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Dimitrov is not playing as he was expected to play starting few years ago, but he easily dealt with players like Ungur this season. Even though he lost a set to Trungelliti in the AO, later on he beat Sela, Kudla and Krajinović with this handicap. And Sela and Kudla are much more dangerous on hard courts, it's more difficult to cover the handicap against them than it is against Ungur on clay, and Krajinović is better than any of these four. Looking at Ungur's ATP results, especially when he played much, much better, we can see he always struggled. He covered +5.5, but focusing on clay, he did it in only five of 14 matches played, and that's not a good statistics for a handicap that high. Sela can't play on clay, Lopez struggles with the return, Pospisil, and Krajinović yesterday. He didn't cover it twice against Zeballos, Robredo, Istomin, Monaco, Goffin,Garcia, Montanes and Pella recently. They're all definitely better than Dimitrov. Ungur's season has been awful, his score was 2-7 before Istanbul. I think Dimitrov can win at least one set with a double break, and that should do it. Even when he was elite challenger player, he would lose to ATP players easily, and I don't see how he can win today considering his form and the level of tennis he's been playing lately.