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I have no idea why Falk are so overestimated, and Bodo underestimaetd. This is similar to when Falk played BSK, this just has a better margin.
They improved their game, but are still second league quality, with a few players they depend on. Their score didn't change - they've beaten Hallvard and LTH who are their level, but are still losing to more experienced teams. They only got defeats at home, every time over this margin. The only reason they were evened out in the game against Kolstad was because Kolstad were trying out a new defense that they didn't practice much beforehand. Even then, they were losing.
Bodo are in a completely different mood - they're in a 4-game winning run, and that's not just any kind of a streak. They've beaten the tricky Drammen who want to get the title and to the CL, Haslum, Halden who are dangerous at home, and then the champion Arendal. All those wins ended over this margin. Their win against Arendal was especially impressive, even the Norwegian national team coach thinks so. To make things better, Bodo didn't have their captain Aga in the second half, one of the key players, and Lund who was leading the team from the bench. Even though OIF have one of the best defenses in the league, they still allowed 32 goals. Falk's defense is the worst besides Hallvard's, and physically weaker than Arendal's, so this should be easier. Also, Bodo brought a great back next to Aziz, Bielenberg, who scored nine goals against OIF.
Their defense was never an issue, and the goalie Christensen is one of the best four in the league.
This game is very important for Bodo, too, to get more ahead of Haslum, and catch up the fight for the bronze. So, there's absolutely no way Falk can play an evened out game today, in my opinion.