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I believe France will win this easily by at least 4-5 goals. They have a much better subs and the top players who are on the team, unlike on Slovenia, who are without top two scorers. Also, Slovenia had 23 technical faults and conceded 16 goals from fastbreaks. The French coach said he wants better defense and that is why I'm mostly going with this tip. Slovenia won the Qatar game mostly because of Qatar's slow transition. That won't be the case here because France attack within seconds of conceding a goal. They are extremely efficient and beat most opponents on account of fast transition that doesn't allow the opponents to change the players. France won by this goal difference in 16 out of 23 competitive games over the past three years. They didn't in the aforementioned game with Slovenia and twice with Germany, Hungary and Spain but we need to note that they beat Hungary by 3 goals exactly. Slovenia, on the other hand, have just 5 defeats in competitive games over the past three years (Spain -1, Iceland -4, Switzerland -9, Hungary -3 and France -7). France beat Iceland by 7, 7 and 5 and Switzerland by 10 and 11. One meeting in Russia finished as a draw and the other one was a +7 win for France but we need to note that Slovenia could count on top two scorers who scored 26 out of 58 goals. Their absence is definitely a problem for Slovenia.