betprepare.com

Pavic is ideal for these bets. He is always underestimated, even when he has a great week behind him. He is a player with a great serve. Last week he passed Eckental qualifications and defeated Ilhan and Fucsovics. In those two matches he lost his serve twice, and he hit 16 aces against Ilhan. If we were to compare the first days of Bratislava and Eckental last week, the conditions at this tournament are much faster. Even defeat against Youzhni seems great, which cannot be seen from the result. He won 88% of first serve points, and added 11 aces against veteran player who won the title last week. Before that he passed Stockholm qualifications, almost advanced through the first round. I remember his performances from this tournament, which is also in favor of this bet. Last year against Sijsling he played 23 games in two sets, and the year before that he should have defeated Rosol who has been achieving great results here for years. That match was decided by the third set tiebreak with 22 played points. Marchenko is a proven Challenger player, especially indoor. I mean, the margin here is set on the basis of ranking, and Pavic started the season late because of an injury. With that, Marchenko probably isn't completely fit. He forfeited a match three weeks ago and announced a break because of a muscle rupture. When we count in the points he needs to defend, he is out of the Top 100 and that's why there is no time for waiting. Bratislava's fast conditions, Pavic's latest performances, as well as his performances in the last two years here, are enough for this bet and I claim that is too low by two games. I calculated into that the fact that the Ukrainian had a ruptured muscle and that he will have search for his pace again. Details

Ignatik stayed under 19 games only three times in 36 matches, not counting the futures. Two of those were 18. That's what kind of a player he is. He gave Istomin a hard time recently, then lost to Masur and Rochette. Just look at some of his indoors results from the beginning of the season, when he played the futures. Kolar, Chonski, Wunner, haerteis. All wins at the odds of 1.15 or lower, and big overs. Even those three matches, he took them to the third set. Molcan came with an invite. He's a 17 y.o. who doesn't force games, but he's got the potential. He won in Trnava when he surprised Satral (odds @6.5), and then he took Montanes to a tie-break (23 games). He only played two hardcourt futures after that, and got to the final in the second. He played the qualifiers here last year. He passed the first round, and gave Veger a hard time (23 games), and Veger eliminated Ignatik the day after. Just a comparison, nothing crucial for this. What is crucial is that Molcan is underestimated. He's a young player with lots of potential, but who hadn't played many matches, and that influences his ranking. He's also a leftie, so Ignatik won't have it easy. Even if he was a rightie, Ignatik is struggling with the return. You can even take a margin of a game more here, if necessary. Details

I expected 19,5 but secretly hoped for the 18,5 games margin. In the end, the margin is even one game lower. Kalenichenko was the most pleasant surprise of the qualifying rounds. He has a bad record at futures level, having won only a third of such matches, with no finals at that level. I understand this margin from that perspective, even though it's still quite low. But let's go back to the Ukrainian. The conditions are pretty fast here and his 188 centimeters in height and serve left a trace. Veic prefers clay court and isn't in form now. The Ukrainian won all 17 service games against him. He went on to beat Gawrow as well after winning 70 percent of first serve points and losing only two service game. That means he dropped serve twice in 3 qualifying rounds (8 sets). I know his previous opponents aren't Copil's level but since when is the Romanian the kind of a player who wins his matches easily. I found a few matches this season where he was the favorite at 1,20 and lower. Botzer forced him into a tie-break, Metreveli as well. Looking at fast surfaces only, Copil is 14-95 for unders at 17,5 games. He dismantled Sijsling last week but the Dutchaman has injury struggles again. Even if there weren't these qualifying matches, I would be interested in this low margin because Copil does not win convincingly. Given Danylo's three previous performances, this is a great bet. Details

Any bet with Gulbis as the favorite entails risk but I expected the odds at this match to be set much lower today. First of all, Isner played as expected. He is not nearly as good in rallies like he was in Asia. There was also no rhythm in yesterday's match. But Isner's serving was great. Vienna suits players like him, regardless of the change in surface. Secondly, Gulbis has some sort of a wrist injury before this tournament. His game is far from his top level but the serve is good. There will be no long rallies here, but the important thing is, Gulbis can fire powerful serves, meaning his wrist is better. Thirdly, their last h2h matches finished with a first set tie-break. Vienna is much faster than Valencia, where we saw two breaks. Also, Gulbis is very motivated because he's after the Top 100. He can say what ever he wants but he still wants to avoid AO qualifying rounds. This is where he often practices (this court) and I believe he feels like home there. And finally, there were some mistakes on his part in the first match but he knows that any kind of a slip means a lost set against Isner. I believe he will be very focused today, which will result in first set tiebreak. And that's the only thing we need here. The ebt is under Set Betting, 1st set correct score. Details

De Schepper struggled with his serve a lot this season, but that didn't influence his results because his return got a lot better. The last weeks spent playing indoors brought results, and boosted his confidence. He beat Chiudinelli and Bemelmans without losing his serve in the qualifiers here, and grabbed six of eight break-points. With two challenger semifinals in a row, this gives him a nice indoors rhythm. Isner is coming from Asia, and will have to adjust to these conditions. When it comes to changing conditions, and the first match of the tournament, his philosophy is simple. Focus on keeping the serve, and I doubt that De Schepper can do anything about it. He should keep his serve to, considering his rhythm in the last weeks. Besides, his serve against players of Isner's quality in the qualifiers was great. De Schepper and Isner didn't face each other yet, but De Schepper played Karlović twice, and Anderson once. All three matches were played indoors, and every time, the first set went to a tie-break. For these conditions, and servers like these two, especially considering De Schepper's quality lately, I expected the odds to be far lower. The bet is "1st Set Correct Score" in the "Set Betting" column. Details

Yesterday Almagro played against the Ukrainian veteran who is currently barely in the Top 700. The opponent took four games from him. Doesn't seem like a lot, but with that he covered the margin offered at bet365. Almagro is overrated in these types of matches. He has never been a player who smashes. Great server, excellent shots, but also a mindset ideal for this type of bet. The Spaniard forces a lot, tries to hit a winner in all situations and lacks patience. Pavic is barely in the Top 600 and that is why the margin is this low, but he is totally different from yesterday's opponent. This year I always bet on him on grass-court. He is underestimated because of his ranking, but a good service-volley player who can keep his serve in faster conditions. He has that Balkans mentality so he plays better in bigger matches. Of course, for players like him it is easier to play on grass-court, but Stockholm is fast enough for it to be an advantage. The Spaniard had to play clay court challenger over the last months in order to return to the Top 100. In these slower conditions, at the last two challengers he went over this margin against players like Volandri, Eremin and Satral. His only convincing win was that against Brkic. He lacks indoor rhythm, under these conditions, and I have no doubt that Pavic will be a tough nut to crack. Besides, if we only look at the numbers, Almagro's record in the last two years is 14-50 in favor of overs on this margin (on all surfaces). Details

First of all, this is underestimating Chiudinelli. The Swiss started out his season normally in June, and then in the second tournament he beat Paire, Herbert and De Bakker. He played challenger finals at the end of August. His last match was against his opponent today. The match went into more games, even though it was ended in two sets. The Swiss knows how to play in these conditions. Last year he took Krajinovic, Dodig and Fucsovics over this limit indoors, all favored opponents. I expect a tight match, so this bet could pass in two sets. Details

This text will be published soon. Details

This text will be published soon. Details

I was close to a prediction on Vesely yesterday, but I couldn't ignore Zhe Zhang's reputation. I thought that Vesely wouldn't have problems with time zone and condition change because he went through that for Davis Cup in India and has been in Asia for two weeks. After DC he played four challenger matches in Tai Pei to stay in the rhythm but was unexpectedly ousted by Bhambri. He met expectations here by defeating the experienced Chinese without losing a serve, he used three of the five break points and won 84% of first serve points. He is now facing a less experienced Chinese, 19-year-old Zhang who has only has two challenger appearances, won four games against Bhambri and suffered a tight defeat against Uchiyama two years ago. He went through the qualifications here and defeated Soeda, who is probably having injury problems. The Chinese won but he lost over 40% of points on his serve, and won only 62% of first serve points in these faster conditions. Vesely is a Top 40 player who plays well from the baseline and serves at over 200 km/h. Vesely covered this handicap against experienced Zhang, so he can surely do it against the inexperienced one. I believe he can win this match without losing his serve, and he will definitely have chances on the return. Either way, I expect a convincing win, so my recommendation is a bigger handicap. And less games because everything here is on Vesely's side. Details

This text will be published soon. Details

Irigoyen didn't get any wins in the last three months. She didn't play much, and what she did was weak, one set in the last five duels. Clay is her best court, and she hadn't played indoors for the last six years. She only played two indoors seasons, the last one in 2009, and she didn't win a single set in three matches. She got into the draw here because of all of the players who cancelled their performances. I won't say she came to take the check, but I can't say she didn't, either. I doubt she was even getting ready for these conditions, especially because Quebec is really fast, and the ball bounces low, something that definitely doesn't suit players like her. Hesse's ranking is similar, but her story is completely different. She often trains indoors, like most French. She's got over 50 indoors wins, including the wins from the French championship. Her results might not show it, but she's still got potential. That's why she got invited to Roland Garros, and to the US Open last year. She passed the qualifiers here, which is an extra advantage for her. She won 16 out of 21 serve-games, even though she had a blunder in a set against a weaker opponent. Two years ago, she beat the Argentinian by five points difference on clay. Her job should be even easier here because Irigoyen doesn't play indoors, or fast conditions, and neither is she in good form. Hesse will use this chance, everything is going for her, and that's why I picked the handicap because all of Irigoyen's problems will surface in at least one set. Details

Vesely started playing on hard court very late in his carrier since he was playing only on clay before turning pro, even though his serve was extra fast (over 200km/h) when he was still a junior. He is now a complete player capable of consistently wining his service games but he is prone to tiebreaks as well. His greatest problem is return and today, he is faced with the greatest server on tour. Vesely eased past Lorenzi as expected, having won 90% of first serve points. Since he's a leftie who plays a tough game, I don't think Karlovic will have as many chances on return as in the first round. They met twice so far, both times on clay court. The first match finished with two tie-breaks while the one from this season finished with a break in each set at what was Karlovic's first clay court tournament of the year. It was in Bucharest, the tournament that is the most suited one for servers. Both will dominate in serve today and the expected outcome here is the first set tiebreak. WillHill have this bet under '1st set correct score' and the 7-6 score is important regardless of who wins the tiebreak. Details

Ferrer has not played a match since Nottingham, which means no matches in more than 2 months. That is why the handicap is this low. He didn't play Cincinnati either even though he reached final last season there. The market reacted to it but we've been getting a lot of info from his practice sessions these days. His elbow was bandaged the first few sessions after which he removed it and practice normally, firing shots at full speed. Since he is one of the most fit players on tour, I think he won't have problems with fitness. I will therefore conclude that he's ready and that makes this a very good bet. Albot is Top 100 on account of challengers. He played the major ones of clay court but minor ones on hard court. He played Winston qualifiers as a preparation for the US Open and lost to Tiafoe in straight sets. Albot has no experience at this level. It's his second GS match ever the first one with a Top 10 player. Most importantly, Albot doesn't have great aspects in his game. He is consistent and tough but on challenger level. Ferrer is Top 3 version of that. Best of all Ferrer can win this easily even by doing averagely. His reputation, experience and quality will be extra help. Details

Opelka is the winner of this year's Junior Wimbledon. He also defeated Fritz, the Number one Junior player in the world, on his way to the title. The reason for this bet is simple. Opelka is a copy of Isner. Not only by height, because he is 208 cm tall, but also with the serving technique, and a bit with the game style. Of course, he is still young, it is not easy to handle such height at his age, but it is definitely easier to win service-games with that angle. He defeated Lindell here by saving all seven break-points, and with one break He won 83% of first serve points and hit 8 aces. Coppejans is primarily a clay-court player, but that is not very relevant. Lindell is definitely not a server and he played the match against Opelka with one break. I repeat, Opelka is a copy of Isner, so the same rules apply. He will soon reach the default of 24.5 games in these types of matches. Details

Groth lost the opening set yesterday and was a break down in the next two, having even saved a few match points. He wasn't happy with the time-slot off the match and the longer break he had. Still, there were no breaks in the first set. Donaldson is not as goon on serve as Johnson is. The American was often in these kind of bets against good servers. He's barely Top 50 but he's predictable. He's got three first set tie-breaks against Isner three with Raonic in all three matches. He's not aggressive as Groth but plays effectively and simple. In any case, I expected the odds to be much lower since both are good servers with not so good returns. The bet is '1st Set Correct Score' under 'Set Betting' section. Details

Even though Berdych was never a player for high goals, for big titles, he's been consistent for years. Lately he's not been himself. I don't know if marriage influenced him or it's simply a matter of a crisis, but I can see him being vulnerable in the last five matches. Andujar almost took him into the fifth set on grass, Chardy took three sets into a tie-break, and then he won seven games against Simon. I thought he would start playing for real last week, he had enough time to set thing out, but he failed again. He lost in two sets from the average Young, and he had 5-2 in the first set, and then 3-0 in the tie-break and a set-point on which he made a double error. Bellucci isn't a classical hardcourt player, but if it hand's been like this, I doubt he would have such a handicap. On the other hand, the Brazilian seems very good. Last week he showed he's not afraid of Djokovic, which is significant for this match. He entered longer exchanges, awaited errors, and usually outsiders don't have the need to go one step further, to force it. The Brazilian has got nothing to be afraid or, not even the much better Berdych from the one I've been seeing lately. They met five times in their careers and Bellucci won two head-to-heads. Only once he didn't cover this handicap. Besides, the Brazilian is not a classical clay player. He has a very uncomfortable serve which Djokovic points out after each match, so it's logical to conclude that in his case confidence is playing a big role. Considering that I wouldn't be surprised with the Czech losing today, in such conditions +4.5 if a big handicap. Yesterday the Brazilian lost a serve against Vesely once. Details

In this case the fact that two players practice together for years is good for us. Both of them are aware how important it is to hold the serve, and for both of them the serve is the strongest weapon. Next to the numerous hours of practicing spent together, they had four head-to-heads on a professional level. Out of that, three matches started with a tie-break. While both of them are cool and focused for holding the serve, it's to expect a minimum number of chances on the return. Later the result will also have influence, the nervousness, but the first set should be predictable. Because of that such odds are still acceptable. Especially because both of them point out that Cincinnati is fast. As for head-to-head sets, six out of 10 went into a tie-break. An interesting fact for the end: two years ago Isner reached the finals here. Five out of six matches started out with a tie-break. The bet is "1st Set Correct Score" in the "Set Betting" section Details

I can't say that Sock played well during clay-court season and he admits that himself. He recently said that grass court doesn't suit him. He didn't do brilliantly at last two tournaments either but he knows how to win even when things aren't going perfectly. He saved three straight set points against Bemelmans and then made a comeback against Gasquet. His defeat to Johnson was not too bad since his compatriot did very well that whole week. The key reason for this bet is Mannarino and his wrist injury. That is a huge and long-lasting problem for him. He had to change the way he hits the ball because of it. here were cases when he played badly for weeks and then admitted it was due to the injury. I believe Sock will take advantage of that. I don't think their h2h record will be important here. The American won two out of three h2h matches last season, one of them in this handicap. I've decided on this handicap because the Frenchman isn't very keen on retiring from his matches. Details

First and foremost, Sarkissian is overly under-appreciated. Even though he doesn't seem like that at first, he's a Top 200, he had a great student career and his tennis is aggressive, but he's taking time in building his career. He was focused on futures and chose his tournaments wisely. He played only two challengers this season and won the other one. In a weaker competition, but he beat the solid Smith in the finals. A few weeks ago he tortured Kavcic. Here he passed the qualifications which is a nice advantage, especially in Bogota where you can't play normal tennis because of the height above the sea level (2500 meters). In the last round he lost six points on the serve. As for Millman, he entered the Top 100. It was deserved; he has the game, but not the continuity. He is similar to Marchenko's story. The Australian was able to take a set from Top 10 players. On the other hand, he struggled on hardcourt against complete outsiders this season. Ehara, Niki, Zhang, Marcora, Lamasine and Couacaud. All those players took a set from him, and he was the huge favorite. He simply plays better when he's the outsider. That's how he beat Robredo on Wimbledon and took the lead of 2-0 in sets against Baghdatis, when he got scared of his new success. Here he's up against an uncomfortable opponent. I repeat, Sarkissian has the foundation to rush into the Top 100 battle soon. So far he has been under the radar and opted for smaller tournaments. He'll give Millman a beating who will struggle with conditions on which the American is already used to. Details