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Utenis are the most inefficient team in the championship, they score on average of 0.68 per game. They played 7/10 home games at under 2.5 goals. Against an average team of Atlantas they played a game at 3 goals, at 4 against Zalgiris, 6 against efficient Suduva. Their last 4 home games ended with a low number of goals (0.66 per game), and among those is one against today's opponents that ended 0-0. Two home games after the Summer break ended 1-1 against Atlantas and 1-0 Suduva. On the other side, Strumbas have only 5/9 home unders this season, against Suduva, Zalgiris and Atlantas, with the exception of the game against Jonava, who are between these two teams in the standings, which ended 1-2 in the 91st minute. Both teams are at an average of 2.16 goals per game. In the last 3 seasons, 4/5 games here went under, 5/6 of their head-to-heads in the last year.
Even though both teams played efficient games in the previous round, I think that is because of good opponents, who are top teams. Both teams rarely score and in my opinion it is unlike there will be a lot of goals today, because they will focus on avoiding defeat. I am giving advantage to the home team, but in a game with a low number of goals.