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Sorribes recorded only one Top 100 win on clay this year, against Cristeja in February (Romanian's 8th match in 12 days). She convincingly lost all other matches against Top 100 players this year, and in straight sets. From the start of season she lost to: Vesnina by 4 games, Bertens by 5, Stosur by 8, Pavlyuchenkova by 10 and Baczinskzky by 7 last week. Sorivbes lost this year to Lim and Kostova by 6 games as the favorite, to Krunic by 3, to Arcangioli by 4, to Tomova and Vikhlyantseva as the favorite.
Larsson, on the other hand, mostly lost to Top 70 players this year (6/7), Her only defeat outside that circle was to Goncalves. On the other side, Larsson's ten wins on clay this season are against players outside the Top 100. In those ten matches, she lost a set twice, all others she won in straight sets. She defeated Dominguez Lino by 4, Vekic by 8, Hsieh by 4, Mattek by 6, Sadikovic and Peterson by 5.
In her three matches here, Sorribes showed good stats on return, but her serve is bad. In three matches, she lost her serve 19 times, made 26 double faults, and gave 49 break chances. With such performance, her chances against Larsson are minimal, and it is unlikely anything will change over night. Larsson has not lost a set in six back-to-back matches here (this and last year), and she convincingly defeated all her opponents last year. Hogenkamp by 8, Friedsam by 5, Strycova 7, Putintseva 6 and Barthel in the final by 4. She broke the ice here against Peterson, she limited her compatriot to only two games in the second set, and we should expect her to start strong from the start today.