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Football » BiH 1. liga, 2. round
OddsStatsTip
29.07.2017. 20:00 Finished
Zrinjski - Siroki Brijeg (1:0)
Total goals 2,5 tip: Under   Viking
Odds Stake Min. odds Bookmaker
1.80 5/10 1.65 Bet365
The under of goals is the best option here.
Zrinjski were one of the biggest over teams in the league last season, they were at an average of 2.46 goals per game and scored the most goals in the league. They have 10/16 overs at home, and their coach announced that they will play offensive football from the start so it does not seem promising for the over.
However, we have to ask ourselves who will score for Zrinjski? Their top striker Bilbija (10 goals last season) is injured. Their top scorer, Mesanovic (11 goals) left the club, so have Petrak, Tomic (both 5 goals), Peko (1 goal). These players scored 32 goals combined last season, which is 60% of their goals last season. Even with all of them in the lineup, Zrinjski scored only one goal in 4 games against Siroki last season, and they were all under. For this game, the players in competition for the offense are: Pezer (2 gls last season), Perisic (2), Mrkaic (no goals last season) which does not seem intimidating. Todorovic will be the biggest threat from the midfield, he scored 7 last season.
The second important thing is Zrinjski's defense, who were the third best defense last season, and have remained practically unchanged. So we have Zrinjski's weaker offense, but equally good defense as last year. Even though these two teams played many efficient games, the fact is that in the last 6 seasons, in championship games, we have 5 unders in Mostar. The only over was 3-2, and in the other five games they scored 2 goals overall. In the last three seasons, their games ended 0-0.
Zrinjski had only 6 unders at home last season, among which are Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar (two top defenses in the league, two out of three teams with the lowest average of goals). Against Sarajevo their played 1-0 and 3-2 at home last season, against Zeljeznicar 0-4 and 0-0. Since Siroki were taken over by Sablic, they have played 16/20 unders, and finished the season with 11 unders in the last 12 games. In the new season they played 5 games, all five under. They will still play the same way, and the statement by coach Sliskovic that defense is their weakest spot can only motivate them further.
The game is played at 20:00, the temperature in Mostar will still be high, and it will not be easy to keep the pace. This seems like another under to me.
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