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I already said that Iceland will have problems with the Greek defense and the only option here is under at Iceland, both first half and total. In preparation games, Greece allowed an over only once in relevant games - to Britain in London. The last unders in Athens where they played all the good teams at lower numbers are a good thing. Iceland are much lower than them offense wise. At that EC from two years ago, they limited all three relevant opponents under (Macedonia, the Netherlands and Belgium). Looking at Iceland's results in preparation games, they went over the 67,5 margin only against Russia who are quite faster. Hungary limited them under three teams and the Greek defense is much better. At the last EC, Iceland were in the toughest group and stayed under this margin with Serbia, Germany and Italy. They want over only in the last meeting against Spain. This is the start of the tournament and the stakes are very high. Greece seem pumped up. They don't have much quality in offense but they are very good on the defensive end. Their back court will put a lot of pressure on Iceland, stop their three point shooting. I think Iceland will fight for every point here.

First half is just as good an option. I know this could fall apart if Greece take a big lead but Iceland could hit 23 like against Lithuania in one quarter but they cannot keep that up.