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Montanes is obviously feeling young again, playing great in his 36th year. His confidence was boosted back after San Luis Potosi, Marrakesh (semis) and Barcelona (third round), proving he's still got the game for the ATP level. Now he's in the Top 100 again. He did a great job here, not letting his rivals get even a set in the first two rounds (Laaksonen, Kicker), and he was especially dominant against the Argentinian who only got four games.
Reuter seems a less dangerous rival in comparison. He shouldn't have even been her after losing to Beck in the qualifiers, but he got in as a lucky loser after Brands pulled out. He beat Brown, who is completely unpredictable, and then used the favorable draw in the second round, Maden who got only one challenger win ever, here in Heilbronn this week. He did play well, but there's no denying that he also had a lot of luck getting to the quarterfinal. True, Reuter did make the favorites' lives complicated a few times - like winning a set against Clezar last season, making Haider-Maurer struggle. But those are occasional flashes, and I find more interesting his series of blunders at the futures level in the last month and a half. He got beaten by Tatlot, got only four games against Venturino who's out of top 900, and got beaten by Artunedo who's out of top 600. He was a big favorite in all those. On the other side is Montanes who's playing great tennis right now, and who has beaten Sousa (30th player of the world) in Barcelona recently while staying under this margin, and he took Nadal to a deciding set in Madrid, and stayed under this margin in all his wins in Marrakesh and Barelona (Škugor, Gimeno Traver, Bagnis, Carballes Baena). All players ranked better than Reuter. The Spaniard did recently make a big mistake in Estoril qualifiers, losing to Caruso. That defeat is difficult to explain, it just wasn't Montanes' day. But, he showed in the first two duels in Heilbronn that his crisis is over, and if he left Laaksonen and Kicker under this margin, I think this margin of 21 games is definitely worth a medium stake of under. It's hard to see how Reuter could take this over, especially after Montanes who's been very focused and in a great mood in the first two rounds.