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I have been playing safe bets on Kozlova for two back-to-back rounds and it is clear that the Ukrainian is feeling great right now and that she is on her way towards the Top 100. Her form is great, especially on clay. She reached the semi-final in Istanbul, second round at Rabat and won a set against Bacsinszky. More importantly, she demolished two players similar in quality to Soylu. She defeated Pegula by 7, and then Feuerstein by 8. When we look at the stats this season, against players outside Top 150, Kozlova mostly covered this handicap. She played 12 of those matches, won 11 of them, and in those 11 wins, she covered -5.5 handicap 8 times. That tells us how she handles players like Soylu, and it was all this season only. More impressively, her record against Top 100 players this season is 6-5, if we count in Kanepi in that group. Of those 6 wins, she covered this handicap 3 times, and three more times she won by 5, which is impressive. These are all easy wins, and she lost to Ivanovic, Vesnina, Kovinic, Bacsinszky and Witthoeft. When we look at the first two rounds here, where she demolished her opponents, I think we have the right to conclude that Kozlova will win today. She is a better player, in better form and momentum and she is playing great, Top 100 tennis. Soylu, on the other hand, has 0-5 against Top 100 players in her career. Three times she lost convincingly, twice by 4, but she did not win a set once. She clearly lacks the quality to defeat players like Kozlova. The Ukrainian is the 111th in the world, but her tennis is Top 100 quality, especially on clay. She faced players ranked from 101st-150th position three times this season and lost all of them, by 6, by 7 and by 5. All convincing defeats, like most of her matches on clay this season, and none of the players she faced were on Kozlova's momentum or her current tennis level. By 11, by 8, by 9, by 5, by 6, by 3, by 5. Those are her defeats on clay this season, five of which were against players outside the Top 200 who cannot be put in the same sentence with Kozlova. It is important to point out that she did not win a single match as the underdog.