betprepare.com

Even though the statistics aren't great when picking handicaps this big on Granollers, we should keep in mind his opponent proved this is a great chance. First, Ilkel was never top 400, and even though he gave some challenger players a hard time, it was all hardcourt. He was always worse on clay. He only got two games against Džumhur last year, and only five against Gimeno-Traver. He lost his only clay match this year to a player out of top 800. Going even further back, he only took three games from Riba on clay two years ago. That shows Cem isn't doing well in these conditions, and now he'll face Granollers who's in a good rhythm. The Spaniard finally got it, he's been waiting for it for a long time. Winning a big challenger, second round of Miami, Monte Carlo quarterfinal, second round of Barcelona. He's worth at least Top 50 ranking, and I don't doubt he'll want to continue this good rhythm, especially because he's been struggling with the results in the last two seasons, so he'd want to keep this positive momentum. Besides being an experienced ATP player, he also does his best on clay, which can't be said for Ilkel who loses every clay match against an opponent of even a little quality. I think that's what's going to happen today.