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Football » Portugal 1, 27. round
OddsStatsTip
04.04.2015. 18:00 Finished
Benfica - Nacional Madeira (3:1)
Handicap -1.5 tip: 1   Absolution
Odds Stake Min. odds Bookmaker
1.71 5/10 - 5Dimes
Benfica are still huge three points ahead of Porto and to stay up need to win today to also make up for the Rio Ave defeat last round. I wanted to go with a sure win for Benfica but there is material for a tip here because Benfica do brilliantly home, sending off opponents with three or more goals. The goal difference in all of their 12 wins in 2015 was at least two goals. The goal difference in the 7 home games is 24-0. They don't have Luisao but Gaitan's comeback is much more important for this kind of a game anyway. Salvio and Jonas are in brilliant form (Jonas has 5 goals in the last 5 rounds). Nacional have good results in 2015, but Benfica are on a completely other level. They keep on conceding too many goals away despite doing well each next round. They conceded league high 28 goals in away games. Three players that missed the last round game with Porto are back but Nacional know how tough it will be today. They always lose here and will lose again, especially because they play the key game of the season next week. The -1.75 option is more suitable for the odds at 1.70+ than 1-5, which we can't miss out on.
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