are at an average of 32 conceded goals per game, and have only one under on the offered margin. As a team they lack competitive motivation, but individually they have players who will insist on bigger efficiency until the end of season. They are Madsen, currently fifth scorer in the league with 96 goals, third-best Polman from Esbjerg has eight goals more but also a game more, as well as winger Knudsen who could get into the Top 10 of best scorers if she has a good scoring night tonight. This is a game at 55+ goals. Details

In a span of 10 days, this is the fourth match for both teams. After a tough defeat in Zaglebie (23-33), on Sunday Pogon won as the visiting team in Lublin in a big derby for the top of the table (30-25), and only two days later they had an away match against Piotrcovie in the Polish Cup (30-24). As the leading team fo the championship, today they're up for their third derby match against the team from the Top Four, the third Elbag who are only one point away and if they won today, they would take over the top at least for a day. Next to the intensive fixture in which Pogon and Elbag are, there are a couple of more details for the under option. Elbag have the second best defense of the league. In duels against the Top Five teams (Vistal 28-19, 26-19, Lublin 21-23, 26-26, Zaglebie 22-29) all five unders were on this margin. The only match which ended with one goal above the today's offered margin was their first head-to-head which ended with Elbag's win 28-25. In that match there were only 45 goals (24-21) in 55th minute, in the last five minutes there were eight goals. The bast player of that match was Elbag's goalkeeper Solomia Sziqierska. Earlier she defended Pogon for eight seasons, and today she could be the potential key of success of the visiting team, and another argument to see this match at 50 goals max. Details

There are at least a dozen of reasons to expect another match with over 60 goals today. First and foremost, this is a clash of two most efficient offenses in Denmark. Esbjerg average 30 goals per game, Nykobing 29. Each of these teams have 2 players in top 10 scorers of the league. The first head-to-head of the season finished at 67 goals with almost 120 shots on both sides. Nykobing have the second worst defense in the league - allow 28,5 goals per game. Furthermore, neither of their goal keepers are among Top 15. Nyobing were awarded more penalties than any other team in the league so far. Esbjerg right behind. Reason seven is form. Esbjerg have 4 overs in the last 5 games, Nykobing have two overs but they played defense oriented teams to record three overs at 56 games each. Also, home team's pivot recently learned that she no longer fits into plans of the Danish national team coach. That seems to have motivated her a lot and she scored a total of 18 goals in the last three matches. She is determined to show the national team coach he made a mistake. Details

There are at least two reasons that suggest we'll see an open game devoid of attempts to tactically outplay the opponents. Baia Mare are in spot 4, their opponent in spot 4. The teams are 17 points apart. Baia Mare are set to face Ferencvaros from Hungary in Champions League on Friday. They will try and reach QFs in the remaining four games. On the other hand, they are now set to play a team lead by their former coach and assistant coach of Romania. Three former Baia mare players are at the visitors. The first h2h match this season, which took place mid-September was won by Baia Mare 30-25. That result is mostly what this margin was based on. Baia Mare's goal keeper had 17 saves in that game, while Braila's goal keepers had 15 saves. That says it all about the high intensity of that match. Zamfierscu, who is on loan at Braila from Baia Mare, didn't play that game since she joined the team the day after the game. Top CL scorer Pineau played only ten minutes back then and scored only one goal. The Romanian runner-ups gave more time on the floor to subs in that game overall. We expect something similar today - a match without much nervousness, without toughness in defense and with over 55 goals. Details

17th round brings us a real derby for the top of the Superliga between the defending champions and current leaders Lubin and second-placed Pogon. Selgros Lubin have a point more but also a game less, with a win they will secure their position. The competition is in its last third of the regular season, and with the way things are, the winner of this game will start the play-off from the top position. Home team are going into this match wanting revenge for the defeat in Szczecin in the first part of the season (23-29). That was Lublin's first and only defeat this season, and the reason for it was absence of 5 players (Kocele, Drablik, Syncerz, Repelewska, Midhailova). Quintino and Niedzwiedz are questionable ahead of today's game, but they trained and skipped the last two games, and the latter one will definitely be on the roster. Defending champions are fired up for this game, which is confirmed by goalkeeper Gawlik's statement that 'there are several games in the regular season which provide a lot of emotion, which are played with more adrenaline and in which it is necessary to show who is the boss in Superliga. That's the game against Pogon and we have to get revenge for the painful defeat from the start of the season, nothing more, nothing less'. Lublin had the whole week to prepare for the game, while Pogon played at Zaglebie on Tuesday and lost by 10 (23-33). At this field in the last 2 seasons, Pogon won only once and suffered five defeats in six games, all five were by six or more goals. Since one of the possible scenarios is that both teams could have the same amount of points at the end of the season, Lublin will not be pleased today with a 'simple' win, they will try to compensate for the 6 goals they were down in the first part of the season, so it is worth to bet on the offered handicap for the set stake. Details

Oldenburg are an 'over team' and that they prefer faster pace, but their current player situation and away team's pedigree do not suit the context that we will see a match at 60 or over goals, on the contrary, I am expecting a game with at least four or five goals under the offered margin. Home team's coach announced before today's game that he will only have 11 games in his roster who also played at the second to last away game at Blomberg seven days ago, and he announced that the points are most important today, they will focus on defense and insist on the lowest possible number of technical fouls. Three important back players are still out, Muller, Wenzl and Jensen, which means that, with two goalkeepers, they will rotate only nine players in the field. Oldenburg will in three days play against Goppingen and they will definitely have to properly dose their players. Celle are a typically defensive team, they base their results on quality 6-0 defense, classical positioning offenses which can often last too long without a finish, and the result of such performance is the fact that they have the worst offense in the Bundesliga with an average of 22 goals per game and not a single over on today's margin in the last five games. To sum it up, a game at at most 55-56 goals. Details

Aside the big rivalry, current form and Viborg's 6-game winning run, the handicap margin set here is at odds with what these teams an do here. The complete Midtyland lost the last away game in Silkeborg, which cannot hide the fact it was only their second defeat after a 12-game winning run in the championship and that they are still the main contenders for the title. They are doing well in Champions League as well and changed only two players between seasons. Viborg, on the other hand, changed everything. The home team are better individually and team-wise and have a better coach. Their defense is better as well. It breaks the rivals mentally. The home team won the first match in Viborg by four goals and had a 7-goal lead at HF. They beat Viborg after overtime in the cup final but that game took place only a few days after the end of World Championship and after a break of about a month in the Danish championship. Midtjylland were without 6 players who played at the WC. Viborg might be without their top right back today. I expect the home team to make amends after the defeat and a convincing win by at least 2-3 goals over this handicap. Details

In the match of the 14th round we have two teams who have so far in the season had the same record of wins and defeats (7-6). Sariyer are a favorite in this one for more than one reason. Of course, they're physically more rested and prepared. For Bursa this math will be their fifth in two weeks. Next to the two in the championship. Bursa won both times against Nantes in the challenge Cu with 3-1, and the second match was played on Tuesday in Nantes. Sarjyer first beat Halbank with 3-1 at the start of the second part of the season, and in the last round they lost to Fenerbahce in an away match (0-3). The second big advantage compared to Bursa is the bench. Bursa use only eight players. They also have quite a good coach, Edman Gokhan, one of the best. Details

The first match between these two teams took place in October of 2015 and finished at 60 goals, with 110 shots in total. The situation ahead of this match suggests that we should see another match like that, both when it comes to who will win it and the final productivity. Since Sonderyske are set for relegation (have been for weeks now), they are under no pressure to win, which results in a good offensive game (as good as it gets for them). Susanne Madsen is the fifth best scorer in the league and wants to finish among the Top 3. Left wing Knudsen has been doing brilliantly in the last 4 games. She scored 7 goals against Holsebro, 8 against the champions from Midtjylland and 9 to Esbjeg. Three of those are top three in Denmark. Three out of the last five Sonderjyske games finished with 87 or more goals. Kopenhagen found rhythm, their offense got better and they have internationals in almost every line. This is a great chance for those who are not doing as expected either now or throughout the season, to finally get their efficiency up. Details

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Molde have been on thin ice for a long time now. The players won only three points in 12 rounds and they're the bottom team. Still, the difference compared to the ninth Skrim, who are currently safe, is only three points, and the competitive program in the upcoming weeks shows that Molde, after matches against Halde, Raelingigen and Sole can find themselves far from the danger zone. The imperative are four or all six points in the upcoming three matches, and especially in the first two. Molde are playing those at home, today against Halden and on Wednesday against Reaingen. Since Molde lost since the end of last year their important back player, Tunisian Ines Khouildi, they got backup in the form of 35-year-old Tina Rustad Albertsen, former national team player of Norway. She played her last match at the end of 2014, but surely her experience and individual quality will help out Molde. Her debut is announced for today in front of the home fans. Molde this season played two matches against Halden. The first match in the championship at the very start of the season ended in a draw (23-23), at half-time Molde were leading with 12-9. Only two weeks later they met again as part of the round of 16 of the Norwegian cup, and Molde won that match with 24-19. In today's match the imperative for the hosts to win is huge, against a team whom they've already beaten this season. Details

A win of last-placed Jelenja Gora against defending champions Lublin seems like an 'impossible mission', but there are some reasons for which I believe the handicap margin is missed by at leas goal or two. This is Lublin's fourth game in 12 days, four of their players didn't travel here due to injuries: Niedzwiedz, Syncerz, Quintino and Repelewska, three of them are starters, and Drabik and Skrzyniarz played only one game after the long break. Next week they have the game of the season against first-placed Szczecin and according to Lublin's coach, Wlodek, they are already focused on that game: 'We willtry and focus on this game, but the fact is that Szczecin is subconsciously in our minds. We played a lot of games in this period, we are trying to catch our breath, we're having some injury problems so those players who haven't played a lot will get a chance in this game'.
On the other side, Jelenja Gora earned their first points this season on Wednesday. After a 14 game losing streak, they earned a sensational win in Gdansk (31-26) and announced that they will try hard to win more points. That will hardly happen in today's game, but they have nothing to lose here, they will play without pressure and try to get the maximum out against favored away team who are not complete. Jelenja Gora lost all seven home games, but they lost by more than 10 goals only once. Against leaders Pogon they lost by three goals (20-23), to second-placed Zaglebie by 9 (22-31). Details

Top Bundeslia's offense Metzingen are in high spirits after a big win over the title contenders from Bietigheim (30-28). They are now set to play Berlin, who are from from the danger zone and without any illusions about a chance to catch up with the top table teams. Mos importantly, they are without the two goal keepers, who will be replaced by two players from the youth ranks. Fuchse played Thuringer with such a team in a game that finished at 53 goals. What's important about that match is the fact the first half finished at 30 goals, while the pace dropped significantly in the second one thanks to Thuringen, who slowed down the pace and sealed their goal off by focusing on defense, which is the best in this league. Metzingen, on the other hand, play fast-paced game and score a lot from counterattacks, their top weapon. They have the top Budesliga scorer on the team (Anne Loerper (107 goals, 31 more than runner up Nadzinavicius). Loerper scored 17 goals against Bietigheim (7 from penalties) even though the opponents have the best goal keeper in the world (Wester). There was not enough time for either team to prepare tactics properly, which is why I expect the game to finish at least 2-3 goals over this margin. Details

True, Salihli are the team before the last, they have a single win after 12 rounds, but it's also true that they formed their team late and during the one-month pause in the championship they had certain problems because of which I believe they're underestimated in today's away match against Bursa. Salihli brought two new players, the Serbian receiver Dusanka Karic who will fit in nicely next to the setter Radulovic and opposite Bjelica. They also brought in Ceren Caglar who played for Canakkale last season. Finally, Salihli have a new coach, led by Sahin Catman. What's interesting for this duel is the fact that last year Sahin was one of Bursa's two coaches. He is a man who knows the situation of his former club very well. Salihli lost the first leg at home with 0-3, but that was at the start of the season. Even in such a bad roster Salihli were one or two points away from winning the set two times (23-25, 22-25). In today's match they have bigger chances for winning at least one set. This week Bursa had obligations in Europe, on Tuesday they played in the Challenge Cup against Nantes (3-1), which is another plus for Salihli. Details