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Haslum currently have an average somewhat over 59 but the 65 in the Cup should be taken into consideration there. Concerning the league, they ended the matches on 55, 59 and 58 against teams very similar to Arendal. The away team are dictating the set margin but realistically they can do more than that. They scored Runar 18 in the first half and then fell apart in the second. After that a rise against Stord was expected but they lost although they scored 27. As I expect Haslum on 30+, to go over the offered margin it is enough for Arendal to score 24 and I think they are capable enough for that. If Falk, Follo and the second league team Sandefjord did it, then they can certainly do it too. They had enough time to consolidate their play and today they should look better. The home team are a team that likes to outplay the opponent and they are very powerful in the offense. Details

Bodo are again playing against one of the weakest team in the league, at least according to what they showed so far. I will try to use that once again. In last round I recommended a win with two or more goal differential, but Falk proved to be a tough nut to crack at home, although Bodo had their chances. Today Bodo are playing at home against nominally weaker opponents, the atmosphere in the team is good and a win is expected. Follo are still searching their play and are still without a win in this season. Their offense does not function well and Bodo should use that to create some easy goals from counterattacks, as they did against Elverun. The handicap is set lower that I initially expected. If we take into account current plays and what both teams showed so far, Bodo are to me absolute favorites in this game. Details

Elverum showed a shameful performance against Kolstad in the Cup, which is actually the basis of my tip. I don't think the defeat came as a result of inferior quality or bad form; it was simply a matter of approach. To say that coach Berge was furious after the match would be an understatement. Allegedly, he had a team meeting with the players the following morning, and he asked them to reassess their priorities and attitude. Even without that, Elverum are the favourites against Notteroy, but due to the alarm bells in the locker room, I expect them to explode and win by a margin of over 4 goals. The players must prove themselves to the coach and the fans, and Notteroy are a good opportunity for such prospect. Details

If they win, Bodo will share the top position on the league table with Haslum. No one expected that to happen before the season started. I've already written two picks for Bodo matches so I'll avoid repeating myself. It's quite obvious from the preview that their defeat would be a major surprise because Falk is a newly-promoted club with no experience and of questionable quality. They are at the bottom of the league table and I expect they'll stay there after this match. Away team's goalkeeper and amazing backcourt players are, in my opinion, the basis for this pick to come through. I believe that the spreads are bookmakers' mistakes because they still underestimate Bodo despite the win over Elverum. I think Falk is bound to go +4, unless Lund and the gang play way below the expectations. Details

Today I am governed solely on the quality and recent form of the team, and the Pulawy team is superior to the hosts. Lubin made no particular addition to the team before the start of the season which means the ambitions and capabilities of the team remained the same. The team will probably struggle to stay in the top tier and this should be clearly visible by now. Defeats against Wisla, Kielce and Gornik are not surprising but the home game against Piotrkow showed that it will be difficult for them to get any good results. The backcourt line-up is a bit slow which should do well for the opponents' defense. Pulawy on the other hand is aiming for third place and if they want to get there they must win against teams like Lubin. They won convincingly against Piotrkow and Kwidzyn while they dropped a substantial lead against Legionow because they relaxed too early. These three teams are not worse than Lubin and I see Pulawy on over + 2 today. Details

This is first home match for Arendal this season. So far they played two away matches and they have won on both occasions in a very convincing manner. Those victories have certainly filled them with confidence and they must use the momentum they have. Before the season even started many experts have stated that Arendal could be the most pleasant surprise this year and if they wish to meet these expectations they must win points at home. Although Runar had pretty good start of the season their defence doesn't really look good. Their goalkeeper was the man of the match against BSK and they still managed to concede 33 goals that day. Arental are a better team and I believe they can win this one. Handicap bet is a smart move here. I expect Arendal to win comfortably. Details

I must admit I was surprised to see the odds for this match, as many things don't sound realistic. Kielce are a team that played the Champions league Final Four last year. They have won the national championship more than decisively. They have only grown stronger since last year, and their goals stayed the same to say the least. In their last 5 games they scored less than 33 goals in only one game, at season's opening. With all due respect to Porto, I don't believe they can leave a team such as Kielce under this margin today, regardless of their defense. The Polish team are not Benfica or KIF after all, and I see them playing a devastating match today. If they were playing an away game, this kind of a margin might seem too much, but as it is, I have to take it. Marathon so far also has a solid handicap of -9.5, which is also not a bad option in my opinion. Details

I mentioned in the announcement that Pulawy are missing a few players, but I also think that won't be a problem for them. This is the first real test for the home team and they have to take it seriously. Regardless that MMTS don't look too good at the moment, they could be their rivals for third place, which is their goal. So two points are extremely important today. Pulawy have an additional motive, which is revenge for last year's defeat in the battle for the bronze. The visiting team lost both away matches so far. First Pogon won conclusively and then Legionowo surprised them with their quality defense. If they could handle Kwidzyn's attack, I see no reason why Pulawy can't do the same, seeing as they had the third best defense in the league last year. Home team has quality and form on their side and I believe they can win by more than two goals. Details