betprepare.com

This text will be published soon. Details

Radwanska struggled with injuries and other health problems for a while. That should be a thing of the past now. Not that long ago, she said she hoped she can make up for the bad results from the first part of the season. Even in that kind of a season, she has 5-0 against players outside of Top 100. The most relevant is Ferri, a player who is around Top 200. Radwanska trashed her by 10 games.
Zhang was Top200 seven years ago. But even back then, she displayed clear limitations. She is 1-13 against Top100 players. The one win was over Diyas who pulled out of a tournament a week before that and played her first match after the US Open. In 13 defeats, Zhang won just one set (lost the match by 7) and in 9 out of 13 defeats, the total number of games was 17 or under. Zhang is here on a wildcard for the 4th straight year. She lost here by 7, 9 and 8 games the last three years. Randwanska she on a higher level compared to those three opponents. We only have to see what a total game difference will be here. Details

Linette is 0-13 against Top20 players. Out of that, 0-11 is from hard court. She lost all the matches on that surface by 6 or more games, even the one in which she won her only set against a Top20 player. When it comes to the most relevant opponents, there were three defeats to Pliskova by 27 games combined (3x9), to Kvitova by 9 as well and one to Venus Williams (lost the other one by 6).

Muguruza is 13-1 in the last 14 matches on hard court against players outside of Top20. The defeat was to Keys who concluded the great summer with a US Open final. Out of 9 such wins this summer, Muguruza recorded two of those in straight sets and won 8 by 6 or more games. She didn't win against Tsurenko here but Linette cannot be compared to Tsurenko.
Linette was limited under 17,5 in 10 out of 11 defeats to Top20 players on hard court, while Muguruza got limited to under 16,5 in 6 out of 9 wins against Top 20 players on hard court this summer. Of course, the handicap at Muguruza is a good option too. Details

Kaji made progress this season but this is just too much for her. She stunned Kuwata but that opponent had bad record. The last 4 defeats to Top 300 players for Kaji were by 16, 18, 14 and 19 games. She didn't play against any Top 200 players in those defeats.

Brengle is back in Top 100. In the last 17 matches against players outside of Top 100, her record is 15-2. The defeat to Paolini and especially the one to Rybarikova have no relevance in this match. Brengle recorded 14 out of 15 wins in straight sets. Total of 11 wins were under the 18,5 margin, 8 of which under 17,5. We need to point out that some of very tough and good-quality Top 200 are in that record. Kaji, by the way, only needs to get into Top 300. Details

Pliskova is 17-2 against players outside of Top 20 on hard court. The defeats to Lucic and Mladenovic aren't important here. SHe has 7 wins and 14-1 in sets against players outside of Top50. She lost that one set to Giorgi who has seven Top 10 wins. Gibbs cannot be compared to that. Pliskova won that match by 7 and finished at other 6 in straight sets at 17, 14, 14, 16, 17 and 15 games.

Gibbs is 1-18 in sets against Top 20 players. She won the one against Kvitova. Interestingly, she has 18 and 19 games against Kvitova. She did well against Svitolina (22 games) but Svitolina wasn't at this level back then. Gibbs lost the last three matches against those players by 11 (total of 13 games in the match), 11 (13) and 8 (16).

Against Pliskova she has two defeats some two-three seasons ago. The first one by 5 (19 games), the second one by 12. Gibbs had better ranking than today in both of those matches and Pliskova wasn't Top 20. Gibbs is not at the right level. She lost to Vanderweghe by 10 early this month and in three sets last year at the same tournament. Gibbs has some other bad defeats to players worse than Pliskova. She struggled in all 4 matches here. No. 1 seems to be headed for a win. Also, we need to see how physically fit Gibbs is. Details

Kiick missed the entire last season after a few knee surgeries, skin cancer and mono. Hats off to recovering and some wins of this season but I don't think she stands a chance here. She has three bad defeats since June. She was the favorite against Zacarias and still lost by 8. Lapko had just joined Top 200 and beat her by 7. The best name out of the three was Gibbs, who beat her by 11 and limited her to 1 game. Gibbs is not in Top 100 even though she has the quality for it. For comparison's sake, Gavrilova is Top 20.

She is 8-2 against players outside of Top 100 this season. The defeats to Errani and Matic are not relevant. She lost a set in just one win and won 5 out of 8 matches within the 18,5 game margin (4 out of 8 under 17,5). She didn't play anyone outside of Top 200 in that moment which means a lot. She won her first ever WTA title last week by limiting Flipkens to 18 games and beating No. 10 and 11 in the semis and the final. Kiick is an ideal matchup for Gavrilova at this point. Details

Wozniacki is deservedly back in the Top10. She is chasing the Finals in Singapore. Niculescu is 2-32 when it comes to finished matches against Top 10 players. Against Wozniacki, that record is 0-7, 0-14 in sets. Niculescu managed to get 4 games in just two sets. She had quite a lot of injury problems this season: abdomen, knee, arm. She has one win in the last 7 matches, ha recorded the last two defeats by 8 games to players outside of Top50. She played the last match less than a month ago, without any preparation for the clay court. In 7 attempts here, she has never went past the first round. Wozniacki lost to Ostapenko twice this year on clay court. But Niculescu cannot fire 70 winners like Ostapenko in Prague. Wozniacki recorded all three wins this year on clay court in two sets. Longer sets against Beck and Doi should not have happened. She had 4-0 in the first set against Beck, 60-41 against Doi. Against Rodionova, she has 4-0 in the first, 3-1 in the second set. All three should have been more convincing. There are some cons for this tip when it comes to Niculescu. For example, she won a set against Suarez, Navarro, Hapel, Kerber and has long sets against A. Radwanska and so on. But that is a thing of the past now. None of those are from this season and Wozniacki doesn't suit her (for over ten years now). Details

Against Top 50 company, Linette's record is 2-21 in final matches. In one match (Putintseva) sve was saving two match points, and what's the same thing with both wins is that both Putintseva and Diyas were in a very bad rhythm at the moment those matches took place. In the 21st defeat Linette covered the 4.5 handicap only once (!). Against Lisicki (lost with three points of difference) in moments where the German was in a bad rhythm at the start of the season. Peng ins't that in this case. This year she had four out of five defeats against Top 50 players + Bellis who is "dangerously" close to that company. But what's the most important thing right now is that her eight wins she recorded in two sets. She covered the 4.5 handicap in seven out of eight wins. The only players against whom she didn't achieve the same was Stosur (Top 20, and he beat her with four games of difference), and the minimum she won was with six games of difference. And those were names (the brackets show the game difference). Kasatkina (7), Zheng (8), Siniakova (8), Safarova (6), Tsurenko (10), Strycova (7), Chang (7). OK, let's "kick out" Zheng and Chang, the rest of the players are Top 50 (Strycova and Stosur Top 20). Linette never was one, and she is up for a fight to maintain her Top 100 status (Zheng and Chang are relevant here). As a good alternative is also Peng's win in two sets, as well as the under of 20.5 games (all eight wins this year was in two sets and all matches were under this margin). But Linette was known for "snatching" away a set from Top 50 players, so the handicap option seems like a better one (the latter two options I suggest for the middle stakes, like the handicap -5.5). Details

This and the last season Tsurenko's record against players outside of Top 200 is 6-0 (Paquet was briefly among Top 250, now she's barely among Top 300). In not one of the six matches did she lose a set, and the wo with: 10, 7, 7, 9, 7 and 7 games of difference. And she beat two players who later made it to Top 200 (Hibi, Podorska), and two more players who were earlier in that circle (Irigoyen, Namigata). In the aforementioned six matches she played a single tie-break (Antonisch), and in the end she beat that player with seven games of difference.
Paquet's record in her career against Top 100 is 0-4. She took a set from Pereiri (she played against her two times) who went down to ITF level that year and wasn't immune to fails. She played against Babos and Parmentier, but none were firmly in Top 100 and she lost both matches in two sets (Parmentier 4, Babos 7 games of difference).
Tsurenko is currently the 50th player of the world, so at this moment she's one level above the last two mentioned. In the last two years she convincingly dealt against opponents such as Paquet, even stronger than herself. A good alternative is under 19.5 games (Tsurenko covered them in all six wins, even in the match with a tie-break), but the final handicap is a slightly better option. Details

Sabalenka has only one match in her career against a Top 50 player. It was against Zhang on hardcourt last year (she was 24th at the time in the world) where she lost with six games of difference. Zhang later won the title, but she played a TB against Kumkhum, Galfi in the finals almost won the match against her, and nothing less was expected. This year Sabalenka lost with six games to Vekic indoors, she lost to Liu as the favorite. Vekic beat her last year indoors with eight games of difference in three sets. Mitu also with eight in two, Kulichkova wtih seven, also in two. One Christie with four games indoors (she was Top 300 for a short time). Hugenkamp beat her with five games in three sets on clay, Soler also on clay in three with seven. Minella on hardcourt with four, Rodionova with 10. So, surfaces changed, styles and the strength of opponents, but one thing didn't: Sabalenka's heavy defeats against at least a bit stronger opponents. Yes, she beat Rodina and Peng last season, but both had a lot of amplitudes in their performances last year. Except for Zhang, no other player can fit into the same sentence with Bertens. Yes, Peng could, but Peng is close to her maximum which was not the case last year.

Bertens's record this and last year in covering handicaps is 35-14 of 4.5 games when her wins are in question. And eight times she won a match with four games of difference, and four times with five. Let's look against whom she didn't cover the handicap and at what point. Six times she didn't cover the handicap against Top 30 players, four times in moments when she was outside of Top 100, and against Goerges, Barthel and Paszek who can stand up to everyone on the Tour when they're in the mood. There's one match left. With four games of difference Beck won after a series of seven defeats (the German has two indoor WTA titles + another finals in her career).

A good alternative to this bet is the game under, despite this being an indoor match. In winning on the margin of 20.5 games, Bertens's record is 33-16. She went over the margin against most of the earlier mentioned players at times when she was out of Top 100 (or, for instance, against Pavlyuchenkova, Putintseva who are Top players). But, she left Allertova, Schmiedlova, Beck, Garcia, Kuznetsova and Makarova under this margin last year indoors.

I'm convinced that such offs on Bertens is merely due to her start of the season. It wasn't great, but she lost to Davis and Mertens who later won the title, to Beck who can be very uncomfortable indoors, and to Lepchenko who was Top 20 and who can always surprise. Sabalenka showed last year, and this one too, that she's not capable of doing that. Details

Ozaki is 1-9 against Top 60 players, she beat Stephens last season and Stephens recorded her 4 out of 10 defeats of the season to Top 100 players. Ozaki lost her 9 matches to (break-difference in brackets): Beck (0), Peng (9), Goerges (5), McHale (7), Stosur (8), Svitolina (8), Bouchard (2), Putintseva (6) i Venus Williams (7). She covered the handicap twice, against Beck in 2013 and against Bouchard last season. Ozaki played the qualifiers, had two days to rest before the Bouchard match, while her opponents traveled from Kuala Lumpur. Looking at players around Top 60, Otaki lost to: Hibino (7), Lepchenko (10), Konjuh (8 i 9), Doi (6). Mayr beat her by 9 and Periera by 7. Ozaki did beat Flipkens though. The match against Nara here, where Ozaki won the first game in the second set is not something you see every day but Nara is in decline over the past two seasons.
Safarova beat Golubic by 5 and Allertova by 9 this season. Both of them are better than Ozaki. All of Safarova's results from last season need to be taken with a grain of salt because she was making a comeback from an injury. Still, she was 5-2 against players outside of Top 100. She beat Gavrilova (8), Karolinu Pliskovu (3), Stosur (5), Vandeweghe (6) which shows where she belongs. Two yeasr ago she beat Hsieh by 7, Naru (on clay court) 10, Pironkova 8, Puig 7, Mladenovic by 7. Granted, she lost to Shvedova, Larsson, Smitkova, Dulgheru but none of them can be compared to Ozaki. Safarova is better then Ozaki by at least 6 games at the moment (7-8 are expected, that is the game difference Ozaki had against Venus, Stosur, Svitolina, Peng). Safarova's win in straight sets is good news as well because Ozaki won sets in her 9 defeats to Top 60 players. The sets she won against Bouchard and Svitolina were due to opponents' problems. Details

Last season Lee made a jump in her career and made it to Top 250. But the season before that her record was 16-17, so she didn't have too many points to defend. Last year she had 36 wins and thus the jump. But Lee this season has only 16 matches behind her. She had a longer break since mid-February, then one match, then another break which lasted a month. The last match she played was more than two months ago. She lost to players outside of Top 900, before that she tightly beat a player in two sets who was never Top 600. A week before she lost to a player outside of Top 700. Choi, a player outside of Top 350, left her at three games, Lertpitaksinchai (outside of Top 300) beat her with 6-4, 6-3. At odds of 1.02 and 1.12 as the favorite, Lee lost sets. Against a Top 100 player Wang she won four games last year. Four seasons ago Paszek left her here at two games.
This season, against players outside of Top 100, Cepelova's hardcourt record is 10-3. But not a single defeat came from a player outside of Top 150 (Min, Haas, Vickery). In her wins she lost the set three times - Peng, Kania and Tatishvili, but those are names Lee can't even think of. Maybe the best guideline for Lee is the match against Jang last week in Tokyo. Cepelova left her at four games. Besides, Cepelova had 3-0 at the opening, a double break, and then she lost two of her game serves. Earlier in the season Cepelova left Zanvska at four games, Koukalova at three, Cepede at six, Kucova at five, Peer at two, and Lee can't fit with them in the same sentence.
Throughout her career, Lee was crushed by Top 100 players (Paszek, Wang). This all smells like she's here to pick up the check (she got in on a wildcard), to try and do something. But considering Cepelova's rhythm in Tokyo, crushing Jang, beating Nara, this is going to be a one-way street from the start. Details

Pereira lost all of her hard court matches this season (number of games she won in brackets): Petkovic 9 (3) , Watson 9 (3) , Niculescu 9 (3), Nara 9 (3), Bertens 6 (6) , Ivanović 9 (3) , Kichenok (as a favorite) 7 (5) and Giorgi 9 (3). Ivanovic and Giorgi are aggressive players but the rest of them are very relevant for this match. Suarez is much more aggressive than the Brazilian, who always lot to opponent like her, even at her best. Suarez won by 7 games in Madrid this season (pereira got 6 games) and that was on clay court, where she does much better. Granted, Suarez has no convincing wins over players outside Top 100 this season, but Vesnina is Top 20, Kucova has never been better ranked, Vekic is No. 106 but is worth much more, Sakkari has been having a good season, Golubic is top 70. Pereira is currently nowhere near any of those players and Suarez is better than most of those mentioned before. Details

Sorribes recorded only one Top 100 win on clay this year, against Cristeja in February (Romanian's 8th match in 12 days). She convincingly lost all other matches against Top 100 players this year, and in straight sets. From the start of season she lost to: Vesnina by 4 games, Bertens by 5, Stosur by 8, Pavlyuchenkova by 10 and Baczinskzky by 7 last week. Sorivbes lost this year to Lim and Kostova by 6 games as the favorite, to Krunic by 3, to Arcangioli by 4, to Tomova and Vikhlyantseva as the favorite.
Larsson, on the other hand, mostly lost to Top 70 players this year (6/7), Her only defeat outside that circle was to Goncalves. On the other side, Larsson's ten wins on clay this season are against players outside the Top 100. In those ten matches, she lost a set twice, all others she won in straight sets. She defeated Dominguez Lino by 4, Vekic by 8, Hsieh by 4, Mattek by 6, Sadikovic and Peterson by 5.
In her three matches here, Sorribes showed good stats on return, but her serve is bad. In three matches, she lost her serve 19 times, made 26 double faults, and gave 49 break chances. With such performance, her chances against Larsson are minimal, and it is unlikely anything will change over night. Larsson has not lost a set in six back-to-back matches here (this and last year), and she convincingly defeated all her opponents last year. Hogenkamp by 8, Friedsam by 5, Strycova 7, Putintseva 6 and Barthel in the final by 4. She broke the ice here against Peterson, she limited her compatriot to only two games in the second set, and we should expect her to start strong from the start today. Details

Leykina recorded 39 wins on clay last year. Of the better known players she defeated only Buyukacay who is now in the Top 100. That was an open match, and Buyukacay suffered more defeats like that, so that wasn't an exception. Not one of Leykina's last year's matches is relevant and she doesn't have any other match against a Top 100 player. This year she played against Top 100 players and against well known players. She lost by 6 games to Kanepi (5-7, 2-6), by 7 to Siniakova (4-6, 1-6), by 8 to Koukalova (2-6, 2-6). We should mention Pigossi who is currently barely in the Top 400, against whom she lost by 9 (0-6, 3-6). I won't mention Dolonc who is outside the Top 500 and Aburaimova who doesn't know what she's doing on clay. Leykina lost both of those matches, the first one by three games, the other by one game. We should also point out that Kanepi is outside the Top 200, and she was still recovering from illness when she played against Leykina, and that was her first match at that tournament. Koukalova is outside Top 150 this year, she has 6/12 and she doesn't really know where she 'hits'. Siniakova could be the best connection to Kovinic, because of the playing style and quality. In the second set she limited Leykina to one game, in the first set to four. But in the first round of the tournament in Trnava.
Leykina wasn't really supposed to be in the second round today. She won one game in the first set against Xu, and she could have lost that one as well. Xu is probably the only one who knows what happened later in the match. She did not save her serve once in the second set, she lost a break advantage three times in the third one, twice served for the match, 6-3 in the tiebreak of the third set... Considering Leykina's stats in that match, I cannot see how she can cause any problems for Kovinic today. Kovinic limited Podorska, a player who played the qualifications, and played the first WTA match of her career, to one game. And in Kovinic's first match after Wimbledon. The Montenegrin won over 60% of points after the first serve, and she limited Podorska to low numbers. Leykina cannot do much better than that, I am sure of it. Especially because Kovinic already played a match here. Kovinic won in three sets against Vickery, but Vickery was close to Top 100 and has some WTA experience. The only 'intruder' this year is the match against Ferro, but she was playing at home. Last year in the Czech Republic, Kovinic also had problems against two Czech players as the favorite, but it is well known that domestic players can play much better at home. Leykina is not playing at home today. This year, Kovinic defeated Dominguez Lino by 9 games, Hsieh by 7, Vinci by 6, Nara by 6, Buyukakcay by 8, Soler Espinosa by 7. Last year she defeated Hogenkamp by 8, Min by 6, Bonaventura by 6 and some other players stronger than Leykina by a few games. Details

Ruse played only three matches in May and June. The last one, she retired from. Considering that she was constantly playing in the first four months (eight tournaments), it can be assumed she had some problems in the last weeks. She played her last match a big less than a month ago, and retired from it, and she hadn't played a single match in May. True, she's beaten Sasnovich in June, but that was the biggest surprise when it came to her defeats. So, that was an exception, not a rule. Ruse's beaten Min and Robson in January. The latter one was still coming back, and Min was in a 5-match losing run. None of the other matches are relevant.
Sevastova hasn't lost to a player ranked lower than top 150 this year, and Ruse is out of top 300. Comparing her weaker opponents, Sevastova's beaten Vickery (out of top 200) by 8 games, Sramkova by 9 games (Sramkova's got the best ranking of her career, 184th), Eguchi by nine games, Dascala by six games in three sets, Mihalikova (out of top 500) by six games, and Larsson by five games, Cepede by eight.
Considering all of that, Sevastova's beaten names much better than Ruse easily, so the direction this match is going to take is obvious. Sevastova didn't make a big mistake, hasn't lose to a player out of top 150, and has beaten weaker opponents convincingly. Even the better opponents. Ruse hasn't played in a month, so the big question is whether she'd even be playing this tournament if she wasn't a local player who got an invite. Details

Tatarus is a local player, 17 years old, and came here thanks to an invite. She was never even top 600 in the junior competition, she's actually out of top 1200 now. She didn't beat a top 700 player this year. She did won a few sets in her last matches, but she lost them, and none of those opponents were in the top 500. The only top 500 she played his year was Moratelli (449th). Tatarus won three games, and six against Gavrila who's out of top 1100. Kostova is definitely a favorite today, would've been an even bigger one if she didn't have the Budapest tournament. Kostova won an ITF clay court tournament there yesterday, beating Cadanta, Karatantcheva, Tomova in the final, and the only match where she was a real favorite, she's won 6-1 6-1, and that was Gorgodza who's a top 300, holding the best ranking of her career. Only the fact that this is Kostova's fifth match in as many days, she had to travel from Budapest to get here could stop her from winning today. But, considering the difference in quality between these two, that can hardly be a factor. Kostova's got three WTA tournament wins, Roland Garros and Wimbledon qualifiers, she played Nurnberg, which is a WTA level. The difference in quality is just too big. Details

Serena pointed out ahead of this match that Putintseva is 'hungry' and that she gives 200% on every ball, but every player is 'hungry' against the best player in the world. But the fact that Serena pointed that out shows caution in some way, but positive caution, and that is good for this prediction. Serena remembers her two matches against Putintseva and I am sure she will go strong from the start. Just for comparison, she had two slower starts against Svitolina last year, but yesterday she started strong against her. I don't expect anything less today. We should also point out that Svitolina seemed a bit lost at the start, and I wouldn't be surprised if Putintseva goes through the same thing. Serena only had problems on clay this year against aggressive players (Mladenovic, Keys, McHale) and Friedsam in her first match on clay. Putintseva does not belong to that category. Serena defeated Kuznetsova this year by losing only 2 games, Begu won 5, Rybarikova 2 (but she was injured), Pereira 3 and yesterday Svitolina 2. And in my opinion, Svitolina is a level better than Putitseva. Serena had difficult draw at Roland Garros last year, she was injured, sick and she could not reach her true form. Either because of her opponents or because of her problems. That is not the case this year. She is not injured, she if physically fit, and she faced players (except Mladenovic) against whom she could play her game and none of them could compete with her strength. Putintseva also cannot, and just for comparison, last year here, Serena limited Errani to 4 games, Suarez Navarro in Madrid to 3, Brengle to 1, Stephens to 4, Bonaventura to 3, the year before that, Errani to 3, Bencic 3, Suarez 5, Zhang 4, Petkovic 4. The balls in Paris are very heavy, it is cold and there is chance it will rain today which suits Serena more than Putintseva. Just for comparison, at the last tournament, Putintseva won 6 games against Georges in cold Nurnberg, and she had not answer to the German's performance at any time. Last year, also in Nurnberg, she won 6 games, but against Knapp, in Prague, where it is also colder, she was limited to 3 games against Konjuh.
She played two head-to-heads against Serena, she won 6 games in one, and in the second one three years ago on Madrid clay she won 7 games. This year at Indian Wells she didn't win a game in the second set, one in Madrid. So Serena is always capable of giving away 'crumbs' in one of the sets. As I pointed out, Serena is cautious, but positively cautious, and I am sure that she has those two head-to-heads on her mind. The draw was in her favor this year and I am sure she will use that chance. Semi-final brings her the winner from the Bertens/Bacsinszky match, and today's match will be a good practice for the semi-final for Serena. Details

If this was a clay court match last season, not necessarily at RG, I maybe wouldn't go with this tip but given the circumstances, I need to go with this margin. Serena took the title in Rome. She didn't play her top game but she played Kuznetsova at 12 games and Begu at 17. Last year she was at 15 in the first match after Wimbledon with Bonaventura, with Errani at 16 at RG, with Suarez at 16 earlier that season, Bregle at 13, Lim 15 the year before at RG, Errani at 15 in Rome, Zhang 16, Suarez 17 in Madrid, Bencic 15, three years ago at RG Tatishvili at 13, Vinci at 16, Errani at 13. Why am I mentioning just some names and not all of them? Because of her opponent. Pereira might be most similar to Errani in style. To talk about Keys, McHale, Friesdam, Sharapova, Kuznetsova and some more aggressive players doesn't make much sense. The Brazilian is not her level. She is not at the level of most players we mentioned before but the style matters here. Pereira has not met someone's of Serena's level on clay court so far. Not even close. Knapp beat her in a match at 17 games, Kanepi 18, Rodina 18, Cirstea 20 (the second set finished 7-5), Riske 18, Puig 15, Hantuchova 17, Rogowska 16 (Pereira had the role of the favorite), Oprandi 17 (as an underdog). Babos had 6-0 in one set (the odds at the Hungarian were over 3,50). Martic beat her in straight sets as an underdog (4,20 at Martic). Serena trashes players like the Brazilian as a rule while Periera loses to players who are not even close to Serena. Serena's straight sets win would be a good choice here too (Serena is 58.14 in such matches on clay court over the last 5 years even though she lost 5 sets here last season, while Perrera is 8-15).
Serena failed to get the US Open title and the same happened at AO. She talked about the focus she has on RG when arriving in Rome. Her motivation is enourmous here and she wants win more GSs than anyone else. Pereira was not where she was last season and Serena couldn't have asked for better draw. If Serena embarrasses herself against Periera everything she talked about ahead of RG will be in vain... Details

I saw three of four Tsurenko matches at the last tournaments. I didn't see the one against Geroges in Rome, where the German lost as only she and a few more players knows. She had the first set and a 4-2 lead in the second one. I would go as far as saying that she doesn't deserve even a Top 100 judging by what she did in Nurnberg. She struggled last season against players she should not struggle again. Tsurenko even had some physical problems in the match against Hervog. That was the official reasons she pulled out of Geroges match. Everything starts and finished with two things here - the first one is the possible fatigue with Garcia. She won the Strasbourg. The other one is the pressure she always feels here. She played 4 matches for the title last week and won 3 out of 4 in straihgt sets and I cannot talk about fatigue. Garcia talked about pressure. She said she didn't like playing on the big court last year. I think the title from Strasbourg is crucial for her. She played home where she didn't do well for yeasr. That means that her confidence is good and that she will be more relaxed here. The stats are on our side as well. Tsirenko has 6 clay court defeats this season. She lost them by 6, 9, 5, 6, 5, 6 games. Last season she got two sets but stayed under this margin regardless. She would have stayed under against Geroges if the German was able to get the job done. She didn't cover the it against Razzano last week but Razzano is tough home. Also, she didn't do it against Ivanovic in Stuttgart (won both matches by 3 games). Looking further in the past, Tsurenko has 4-5-17 in converting this handicap in her defeats in the last 5 years. Garcia is 17-3-6 in her wins. Details