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Statistically, this tip has no firm ground to stand on. Gipuzkoa are the last team of the league and in each home match they allowed points over this margin. But, with the change of coach and by bringing Ahbelese and Landry, Gipuzkoa became more competitive, and it's known their main weapon has always been their defense. These two teams play the slowest basketball in Spain, and today's match is very important for both of them, and they won't be running around, but they will fight for each point. I don't see Manresa as the favorites in this match and in such a battle the away's team under of points seems like the most logical option. Details

Today's game will be a sort of a clash of styles. Zalgiris have to reduce this game to a low number of points in order to have any chance, and Laboral are a team that, due to their quality, can play games at higher or lower number of points equally as good. I see Laboral's defense as crucial here, it is very agile and aggressive and they take away a lot of balls per game. That will be important here because Zalgiris were sterile in the offense on several occasions this season. Perasovic will definitely insist on firm defense and a low number of conceded points, and the home team will try to slow down the pace which is in favor of this bet in which I doubt that Zalgiris will go a lot over 70 points, if they go over at all. Details

Statistically, the margin is realistic. However, Torino started playing better defense since the arrival of coach Vitucci, and considering they have a short roster, it's logical they've dropped fast-paced basketball. Dyson also brought a lot in here because he's much calmer than Robinson who led Torino's game in the first part of the season. Defensively, D. J. White brought a lot and with Ebi he's controlling everything in Torino's paint. Coach Vitucci's boys already took down Milano and Sassari and they will surely want to win today, but they can win only with defense. Virtus are offensively one of the worst teams of the league. They didn't go over this margin in away matches. They're still missing Ray and Williams, and without them their offense is even more weak. They will hardly go over 70 points here, and this is definitely a good margin. Details

I don't agree with the set odds by which Orlando are the favorites today. Jasaitis and Nicevic mean a lot to them in the offense and without them they're in trouble. They can't do much with only Bowers and Oriakhi, especially against the strengthened Avelin. The away team missed a grat advantage in a very strange match, but they showed that they're very good with Green and Ragland. There's also Nunally who is the best scorer of the league, the experienced Acker, but also the good centers Buva, Cervi and Leunen who can stop the dangerous duo of the hosts. No matter how I look at this, Avelino have to be in advantage and this handicap should be used. Details

Unicaja are in a four-game losing run and two two on home court, but the opponents were Barca and CSKA so I wouldn't consider it. Copa del Rey is questionable so the motivation is huge and Unicaja can't fail today. When it's like that, they dominate at home and have +30 against Estudiantes, +14 against Maccabi, +12 against Darussafaka, +18 against Sassari, +22 against Fuenlabrada and +10 against Canarias. Manresa are weaker than all of the teams mentioned and they had -38 and -29 in away matches against Real and Granca. Today they're up against motivated hosts who will press them in the defense and raise the difference from one minute to the next. This could easily go to 20 or more so this handicap is more than acceptable. Details

Even though Venezia are in a five-game losing run, I think they're worth a lot more. Today's match is extremely important for them as Recalcati pointed out, so I expect maximum approach and I don't believe they will relax at all. Varese's missing half of their team and now they don't have as much quality as when they were led by Ukic. They have too many turnovers, and Venezia are a team who definitely know how to use that because of the aggressive defense they play at home. Rebound is Venezia's only real minus, but it won't be as prominent here because the away team don't have a real center and Venezia love such teams. Details

Even though this game isn't too important result-wise, I think the home team will be much more motivated. They are in brilliant form, as the win in Barcelona proved, butt hey will also have the home court advantage and a lot of motivation since they lost easily in Athens. Zalgiris are invincible home except when it comes to games with top level teams. Panthiaikos are not there at the moments. Home team's defense will cause them trouble today and Zalgiris should win this. Details

Estudiantes are not in a good position, and only one win from nine matches doesn't look good. But the team have quality, they brought in Rey and Mitchell, and they are worth more than their current position. Andorra have so far played above their possibilities, and it's not realistic for the shot to serve them that well in matches in which they've beaten Zaragoza and Canarias. Estudiantes can stand up to Shermandi, who is the away team's most dangerous player, with Rey, and that will be important. Mitchell is too good to not play good, and point guard Schreiner is questionable for the away team because of a muscle injury. Even with him it would be tough to score a win, and if he doesn't play, their chances are even slimmer. Details

Brindisi already once beat Reggiana this season, and without their best player Reynolds. He is now, just like Scott, available to coach Bucchi and Brindisi, after a long time, are complete. When it's like that, then they are tough to beat at home. On the other side, Reggiana struggled a lot in away matches where they have a bad record, and then Kaukenas injured himself and he will be out, just like Gentile. Without them the game will be difficult, and Brindisi are very aggressive at home in their defense, and they will know how to use it. Details

Valencia are invincible this season. 18 straight wins they have so far deserve maxiumum respect but we'll try and go with an under today. As impressive as they might seem, Valencia owe a lot of their wins to defense, while the offense isn't as good as in the last seasons seasons. Dubljevic is now back and that means the team will be even slower. Fuenlabrada can respond to Valencia through defense, which they've been proving all season since no one hit over this margin against them. Tabak made the defense Fuenlabrada's strongsuit, and Cuspinera is now following in his footsteps. His team beat Bilbao last round by limiting them to 75 points. Fuenlabrada are very good in possession control which is important because Valencia crush opponents through counter attacks. Details

The away team are coming after eight straight defeats and the fact that they couldn't even score 70 points in any of those games. But they are also coming with a new coach who will definitely bring a positive shock. Gipuzkoa are not as good as the rest of the league, quality-wise, but they can definitely play good defense. Besides, they left both Sevilla and Bilbao under 80 points, and those teams are better than Andorra. The home team also prefer slower basketball, and most of their game depends on backcourt shots, because all five of their players can score from the backcourt while Shermadini is on the bench. I think that Gipuzkoa's team is ideal to parry in that because they are fast and agile in defense and Wear and Milbourne should be great guards for Andorra's fours. Personally, I would never set Andorra as such favorites, and since I expect a tough and slow game, home team's under seems like the best choice. Details

I don't see based on what are Milano such favorites. This season they were in seven away matches and only twice they returned home with a win, and it was against Caserta and Avellino who are weaker than Cantu. This is a derby of Italian championship and today Milano are up against a packed hall and a fiery atmosphere. That, of course, is just a small part of the reason we're betting on Cantu. What's more important is that their team is getting stronger and stronger from one round to the next because president Gersasimenko doesn't spare a penny. After Hodge came Johnson who strengthened the team at the crucial number four. The team have lately been great, they're full of confidence and they're after a win. On the other hand, we have the confused Milano who have big problems throughout the season Now they're without Macvan and, what's more important, without Gentile who used to carry 20 points each match. They managed to surprise Efes, but they can't continue playing like this. I believe that today they will struggle offensively, and Cantu are more than ready to surprise. Details

Recentl we had a similar thing for Gipuzkoa against Fuenlabrada, and it passed with ease so it's a shame to miss margins like these on a team who don't deserve them. Gipuzkoa didn't go over 70 points in all eight matches this season. Not 76, but 70. When we look a their matches from the last season, in the last 15 at home they have an under on this margin, and a convincing one. The team's quality is non-existent, offensively they're desperate, and they force slow basketball and they rely on the defense. Even if I accept the fact that they're the favorites, which I can't at the moment, then Gipuzkoa may win this only if they leave the match under 70 points. In other situations Sevilla definitely have the advantage. This margin is probably a consequence of Sevilla's results who only left Gran Canaria in an under on this margin, but they played with a lot stronger teams who like fast basketball. Gipuzkoa are the complete opposite, they will be after a slow game today, and the away team's coach Casimiro finally set up his team from whom he only asks for a firm defense. Everything stated here pulls us towards a stronger bet. Details

Hats off to Pedro Martinez and Valencia for 13 straight wins this season but they are simply not good enough to sail through this match. Zaragoza have had a very bad start to the season and the coach paid the price for it. They have a new coach here, which will result in extra motivation and that well-know response. My impression is that this kind of a shock is just what they need because they've been under some sort of a mental blockage all season long. It's not possible for players like Bellas, Diener, Sastre and even centers Fotu, Jelovac and Benzing to have such bad shooting. The game was good but even the easiest shots would not get in the rim. A change in leadership should change that because this team definitely has quality. Valencia will come here without Van Rossom and most likely without Dubljavic. Hamiltom has been struggling with an injury for a while now as well. As good as they are and as long as the list of players at Valencia is, these kind of problems need to be visible today. Dubljevic, for example, hit 24 points in the first match against Zaragoza. That shows how important he is for Valencia. The odds are a bit unrealistic in this kind of a situation. The odds are unrealistic for the current situation and I think this is at least a 50-50 game, which makes this handicap a great choice. Details

Barcelona scored a single defeat this season and they are very impressive, but the same goes for Peras's Laboral. At home they're undefeated, and here they managed to take down Oly and Efes who are very close to Barcelona quality-wise. In Vitoria no one has an easy time playing, and neither will Barca who have been struggling in the offense lately. Laboral's defense was impressive throughout the season and I don't doubt the same will happen today. On the other hand, James's and Adams's speed will bring a solution for Barca's defense with which everyone's been struggling this year. The most important fact is that with Bourousis Laboral can take down their opponents' rebounds, and that's very important against Barca. I expect a very uncertain match here in which I give a slight advantage to Laboral, so I will take them in a handicap. Details

Fuenlabrada lost a lot when Tabak left. Not a lot will change in their game style but the moral of the team definitely will. They were a hard-working team so far that cannot destroy opponent, especially teams that have offensive talent. Canarias are definitively that kind of a team, even though they opened the season badly. The change in leadership brought about more efficiency and Canarias played the last two games great. They beat Gran Canaria and played overtime with Unicaja. The top center Sekulic is healthy as well, while Jones and Salva joined. They are now after the top part of the table, where they belong. This is at least a close game in which I would give the visitors the upper hand. That makes this handicap a great choice. Details

Of the six games played so far, Capo Orlando barely scored over 70 points on two occasions. Almost all of those games they played with Ilievski as point guard. The Macedonian is not in the squad now and the game is led by two point guards that have 37 years combined. How will they react when they face the team whose coach claims that they play the best defense in the league. A team full of physically players that creates huge pressure on the backcourt, and things that pass through are picked up by Cusin, Washington and Biligha. These odds seem wrong to me right now, and I would say, without a doubt, that Cremona are the favorites, and since both teams play slow basketball with focus on strong defenses, then the under of home team's points seems like the best option. Details

Valencia are still the only undefeated Spanish team this season and in all competitions. On the other side, Bilbao won only one out of four home games this season. I still see this as a game in which runs will end. Bilbao have been playing great in away games this season, and they struggle at home because they created too much pressure. There's no pressure today because they are not the favorites and they can used maximally the famous 'Miribilla effect'. Valencia are arriving without their top center Dubljevic and that is a big loss for them. Regardless of their quality, they will have a hard time to compensate for his absence in this game, and Bilbao have too much quality to let anyone be favorite in this arena so this handicap must be bet on. Details

In five matches this season Gipuzkoa didn't go over 68 points once, and that's no coincidence. The slow game and lack of offense quality caused such a bad start, and I don't understand where did today's 75.5 points margin come from today if they didn't come close to that number this season, not once. To make things better, they're up against Fuenlabrada, a working team with whom Tabak insists on maximum defense and who looked very good so far. In two away matches they conceded over this margin, truth be told, but that was against the offensively great Unicaja and Joventut who in six out of eight quarters remained at 20 and less points which is a great success for the away defense. Today we can again expect a firm and slow match because the stakes are high and I don't see this one going over 70 points, so I have to take the under for bigger stakes. Details

The margin is really high, but it has to be. Real are coming after another unexpected defeat in which they couldn't score anything again. Laso will definitely demand a reaction, and when we look at the players at Real's disposal, then it is clear that the away team, whoever they are, are in for a tough time. With all that, the away team are probably the weakest team in the league, which is going into this game without a center and power forward. With only Musli at number five in an away game against Real you can hardly fare well. The same thing happened to them in the previous round at Gran Canaria where they lost by 28. Real are a class better team and I can't see a way this can stay under 20 point lead. Details