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Even though Simona remembers much better days, as good of a player she might be, a lot here is based on betting against Hibino. The Japanese is simply not playing well in these conditions. Until this season, she did not have a single WTA match on clay. This year she recorded two wins, one against a 15-year-old who almost defeated her, and against Jani who doesn't belong to WTA level. Mediocre WTA player Buyukakcay limited her to only three games. Also, Hibino never defeated a Top 50 player, and she never fared well against Top 10 players. She won 4 games against Sharapova, and only two against Muguruza this season. We should say that both matches were played on hardcourt, a surface that suits her much better. The difference between her and Top 10 players is even bigger on clay, especially when it comes to a good clay-court player like Halep. Simona won 6 matches in Madrid, half of them in this under, and she played against similar or better opponents than Hibino. She limited Doi to 3 games, and the Japanese is also not very good on clay, but still better than Hibino. Two year ago, this would be an ever safer bet than it is today, but with the performance from Madrid, and considering Hibino's records on clay, and how she fared against Top 10 players, this is still a great prediction.