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Peru have better quality and there is no doubt about which team will win this. They are at the same time in a competitive rhythm and have had 8 official matches this season already. That gave them experience and quality. Mexico played their first game yesterday and were not convincing against Algeria. They beat them in straight sets by 17 points. That same Algerian team lost to Peru last season in Grand Prix in straight sets (25-16, 25-17, 25-12). It was by 30 points in total. I don't know why this handicap is set to low. Other than it, it's worth going with the straight sets win and the sets over and under. I don't think Peru will be holding back here and I expect their win by at least 20 total points. Details

We had 1,60 at Croatia against Cuba and now have 1,35 at Croatia against Colombia. Colombia are better than Cuba, which they proved last season when they beat them 3-1 at Grand Prix. The Colombians won easily by 14 points. Compared to the last season, they have two great players Montano and Moreno now. Add the good blocker Zuleta Garcia to the mix. We can say that this Colombia is some 40% stronger than last year's Colombia. Croatia beat Cuba 3-1 yesterday by 18 points in total. I would estimate this at 55-45 for Croatia who have Fabris, Topic, Jerkov but also a young libero and no so experienced blockers. It will take them time to get working together. I think we can expect a close match. Colombia have been in training longer than Croatia. They have had one month of preparation played the qualifying tournament for the Olympics at which they lost the key match to Puerto Rico. Croatia lost to weaker Puerto Rico in Grand Prix last year. They are of similar quality now and know what a tough game this will be. I agree with that. The Croatians cannot be such heavy favorites. I would maybe even set the odds at Colombia willing which we can find at the pretty high points handicap at Colombia. Details

On the one hand we have Puerto Rico, who are a well-experienced team who have already proven themselves and on the other side we have the Czech Republic, who are without top two players from last season. The coach has a task of building a new team. This will be their first game with this new team. You can't build a team overnight and I don't expect the Czechs to put up a great performance today. They are still far away from the team they could be, as the friendly matches showed. Puerto Rico secured a spot in the Olympics and that's big for them. Their form is much better than the opponents and they played more important games for far. They opened the key game in the race for Rio against Colombia brilliantly. You cannot even compare the experience and the kind of a game that stems from it between these two teams. They met twice in Grand Prix and each team won once. The Czechs will be without their leader Havelkova today and Vanzurova, who won 13 points back then. The very good blocker Sajdova won't be there either. Top libero Selihamer is out at PR but that's it. They came to Algeria early this week, their coach is extremely optimistic and this will be an ideal preparation for the Olymicps for them. The Czechs first need to build a team and then focus on results. Details

These two teams faced each other in Japan a bit over a week ago, in the qualifiers for the Olympics. Peru won 3-1 (19-25, 25-22, 25-23, 25-23). They only had one point total more, and that was a completely evened out game where the Peruans played better in the final moments. Nuances decided. The final result and the game they showed is the measure for this bet. Kazakhstan were better in the block, Peru were great with their service, and Leyva was in a great mood, winning 30 points. Something similar can be expected today. Peru are a young team, they definitely can't be this big of a favorite. Kazakhstan played with this team for the first time in Japan, and they'll continue the Grand Prix. The Kazakhs should look better now, with seven competitive games already played. They'll also be eager to get even to Peru for losing in Japan. Also, the game is played early, 3 o'clock, which is 8am in Peru, and 7pm in Kazakhstan. The handicap of points for Kazakhstan sounds like a good bet, considering everything we've listed. I think the margin should've been at least 2-3 points lower. Details

We can say Thailand were robbed against Japan. Two red cards in the fifth set and two point penalty saw Japan win. The cards were given because the coach complained about the technology not working well during substitutions. That gave the refs a chance to help Japan, the hosts of the tournament and the country which invests more into volleyball.

That defeat saw Thailand lose chances of reaching the Olympics. Following that match, Thailand players were in tears. Four years ago, they lost the Olympics because Serbia and Japan rigged things, while the farce caused by the refs won's see them the Olympics again. Thailand had 12-7 in the fifth set of that match. After all, they must be far from a good mental state now. Physically, the match against Japan was tough too. Also, they will play Kazakhstan early in the morning, which is not good.

Kazakhstan are without any wins and without a chance of getting spot in the Olympics. Something like that was expected since they played with a lot of new players. This is a match in which they need to do more and I expect them to play the best match so far today. They will try their best today. Kazakhstan played a close game against Peru after putting the new setter and libero on the team. Peru beat the Dominican Republic here in straight sets, while Thailand lost a set to the Dominican Republic.

Since this is women's volleyball, it is quite possible that Kazakhstan will get a set here. They are much better rested and in a better overall state. Thailand are shaken up and they're not exactly a team which crushed their opponents. The Dutch, who lost a set to to Kazakstan, beat Thailand. Kazakhstan can play a brilliant set and then lost the next one. Because of that a set is a better choice than point handicap. It's paid better as well. If you are frightened by the high offs at the set for Kazakhstan, you should go with total points for Kazakhstan better than with points handicap at them. Bet 365 have margin at 54,5 points for that bet. Given all of that and the fact this is women's volleyball, a set for Kazakhstan is a value bet for me. Details

A re-run of the last year's finals, a re-run of this year's cup finals, a clash of two best German teams who this season played in the Champions League. Dresden are the defending champions, but Stuttgart won't go down easily. Similar was in this year's cup finals which Dresden won with 15-10 in the fifth set. At this point Stuttgart have more confidence than then, on Wednesday they beat Schwerin in a visiting match with 3-0 and earned the finals, they're in good shape. This is a match in which they can be carefree. Last year's finals started with Dresden winning in the fifth set. Thus ended the third, determining match of the last year's finals, the second was 3-1 for Dresden and the only one which last year in the finals went into an over. This season Dresden won in the championship with 3-1 at home, but with a heavy over of 196 points. Stuttgart crushed them at home in three sets with 23 points of difference. In short, I expect Stuttgart will stand up to the champions, but I don't expect Dresden's 3-0 win, and the margin for the over is quite low. Two matches this season out of three it went into an over, in the third Stuttgart were the ones who didn't allow the over. Details

Bergamo won the cup, but they are still not trusted. Individually, Bergamo are a team for the very top of the league, their matches at the cup's Final Four confirmed that. They beat Piacenza and Casalmaggiore, clubs who are stronger than Modena. I expected biggers odds at Modena. Bergamo are filled with confidence after they've won the cup, and I expect them to continue doing well. It seems they discovered the winning formula. The Dutch Plak finally got Lavarinio's trust. experienced blocked Djursic proved to be good. In the first part of the season Bergamo crushed Modena in three sets. In neither of them Modena didn't win 20 points, they were left at -23. Today we have +9 at Bergamo. Modena are not the very top and there are really no reasons for them to be as favored as they are today. They have been without matches for two weeks and because of that they're surely out of rhythm. They're not at 100% because captain Di Iulio is coming back today after a month and a half of being absent due to an injury. During the week middle block Folie missed some practices, so she isn't fully ready either. There are a lot of reasons to follow through with the handicap of points for Bergamo. Details

No need to play clever here, the margin is low, and this isn't a match where I expect over three sets. Now there's a dilemma, because the first two ended with 3-0. Not something that was really expected. TENT won the home one 3-0, but with intense two sets that were decided in the final moments. Zeleznicar won the return fixture pretty easily, and unexpectedly. TENT's form dropped by the end of the championship, their games were weaker than at the beginning of the season, partly because of the receiver Stanimirovic's injury. She's still out. The block Vucicevic isn't ready, either. They ended the season 1-3, lost the leader position and got to the playoff as the third team. Zeleznicar beat them in the last round, in five sets, in a match that really mattered for TENT. So, these two teams faced each other in the playoff quarterfinal, and let's also add that the two championship duels ended in the fifth set, TENT won at home. There will be pressure today, even more so for TENT because they're expected to get to the semis no matter what. There are two overs and two unders between these two, but considering how important the match is, I don't expect either to show much quality. The picks for the first two expected long and intense matches, and didn't go through. When you put everything down, there should be at least four sets here, and in that case there will be over since the margin is pretty low. Details

These 1.07-1.12 on Kazan's win are not realistic. Based on that, we could think that they are facing a mediocre Italian team, and not Piacenza who will be fighting for the title this year. Kazan are not dominant in Russia this year, they are second behind Dynamo Moscow who were in the group with Piacenza and they defeated the Italian team 3-0 in Russia. The team from Moscow also recently defeated Kazan 3-0, and they lost at Piacenza. Looking at the team rosters, it is clear to anyone who follows volleyball that Piacenza are a quality team. Their setter is Ognjenovic, one of the best in the world. Their block is led by French Bauer, and Dutch Meijners would still be a part of one of the world's best national teams if there weren't for some ghosts from the past. If we add to that another Dutch player, Belien, and several experienced Italians (Sorokaite, Leonardi, Marcon) we get a team worth the Final Four. True, they do not have Gamova, but Kazan do not have the same width Piacenza have. With that, Del Core is not at 100%. Kazan were not great, they couldn't even defeat Uralocka 3-0 in both games of the previous round. They defeated Krasnodar in the championship, but their opponents were at least 30% weaker than usual, because Koseleva was absent. Except for the mentioned game in Moscow, Piacenza lost 3-0 only once more this season, to super-strong Conegliano, but they were not complete. This pair reminds me a lot of last season's knock out stage match in Champions League between an Italian and a Russian team. Arsizio faced Dynamo Moscow, the Russians were seen as favorites, but Arsizio went to the Final Four with two straight 3-0 wins. It is true that Kazan will have to adjust to Piacenza's game, Piacenza's set is paid great here and we should use that. Details

Savino are in very good shape, they won in the last five matches, and their win against Novara on Wednesday proves they can take on anyone. Novara were the last one to beat Casalmaggiore three weeks ago, when they were quit tired from their European match in Azerbaijan. Surely the bet at a larger number of points has its value. The limit is too low. Savino are capable of creating problems for the current champions. They created them two and a half weeks ago in the cup, they won a set at the time, and they were very close to winning two. At 1-1 in sets they had 22-20, in the third set, but Savino have raised their shape since then. By wining they raised their confidence, they're aware they can take on Casalmaggiore. Besides, they beat them in the first championship match at home. I expect Savino to at least take a single set. Personally I would put here a limit of some 175, 176. The cup match of these teams ended with 177 points, the championship one with 213. Casalmaggiore are prone to oscillations, often they headed into the fifth set this season. In the last three months they beat only Bolzano and Vincenza with 3-0, and those are teams who are fighting to stay in theleague. They were at 187 points with Modena, and before that with Arsizio at 214. Savino are underestimated. I expect them to be tougher today than they were two and a half weeks ago in the cup. They are a team who don't give up, and they give little too. I can't ignore their good shape, and Casalmaggiore are not the most stable team out there. Details

VCO Berlin haven't and won't beat anyone this season in Bundesliga. Out of 21 matches, only four they didn't lose with 3-0. They have a very bad generation of players, they're losing convincingly and I expect the same to happen today. As for this handicap, last weekend they lost to Aachen with -23, in February to Kopenick with -30 and to Suhl with -20. Suhl are the worst team in the league, but stil better than the. Wiesbaden need three points in order to stay in the Top Four race, they won't make tactics around it, and an additional reason is that there is a break in the championship after this match. Wiesbaden will have two weeks to prepare for the final of the season. In the first head-o-head they froze VCO Berlin at -27. A Berlin will be without both start middle blockers Kunkler who is also the leader of the team, and Weidt. Without that duo they're at least 30% weaker, Wiesbaden should win this with 25 and more points of difference. The stakes would be even higher if the bet was more available. Details

There are a few reasons for us to trust Italy's defending champions today. First of all, they did much better than Novara so far this season. They won the first h2h in straight sets home by a total of 21 points. Novara have a different coach now, they have a few straight wins, but all of them against teams from the lower part of the table. They lost to Modena easily, just like in Azerbaijan on Thursday. They did play without two middle blockers, one of whom could be out today as well. Bonifacio's mother passed away and who knows what kind of state she'll be in. Novara played on Thursday there and we can say they didn't have time at all to prepare this game. their opponents, on the other hand, had lots of time. They played their last game ten days ago and in a much better situation ahead of this game. Piccinini has fully recovered, they seem much more organized than Novara. Cassamalgiore are more stable at reception this season, Novara's setter Signorile has been struggling all season long, while the acquisition of Fawcett didn't help them at all. The visitors proved they can deal with top European teams this season, while Novara did no such thing. Novara lost to Polish Sopot while their opponent trashed the Polish champions Chemik. Home court advantage won't mean much here either because Novara played in Azerbaijan, because their middle blockers aren't at 100% and because their opponents had a lot of time to prepare this match. I honestly expected visitors at 1,60 - 1,55 here. Details

A clash of two mighty teams in Istanbul. This a match worthy of Champions League final and it's a shame they are meeting this early on. The defending champions Eczacibasi versus Vakifbank, who won the CL twice in the last 5 years and played another final. Both teams have top level players. They met in the championship twice, each team won once. This match will be even better than those since all the foreigners can play, while in Turkish league only three can be on the floor at the same time. Each of these teams have 6 foreigners, which means we're in for a top-quality match.
I'd say it's identical to the one from last season's Champions league semifinals, which the home team won 3-1 (total of 182 points in the match). Vakifbank are a bit better this season and the hosts are no worse than last season. They are not convincing but they are getting better. I don't see a reason for Vakifbank to be the favorites since they lost to these opponents not three weeks ago. Hhowever, I won't try and guess the winner here but I will say that I don't see this finishing in three sets. The margin at over is low enough to be covered in four sets. They had one over at this margin in the championship this season and one under. I said this match will be identical to the one from last season's semis. That should have been set as the margin today and this tip therefore has value. Details

Before the season it was predicted that Kopenick will be in the relegation battle, but they have come near the play-off, thanks to good performances. This is a match in which they have nothing to lose, and a lot to gain, if they win they jump to the position that leads into playoff. In the last round they defeated Potsdam who are at the same level as Vilsbiburg, but when in full strength. Complete Vilsbiburg lost a month ago at Potsdam. The home team will be without important blocker Sadova and receiver Markovic, while Charuk was just acquired and it is unlikely she will play much. Vilsbiburg were struggling with injuries in January, a lot of players were out and they played much more than Kopenick and they are going into this game fatigued. This is their seventh game in less than three weeks, and their last four games were played in five sets. Kopenick lost only four games by 3-0 this season, two to defending champions Dresden, one to Schwerin and Suhl. Dresden and Schwerin are much better than Vilsbiburg, especially this tired and without important players. Kopenick won a set against Wiesbaden two weeks ago, and Wiesbaden defeated Vilsbiburg twice in January. Vilsbiburg won by 3-0 two times against Suhl, once against Straubing and VCO Berlin. Their first head-to-head game in Berlin was won by Vilsbiburg in five sets, and it was an even game. The circumstances are such that Kopenick's set seems like a good bet here. They are in good form, of 16 games this season, they lost only four by 3-0. Vilsbiburg won four of their 17 games 3-0. This shouldn't be paid more than 1.60. Details

Schwering won the first match in straight sets, but Khimik almost won the first set. They had a 16-8 lead and lost 27-25, which was followed by their game falling completely apart. Even though they lost for mental reasons as the coach later said, he believes his team can still get through. Away matches are no problem for them this season. They got two sets against Nantes away and Nantes are no worse than Scwerin. This is the match of the season for the visitors. Europe is their priority because they don't really have competition in the domestic championship. They came to Germany two days earlier, all the players are fit and ready. For Schwerin, on the other hand, this is the fifth game in two weeks.

Schwerin need two sets here to get through and after that happens, I'km sure the subs will take over, just like in previous rounds. After they won two sets in the Olomuch match, he fiedeld subs who lost the game. The same happened last round but they didn't lose since the opponents from Romania really weren't good enough. Schwerin have a championship match coming up next weekend and will want to save strength. Khimik will try their best until the very end. Shwerin are not convincing this season, they lost to Berlin home (by far the worst Budesliga team). They lost to Hamburg home after that and hamburg are no better than Khimik either. Details

Vilsbiburg is without four players today, three of which are very important. The well-experienced Cuban opposite Luaces, the top blocker Sajdova and libero Knip are all out, just like the substitute setter Von Piekartz. They have no subs for the libero position, which means receiver Markovic will most like take that positions over today. Luaces has been playing almost all season long without subs, which means the coach will have to come up with something for that position as well. Home team's blocking will not be as good without Sajdova and the whole team will be at least 30 percent weaker. There's not much choice on their bench - only 9 players, three of whom got very little play time season. On top of everything, they had an European game on Wednesday, unlike Aachen. The home team played Wisbaden and lost in 5 sets, which means fatigue will be a factor there. Aachen are on a bad run but they displayed some improved and stood a chance of winning at least a set against Potdam and Stuttgart. Those teams would, I think, dealt with today's Vilsbiburg easily. Aachen dropped into spot 10 but I think they are top 8 material, while I don't see Vilsbiburg finishing in top 4 even tough they are now in spot 3. When complete, these teams are closer than the table suggests. But the home team is not complete today, while the visitors are. Honestly, I thought about betting on Aachen even if they were both complete. Aachen are in a crisis but they seem to be getting out of it. The team is saved, they now have a sponsor and playing the game should be much easier for the players now. Aachen won the h2h from the first part of the season, they will be motivated now and the home team will be without three players from that game (Aachen without just one). They might not end the losing run but I think even that could happen. We cannot miss out on this bet today. The counterhandicap at Aachen, which could be successful even if Vilsbiburg win in straight sets, is a good choice as well. Details

I see this match as a 50-50 one. By player qualities, Stuttgart are a better team, their bench is longer and there's no reason to favor Wiesbaden this much. They're good, they're third, but that's a place better than all expectations, even theirs. They aimed at the Top Six before the season, because unlike last season their team is now younger and they changed a lot. Stuttgart are fifth, but they're a team who belong among Top 3. Injuries, fatigue from playing non-stop took their toll on them in the first part of the season. When they were rested, they tore apart Wiesbaden at home with 3-0. I already wrote that I expect them to get to Top 3. At the start of the season we had Stuttgart as the host 1.15 against Wiesbaden. Last season, when Wiesbaden were 20-30% stronger than last season, and Stuttgart equally strong as they are today, all three matches were decided in the fifth set. Two were won by Stuttgart. The hosts' coach himself said that Stuttgart are the favorites here. I will go for the safer option; Stuttgart's two sets are worth as much as their win. This is a bet which should surely have its value. Details

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I think Turkey are far overrated here. I expected that the bookmaker would change the odds a bit since yesterday but that didn't happen. That means Croatia are underrated here. These are the kind of matches they love to play - they are not the favorites, which means anything can happen. The best example of that id their match against Russia at EC recently, which they won in straight sets. The WC matches against Japan and Germany are similar to that one as well. Croatia can lose by up to 17 total points and this bet will still be successful. I expected the handicap at 12,5.
Croatia lost to Italy at EC by 12 points in straight sets. Turkey are very close to that Italy but I expect Croatia to do much better here than at Euro. They have a new coach and that should chance some things.
jerkov is on the team. Croatia played their best tournament with her and Topic as receivers two years ago. They crashed out to Germany in straight sets back then, losing by 11 points in total. That match is similar to this one. Germany were the home team back then, just like Turkey are now.
Croatia are much more mature now than they were 2,5 years ago. Jerkov and Poljak will do their absolute best, knowing what they can get here. Croatia always did well against Turkey. They played a friendly a week ago.
I don't think Croatia will get trashed here since the info I'm getting from Ankara says they are in high spirits. Turkey will have the fans and some questionable calls but they won't have it easy. They beat Germany in fifth set in EC QFs but went on to lose the next two games in straight sets. There are still quite a few things they have to work on, judging by test matches. The coach isn't quite sure how to play just yet. Turkey will struggle today, the handicap is set 5-6 points too high, the odds are set as if Croatia are playing Brazil or the US away. That is why I'm going with higher stake than I normally do. Details

These odds have been calculated based on the results of the first game, where Stiinta won 3-1 as a guest. Spartak were called a favorite for no reason there, and Stiinta are even more overestimated today than Spartak were last week. The home court is their advantage, but the 1.25 for their win is too low, and they only need to win two sets to get through. The first game was decided in the finals of the sets, Spartak were too relaxed going in, too sure in their win, and then they played a weak first set that Stiinta won 25-17. After that, the game was tied up, and Spartak made mistakes that pushed the Romanian team towards the win. These two teams have similar quality, and a spur of the moment will decide the winner. Spartak are optimistic, and convinced they can get even for losing in Subotica. The home team's coach believes nothing is done yet. Stiinta's win should be paid 1.45 and more. I expect an evened out game, not the Romanians having a stroll. The handicap of points is the right pick here, it's at least three points too high. Details