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Against Top 50 company, Linette's record is 2-21 in final matches. In one match (Putintseva) sve was saving two match points, and what's the same thing with both wins is that both Putintseva and Diyas were in a very bad rhythm at the moment those matches took place. In the 21st defeat Linette covered the 4.5 handicap only once (!). Against Lisicki (lost with three points of difference) in moments where the German was in a bad rhythm at the start of the season. Peng ins't that in this case. This year she had four out of five defeats against Top 50 players + Bellis who is "dangerously" close to that company. But what's the most important thing right now is that her eight wins she recorded in two sets. She covered the 4.5 handicap in seven out of eight wins. The only players against whom she didn't achieve the same was Stosur (Top 20, and he beat her with four games of difference), and the minimum she won was with six games of difference. And those were names (the brackets show the game difference). Kasatkina (7), Zheng (8), Siniakova (8), Safarova (6), Tsurenko (10), Strycova (7), Chang (7). OK, let's "kick out" Zheng and Chang, the rest of the players are Top 50 (Strycova and Stosur Top 20). Linette never was one, and she is up for a fight to maintain her Top 100 status (Zheng and Chang are relevant here). As a good alternative is also Peng's win in two sets, as well as the under of 20.5 games (all eight wins this year was in two sets and all matches were under this margin). But Linette was known for "snatching" away a set from Top 50 players, so the handicap option seems like a better one (the latter two options I suggest for the middle stakes, like the handicap -5.5).