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When Feyenoord and PSV meet, the bet is obvious - over on goals. A glance at the past figures and their best game of the season at Eindhoven in autumn, which ended 4-3, confirm nobody calculates in their duels.
Feyenoord are defending the third position and want payback for the above mentioned defeat, while PSV are relaxed, secure of their title and style, in which retreat is not in the vocabulary. With the away team, one need just see the 16 and 15 scored by De Jong and Depay, as well as 10 by Wijnaldum, while of the listed starters only right back Brenet did not score a goal.
Feyenoord are missing their best gunner Kazim Richards, but along with 10 goals, he often missed things impossible to miss. His sub is Te Vrede, who scored seven so far, while the offensive midfielders behind him,Toornstra - Immers - Manu, scored 17 between them. The home team have plenty of options for scoring, and they will charge, which makes anything possible. Feyenoord won at De Kuipu the last four years, as well as in eight of their last 10 duels. The remaining two had two scored, and it would be really unlucky if tradition failed today when there is no reason for them to play it safe. Details

Any sports fan worth his name should start this day by watching Liverpool - Man United, and end it by moving to Nou Camp and Barcelona - Real. Setting preferences aside in betting, all indicators point to explosive matches in both cases and playing to score more than the opponent.
It's a bit odd that the bookmakers don't see the Anfield match in that light, as the odds on three or more goals are higher than the ones for under three, but this means we get more value.
A point means little to Liverpool as they're still two short to get to fourth place, and yesterday's victories by Tottenham and Southampton threaten to pull them from fifth as well. Their only option is beating Man United and taking their position, which will take bravery and drive, qualities of last season's Liverpool, who fought for the title and decided most matches in the first half. This Reds team is getting close to that setup, and today is their chance to prove it in a do or die situation. Caution is needed, but not to the extent of pulling back, even more so since Manchester United are less than impressive in away matches this season and go for counterattacks more often than domination.
That might be the scenario here, and the game will be wide open after the first goal, regardless of who scores it, as the points are so important the other team must retaliate in kind, which means a scoring parade, making three goals a reality here.
Eight of their last 11 duels had at least 3 goals in total, and five of the last seven Liverpool played at home had the same outcome, with the remaining two ending with exactly two. ManU on the other hand scored at least a goal in seven of their last eight away matches, and at least two in eight of their last nine home games. In summary, there is no reason not to try this bet, mainly based on the importance of the match in this moment, which don't allow teams to accept a draw, especially not Liverpool, who are getting more efficient and dangerous. Details

As you can read in the preview, Swansea got 13 points against Top 10 teams, claiming the remaining 27 against bottom-table teams or mediocre opponents that are quite numerous in Premier League. That says a lot about how strong or weak they are. They got 25 points in 14 games home, being among others Aesenal and Man Utd. But, motivation and freshness, together with quality and game is what matters at this point in the season. And Liverpool is much better in at least 3 of those aspects, which is why they are considered to be the favorites.
Their performances are very similar to those form last year, when they fought for the title. Two inexplicable slips in the last weeks stripped them of a chance to clinch the trophy after long 24 years. They have no such chance this season but want to reach spot 4 and Champions League. They should have learned a lesson last season and not lose focus and now allow a medicare team like Swansea mess with their plans.
There is no doubt that Liverpool will try and take over the control from the start, the lineup certainly suggests so. 7 offense players with only three center backs means Rodgers wants to beat his former team. Their current form could bring down opponents much tougher than Swansea at this moment. Liverpool didn't concede in the last 5 games, while not winning only against the city rivals Everton.
Swansea will probably patiently wait for their chances, trying to get the ball as far away from their box as possible. They have poor offense potential and not nearly as much confidence as the opponents. Chelsea beat them 5-0 recently here and Liverpool should extent the streak as they are better and more motivated, as the win 4-1 in Liverpool in the first head-to-head proved. It's high time they ended the streak without a win in this Welsh city... Details

When a club is three points away from the relegation zone, no matter how good a team they have, they're in danger. Nobody could imagine that happening to Everton, a team that started the season by buying Romelu Lukaku for ₤40 million from Liverpool, and announcing the fight for the Champions League place. It's hard to explain what and when it went wrong. The mystery is even bigger considering Everton's great games in the Europa League, where they crushed teams far more powerful than the ones that defeated them in the Premiership.
For example, they defeated Dynamo Kiev 2-1 in the round of 16 on Thursday, and nobody defeated Dynamo in their national championship. Like always, coach Roberto Martinez claimed that that was a turning point, and even though he was sometimes wrong with his evaluations, we'll trust him this time, and bet on Everton defeating Newcastle. Everyone is eager to win on Goodison, because this match is a "to be or not to be" for Everton.
Newcastle lost more often than won on Goodison in the last ten years. Now they're coming without ten players, including their best striker Cisse. Coach Carver knows that their advantage is in the fact that the pressure is on Everton. But, with the desire Everton have to win, that pressure might not be much of an advantage for Newcastle.
With all that said, we'll invest four units in Everton breaking the series of four championship draws at home, and get the three points that are so important to them.
If anyone is feeling lucky, they can bet on Romelu Lukaku scoring, because in five matches he played against Newcastle in his career, he scored four times, and in 2015, he scored nine of 16 goals that Everton scored total in all the competitions. Details

This game is not very important result-wise since neither of the team are in danger zone nor have realistic chances of making it into Europa League this season. They need a long winning streak in the end to do that.
All the prerequisites for a carefree, offense-oriented game are therefore met. Cambuur lost 1-6 to Zwolle last round, while Utrech got crushed against AZ 6-2.
Cambuur will be very eager to make amends home while Utrech play offensive-oriented game everywhere. Their goal difference is 47-47 at the moment. Cambuur has three overs home in the last 5 games, Utrech 8 out of the last 10 games away. The h2h this season ended 3-1 for Cambuur, the one last season 3-1 for them in Leeuwarden. There will be quite a lot of these kind of bets as the season comes to its end when teams normally playing offense-oriented game play without objectives-
I think this game will end with a total of at least 3 goals, maybe with even more if you are ready to take more risk with higher odds. Details

Ried and Grödig might not have that big of an offensive potential, but they've got offensive-prone coaches, and that could determine this duel a great deal. Oliver Glasner clearly showed content with his team's scoring efficiency in the last three matches, which suggests he'll try the same route today. Grödig can't rely on an insecure defense (the third worst of the league), and will put their hopes in the offensive.
The conditions set a duel with no calculations, where both team have to connect a few wins for it to matter till the end of the season, and the easiest way to do it is against equal or weaker opponents. Ried will definitely risk more as a home team, and the guests can be really dangerous in the counter attacks, so we'll definitely see an interesting duel. The tradition supports this claim, too. They faced each other eight times in the last year and a half, and there were three or more goals total six times. The over was 100% in matches played in Ried, 1-2, 4-2, 1-4, 2-2. Let that tradition go on because there's no reason to try to play to get one point today, and in the last five matches Ried played at home, they had four with 3+, and one 1-1 match, while Grödig scored plenty goals in the last five championship away matches in that same series. Details

We expected lower odds at first, but then that got bigger for AZ's win against Willem II. That's okay, because if anyone thrilled us with their games lately, it's the Alkmaar club. All of their lines are assembled great, they're compact, have a clear vision when playing, and both their defense and offense are equally successful. Besides, 16 points in seven matches played in 2015 can't be a coincidence, and the only defeat was against the leader, PSV, in a great match that could have gone the other way. AZ have a clear goal, the third place, and going straight to the Europa League, and even the second place isn't really out of their reach, because Ajax's six points could melt away today, and the Amsterdam club will face PSV tomorrow. So, AZ have a great chance to do something big this season, and they shouldn't gamble it away against opponents such as Willem II. Hats off to the TIlburg guests, they're were a nice surprise in a comeback season, but they're far weaker in away matches than at home. Their inclination to play bravely actually works for AZ who have a great counter and semicounter, and the home team want the guests to play openly. Checking the league table, Willem II are close to the eighth place, so they could charge and try to get three points, but AZ are stronger, both individually and as a team, and none of their important players are out. So, we'll bet on AZ's triumph because there's great value in these 1.80. Details

In football and betting, you have to be ready for everything. It's a marathon, and you have to pick something new every time. Today, we're going for Burnley for a simple reason. To them, this match against Swansea means everything, and it doesn't mean anything for the guests. Without a doubt, this match is the key in Burnley's staying in the league, and if they don't win, they can hardly save themselves from being eliminated. Just look at their schedule with many tough challenges in the next rounds. Many wrote Burnley off at the beginning of the championship, but they grew with time and became more competitive, especially when the forward Danny Ings started showing his skills. He'll be one of the most sought after players of the league this summer, and Burnley's fate depends on him.
No doubt that the home team will charge for Swansea's goal with all forces. That always secured the advantage at the half-time in their last three home matches. However, spending too much energy also made them lose the momentum in the last minutes, and they lost key points against Crystal Palace and West Bromwich. Still, a lucky tie with the help from the referee in the last round against the leading Chelsea will motivate Sean Dyche's team. He'd want his team to play like they were in a trance.
Swansea? They're fine either way, and they'll calmly wait for their chances and the home team's mistakes so they can punish them. But, that tactic doesn't often bring them results. So, if Burnley have a good day, they'll win, otherwise they'll definitely be eliminated from the league.
We'll go for the result with no tie for Burnley, so the stakes are void if there's no winner, but an even better option is the half-time, or the home team's win. Details

When Aston Villa management finally realized they need to sack the manager who's been dragging them to the bottom for the third consecutive season (12 goals in 25 games), the English media concluded that it has never happen that such a good team struggled to avoid relegation.
And they're right. It's really hard to believe, given the quality in all of their lines, that Villa could have done so badly to plummet to spot 18 in the table.
The leadership change was necessary as the team proved in the very first game since Sherwood took over to beat Leicester in FA Cup (2-1). A young manager will definitely bring about some changes and first and foremost, demand a more offense-oriented game. Getting out of such a difficult situation is not easy but Villa has the quality for it and now that a more capable man took over, they should be able to prevail.
The game with Stoke today is the official start of the mission called 'saving Villa from relegation'. They are expected to have a lot of fan support today and will be keen to do well now that the new manager took over. Stoke are the ideal opponent at this point as they basically finished their season last Saturday as they played a second-tier Blackburn in FA Cup to record a crushing 1-4 defeat. Stoke has nothing left to fight and their top player Krkic is out. Three defenders are missing as well and Stoke will probably struggle against the motivated opponent today.
Granted, scoring 12 goals in 25 games is a sign of weakness but I think the change in leadership will be the turning point in this season for Villa. I think the game against Stoke is a new beginning and that they should be able to record a win after five straight defeats.
I will go with the option without a draw tip -1. If the game is a draw, the bet is void and if Aston Villa win, you have a wining bet. Details

We've announced in the preview that there is great rivalry between the two clubs. Despite the number of points, shape and goals, this match will fill the stadium, and both teams will want to win.
Calculations can be forgotten here. Offense will be the first and foremost options when tactics are in question, and a bet on a bigger number of goals seems like a logical choice. Quality- and mood-wise Heerenveen have the advantage (13 points and 13 goals in five games), but Cambuur are playing at home and they don't even want to think of failing. True, the home team will be missing their best scorer Ogbeche, but they have other cards up their sleeve. The away team are complete, their offense trio are pulverizing everyone in 2015: Uth, Larsson and Slagveer scored a total of 23 goals this season. Cambuur's defense has been leaking a lot in the last four matches and each time they conceded two goals, and today they could fail more than once as well.
After 13 years of being a second-league club, Cambuur gained the status of a first-league club. They played three head-to-head matches: it was 3-1 for Cambuur, 2-1 for Heerenveen and 2-2 in their first meeting of this season. I think tradition won't fail us today and that we'll witness at least a total of three goals today in Leeuwarden. Details

If anyone knows how to win games like this one, it's Tony Pulis. That well-experienced, cunning manager has kept Stoke in the league for years, even lead them into Europa League, and saved Crystal Palace last season, taking over as the team had 4 points from 11 games.
Pulis had the same task as he Took over at WBA this season. The club was in decline that no one could stop and this is how they did in the last five championship rounds lead by Pulis - two draws away, a win over Hull home, and a defeat to Tottenham.
The progress is more than visible. Darren Flecher was brought from United to help in midfield and home games against mediocre rivals such as Swansea are perfect for WBA to win points important in their bid for avoiding relegation.
The important thing is to try hard, bring the number of mistakes to a minimum, and stay in control. That is bound to work at one point. WBA might struggle a bit today, but Pulis is a slave-driver who will not let his team back down for a second. If they get ahead, he will instruct them to bring the pace down and sail through to a win.
This is one of the most favorite road games for Swansea, who are now significantly weakened by top scorer Bony departure and key midfielder Sigurdsson's suspension. Without those two, Swanse will have very little chance of creating attempts.
The visitors will rely on defense and hope that WBA will lose focus. That is precisely how Swanse managed to stun Southampton by scoring a goal almost accidental. I don't think they can get lucky like that twice, or better yet, I trust WBA will be able to score. They need the points much more than the visitors.
The odds at home team are more than good and the more cautious among you can go with WBA win at half time or in the end. Details

G.A. Eagles and Ajax have very different tradition, power, and significance, thus their goals must be different, too. The Eagles won't to stay in the first league, Ajax want to keep their second place safe, because they can't deal with PSV in the fight for the title.
But, both these teams are in a bad form right now, and have problems scoring. It sounds incredible that Ajax didn't score once in the last three rounds, and only got one point, while the Eagles scored only once and got four points in the last four matches. Ajax also defeated Groningen 2-0 in the first round of the second part of the championship.
Despite all of that, the bookmakers force a bigger number of goals today, which makes absolutely no sense. So, we'll try and go for much better odds for the under.
The Eagles are the third most inefficient team of the league - they lack creativity, they can't score, and it's questionable whether they are ready to risk against Ajax, no matter how much problems and absences the guests have.
The home team would probably take one point from this duel without second though, and they'll play firm, without rushing forward because they expect that if they give them a chance, the guests will create pressure.
But, as we've seen the last three miserable performances by Ajax where they had their first shot into the goalpost in the 78th minute against Feyenoord, and in the 72nd minute against Vitesse, and it wasn't much better in the 0-1 defeat against AZ, it's easy to conclude that the coach De Boer's team don't have the player in the form in the midfield, or the offense. Their midfield is weakened and not very confident, so we can't expect Ajax to score much against the Eagles, no matter how much they had to try to win. They barely won 1-0 here last season when they were brilliant, and the home team aren't really able to create chances, so there definitely won't be over two goals here. Just to keep us safe, we'll go for this bet - in case of three goals scored, the stake is void, and the value is definitely in the odds of 2.50, offered for the option under 2.5 goals total. Details

What ever good Den Haag did this season happened on their artificial pitch. They lost only 2 out of the 9 games, two Feyenoord 0-1 early in the season and to AZ later on 2-3. Twente won't have it easy in Den Haag today and the new Chinese owner set only one goal before coach Fraser - avoiding relegation. The investments into a team that will fight for European competitions will happen next season.
The new president said everyone will be rewarded for win today (financially), which got Den Haag's motivation running high. The problem might be their top scorer Kramer not playing, but Van Duinen who scored the last round and playmaker Alberg are there.
Twente won't care much about Den Haag's plans, but this will be their 4th game in only 10 days. Fatigue might be the problem and speed and responsiveness not at the usual level. That, combined with Den Haag's assertion might result in Twente not having as much possession an, in turn, not many attempts.
If the game turns out to be tough, there will be no favorite- Since the home team need points, going with the double chance that ADO won't lose is the best choice. Twente are not that good away this season and beat only Zwolle out of good rivals. Wins over Heracles and bottom table Dordrecht were expected. Twente lost in the capital last season too and went on to play two draws with this rival. A draw might be the most realistic outcome of this match. But when choosing between home team not losing and visitors winning, which have basically the same odds, I put my trust in the home team given their motivation and power at the moment. Details

The odds set would suggest that Vitesse are a favorite against Ajax. The Arnhem club are the 12th, Ajax are 2nd, and they have to win if they want to keep up with the leader, PSV. Vitesse lost all the matches this year, friendly, championship and the cup, so there's really no sense in these odds. They can't be favorites against Dordrecht who are the last, let alone Ajax, no matter how bad their form might be. Vitesse are getting worse ever since the second part of the last season, and that continued this entire season, so they can hardly change anything against Ajax. They won't even be able to rely on two key defenders, and maybe even the first goalie!
Vitesse did defeat Ajax in the Cup by the end of the last year, 4-0, and that might give coach Bosz's team a ray of hope, but Ajax will be a lot more careful now, because they definitely learned their lesson.
Nobody will play with math in this match, and a bigger number of goals total is a good option for a pick, but the odds on the guests' triumph have a value too big not to be taken advantage of. To make it more secure, we'll take the option of the win, and in case of a tie, the stakes would be void, and another good option is the half-time, or the end - tip 2. Details

Even if this pick is a complete failure, it's time we started catching the Queens Park Ranger's first away points this season. It's kind of incredible that the London club lost all ten away matches so far, even more so because they were close to winning a few times, and got crushed only twice, in away matches against Tottenham and ManUni, 4-0.
After that, they only lost by two three times and by one goal difference in the five following matches, which shows they lacked luck, too. The experienced coach Redknapp knows it's because of their heads, QPR showed in home matches that they can face anyone at home. They only lost to Liverpool and ManUni at home. QPR players are motivated to do something in Stoke because they know that if they keep losing, they'll be eliminated from the league.
Stoke are a typical team from the middle of the league table, they can't go up or down, and their best player Bojan Krkić getting injured will definitely show. He played as the back forward, organized the game, and scored, and Stoke don't have a player to cover for him. That doesn't guarantee that Stoke won't pressure and be dangerous at QPR's goal, but they could be trying to go through the tall center forward Crouch. QPR will get ready for that, and if they don't make technical faults, they can be an even opponent and get a positive result.
Stoke aren't as convincing home as they were in the last seasons. They only won four of ten matches, and lost to Burnley, Leicester and Aston Villa, all teams from the bottom of the league table, who would close down and the home team couldn't break their bunkers. That scenario is possible today if QPR's defense do their job. We're sure that the second scorer of the league Austin and Zarate can definitely make Stoke's goalie's job harder. QPR had some successes here in the last years, in the last ten duels, they won five and had one tie against Stoke. QPR's positive result here today could be worth gold. Details

When Ajax and Feyenoord play, it's always a football holiday. Ajax and Feyenoord are known for playing an offensive football. They concede under one goal per game, and the first match they played this season ended up 1-0 for Ajax, but it could have easily been 5-3 for Feyenoord. They had good ideas, but couldn't score, and that often happens in "classic" games like this one.
Getting one point means nothing for either of them. Ajax would just increase the difference between them and the first-placed PSV, and Feyenoord wouldn't get closer to the second place, and would even jeopardize the third place they're currently holding. It's obvious that nobody will calculate here, and all the options with three goals or over total are very realistic, and are followed with tempting odds, which is actually surprising.
Both teams miss only one forward, but that shouldn't be crucial because there are plenty of quality individuals in both teams. I see this match as a quest for the win for both these teams, and that's why we pick the option of at least three goals total. It happened in five matches before the first match this season, and eight times of ten matches they played, and in those two exactly two goals were scored. Details

The home team's coach Jans gave the best announcement for the match between Zwolle and Breda - "the difference on the league table won't represent the difference in the game". He suggested his team might have a task more difficult than the odds set in the bookmakers would suggest. Those make Zwolle a big favorite.
Jans is aware of how much his team is weakened compared to the first part of the season - because of their best scorer Tomaš Necid's departure, who scored eight goals, as well as because a lot of the starting eleven players are playing the Asian cup, or having injuries. That Zwolle is far from the one who had so much success in 2014, and Breda could be an even opponent at least. The guests brought a new coach and a few reinforcements, showing their desire to get away from the one before last place they hold. They'll die on the field to remain undefeated today.
That doesn't mean that could be enough, but the effect of the first game after the break and a big motive in Breda could be significant factors that will make this game intense. I kind of think that that's what's going to happen, and between odds with no value, and with great risk for the home team, we pick the double chance and the guests being undefeated.
To the more careful a word of advice, Breda won't lose by two or more at 1.65 sounds pretty good, as well as 0-0 from the last season to happen here again, and Breda's win against Zwolle at home this season. Details

New Year's Day games are usually not easy to predict, especially now with most coaches criticizing the busy holidays schedule more than ever. Everyone is fed up with it, especially players and coaches.
I wanted to choose a game that will be tough for goal keepers and with both teams trying their best to win. Hull and Everton seem to be those kind of teams. They both did the first part of the season disappointingly and both need to get points - one point wouldn't be much of a help for either team. This should be a game both opponents will want to win, which should results in goals on both sides. I thus opted for 'both teams to score'.
The bet is backed by both rivals' goals, their complete focus, and stats. Their first head to head meeting this season ended as a 1-1 draw, 4 out of the last 5 with both teams scoring, and three of them with at least 3 goals in total.
Everton's 7 out of 10 away games finished with both opponents scoring. Hull had straight three of those at season's start and then only once later on, but that happened as a result of forwards' injuries that are taken care of now. Everton will go with their top two strikers and spectators in Hull should see goals today. Details

According to the both team's orientation, and everything that happened in the season so far, and the current moment and the tradition in the last years, the duel between West Ham and Arsenal should bring a lot of goals. If that really happens, this match is a great pick. A lot of options are offered, from the safe bets where both will score, to the risky picks where the home team will score two or more goals. The middle is in - both will score plus three, and that's the one we'll pick. West Ham won six out of the last seven matches at home, always played bravely, whether they faced Manchester City and Liverpool, or QPR and Leicester. They all lost in the north London, and conceded at least two goals. So, it's not impossible that the same should happen to Arsenal who aren't convincing in away games, and conceded two goals four times, and three goals in Stoke. Arsenal also scored goals, their philosophy is never a defensive one, especially not in the English championship against weaker teams or even rivals.
So, trying to trick each other and quickly take action from one side of the field to the other should mark this city derby in the eastern London. Take a look at the last two seasons, that's what all four games looked like. True, Arsenal won all four convincingly, but also conceded a goal each time. Now, West Ham are stronger and dare to think of a positive result, but from everything you can conclude from both teams' announcements, they won't play to get a point here, because both believe they can get the win, and you can't get a win if you don't score. Details

Leicester have been without a win for 12 rounds and are at the bottom of the table. A single point for them is too little, and to get all three of them they have to take a risk. Tottenham have announced they're waking up in their latest matches. They see this match as an ideal chance to score a third win in a row. The away team knows the hosts' problems, and in order to use that they have to attack again. This will probably be a fast-paced match in which it's possible to take the lead in the first half-time. We expect such a scenario and we'll go for a bet with three or more goals in total.
Tottenham are a favorite in this duel. This season, in six out of the last seven away matches, they went to a +3 goals in the last six matches out of seven, and in the last one it was 1-1. Leicester had four times 3+ at home, and four below, but that was with the defensive WBA and Sunderland, and 0-1 against Manchester City.
There are no important offense absences for both teams, and the hosts are only missing the first goalkeeper Schmeichel. Details