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Tips archive
  • Basketball 

    Champions League Usak Sportif - PAOK

  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 76.5 tip: Under
    14.12.2016. 18:00
    Result: 78:77
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >74.5
    Published: 14.12. 17:48
    Bookmaker:
     
    Usak had a turbulent season so far, and that means bad results. They only have 2-6 score in the FIBA Champions League, and they were crushed by Neptunas last week, falling apart in the second period already. They lost to ASVEL convincingly the round before that, and their only convincing win was against the stumbling Varese at home when they also fell apart in the second period. So, those two games marked with second periods pumped up their statistics (scored 88 and 87 points). Neither of the rest went over 74 in the regular time, and that was their score against Ventspils at home. They also hit 65 against Neptunas at home, and 60 to Oldenburg.
    PAOK didn't have a great season so far either, but they have been consistent defensively in the Champions League. They are one of the best teams in that regard because they only allow about 66 points, not counting the overtimes. They allowed 65 against Rose away, 70 against Varese, 68 against Neptunas and 67 against Oldenburg. They didn't allow over 71 in any of the home games in regular time. They left Usaka at 52 at home (PAOK won the home one 91-68 in the preseason).
    It should be pointed out that Usak fired two important players recently - the point guard Lyons whose average was 14.8 points and 6.9 assists in the CL, and the center Monroe (13.4 points with 8 rebounds). True, they've got Harrison and Auguste in their roster, who weren't playing their first duel against PAOK, but McKissic is not ready by any stretch, and losing their main point guard and a decent center, paired with their unconvincing form are definitely not the best start for the duel against the tough Greeks. I doubt Usak will push their rhythm here, I don't see PAOK as an outsider, and if the guests don't win, they will give a very hard time to the hosts' offense, like they did to the teams even better than Usak. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Handicap (OT incl.) -17 tip: 1
    10.12.2016. 18:00
    Result: 78:66
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: -10
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-19.5
    Published: 10.12. 11:12
    Bookmaker:
     
    I waited for some new information about Polpharma's best players' suspension being lifted, but that didn't happen last night, which means the away team in Dabrowa Gornicza will be very weakened. Their leaders, backs Hicks and Miles, are missing today's match. Together they're on an average of around 30 points, last weekend at home without them they lost to the unconvincing Szczecin with 17 points of difference, they significantly fell in the second half.
    Dabrowa are a team who so far left a better impression in second halves, under Anzulovic they're pretty aggressive, they have the width and at home they're very uncomfortable. Their home record is 6-1, they beat Assec with +23, Lublin with +20, Anwil with +14, they also beat at home Stelmet and Rosa, Trefl with +37 in the last championship, even though they were weakened. Today center Parzenski is back, in the meantime they brought back shot Wesley (in Kataja at the start of the season 15 points on average in Champions League), and coach polpharme Budzinauskas points out that except Hicks and Miles it's not sure whether the injured center Sajus will help, lay Flieger is struggling with a flu, and wing center Markovic is also complaining of problems.
    Such Pokpharma quality-wise are not on Trefl's level, to which they recently lost at home, and surely they're not on the level of Anwil, Assec, teams Dabrowa convincingly beat. In away games they fell to Turow with -26, they beat Stal, lost to Torun with -8, but the Hicks-Miles duo were leading the game, recently they lost in Lublin where Hicks-Miles recorded together 50+ points. All in all, we have a strong home team in very good shape, and very weakened away team, and I think Polpharma can't be equal opponents here, and that they will fall down significantly as the match goes on. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 143 tip: Under
    10.12.2016. 16:00
    Result: 71:59
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +9.4
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >142
    Published: 10.12. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    Kolossos have shown so far that their accent will be on the defense, everything they've won was over defense, the exception was only the game against Koroivos, but that Koroivos is a Greek version of a run-and-gun team. At home they beat Kymis with 64-54, Lefkadas with 77-60, Promitheas with 76-59, against offensive Rethymn they played a match at 140 points. In away games Kolossos ended at 144 against Aris, 145 against Panathinaikos, 142 against Olympiacos, and 158 against PAOK, but realistically, they can stand up to anyone in away games. Those were mostly matches which were quickly decided.
    At home Kolossos on average play matches at 141.6 points. Apollon are at 146 in away games, but we have to point out that they played against Olympiacos, Panathinaikos and PAOK. They lost all of those, and allowed over 80, which was expected. The only team who get into the rank of weaker teams they played away games with were against Trikala at 125 points. At home against Koroivos they went well over 150, but what's more important is that against Lefkadas they stayed under 140, as well as against Promitheas, teams which can be compared to Kolossos.
    In the pre-season, Kolossos and Apollon played a match at a tournament on Crete, at the time Apollon won with 68-63. Last season at Rhodos they ended at 114 points, in Patras at 132. I expect something similar today, I don't see this match close to 140 points, I don't expect the match to fall apart. Both teams don't have some big offensive quality and in clashes with similar clubs this season they remained at low numbers. Details
  • Basketball 

    Belgium 1 Oostende - Leuven

  • 1st half handicap -8.5 tip: 1
    03.12.2016. 20:30
    Result: 86:76
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-10.5
    Published: 03.12. 20:24
    Bookmaker:
     
    In the second round of the Belgian championship, Oostende lost to today's opponents Leuven in an away game with -9. They were leading at half-time and at the beginning of the final quarter they had +7, and then they came to a complete stop in the last quarter and lost that period with 16-32. and surprisingly, the Bears won. In the first round Oostende lost to Mons with 66-79 at home, and before that they lost at home in the Supercup to Antwerp, and in the pre-season they also mostly lost. The reason for the weaker pre-season and the start of the championship could be explained by the lack of four national team players during the whole summer, all important players, and a couple of also key ones who were plagued by injuries, like Gillet. The Belgian champions needed some time to get together. Gjergja also brought some new faces (Mwema) and the Champions League began...
    For today's prediction the important fact is that they're together, in the right shape, and now they look like they did last season. In the Champions League they beat Avellin, Canarias, they tightly lost to Mega and then on Wednesday they beat Cibona. In Belgium, after being defeated by Leuven, they beat the strong Brussels at home with 17 points of difference (by half-time it was +15), Liege with 28 (21), Okapi with 23 (16), and they only had a hard time reaching points at home against Antwerp (+5). However, the Giants are extremely competitive this season, I daresay next to Oostende. In the last two rounds Willebroek, Oostende won in an away games with 22 points of difference (half-time +22), last Satuday they beat Mons in an away game with +10 (+9).
    The win over Mons best paints the picture of their better shape they are now than they were at the start of the season, and definitely the motivational element of a revenge will be present today. Leuven solidily started out the championship, in the first four rounds they recorded three wins. But, realistically, the Bears don't have a bigger quality compared to last season when they ended at the very bottom, they don't have the width, and as the rounds go by, their shape is on the fall. They're on a six-game losing run, in the last three they lost with more than 15 points of difference, as much as they lost at home to Liege, in an away game against Okapi they fell with -18, they lost to Limburg in the last round also with -18 (Limburg were on a seven-league game losing run). In away games their record is 0-5. Last season, by the end of first half, they were losing in Oostende with 13 points of difference. Tonight, as the worst case scenario, I expect something similar. Oostende said they remember well the defeat in Leuven, their shape then and now can't be compared, and that they won't head light-headed into the game. Details
  • Basketball 

    Belgium 1 Mons - Oostende

  • Total points (OT incl.) 150.5 tip: Under
    26.11.2016. 20:30
    Result: 60:70
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8.3
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >148.5
    Published: 26.11. 20:24
    Bookmaker:
     
    Yves Defraigne has been at Mons for a long time now and club phylospohy isn't changing. They rely on tough defense and aggressve game. That may be more obvious than ever this season. Mons have the best defense int eh league after the first quarter of the season. They allow 71 point on average but also have the worst offensive end, which hits around 75 on average. Those numbers are even lower home. Oostende are better offensively, there is no doubt about it (average around 81) but we all know what Belgian league is like. Most teams play fast without real defense. Oostende have the second best defense (allow around 74) and that is important here, just like the fact they played Mons at 145 points in the first round, hitting just 66. Mons were mostly under 150 back then and even Limited Limburg to 57 points. They barely went over 140 with Antwerp, at 134 with Brussels, at 134 with Spirou.
    Oostende finished with Spirou at 143 in the greatest derby of the Belgian league and went over this margin in most other games. Given the game style of their opponents, that is no surprise or that important for this game because they play much differently than most Belgian teams. They got limited to under this margin twice with fast-paced Telekom in FIBA Europe. Oostende play Champions League and base everything on defense. They recently played Mega at 146 points, Canarias at 128, Juventus at 128, Strasbourg at 138, Mornar at 146. They were limited to under 150 this season against all more serious defense oriented teams. The Belgian champions are a bit better than before. They lost some important shooters last season and didn't replace them with players of same quality. They recently acquired Mwema who won't get much in offense but will contribute defensively and athletically. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Handicap (OT incl.) +20.5 tip: 2
    26.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 77:97
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >22.5
    Published: 26.11. 12:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    Hagen were trashed in Ulm last weekend. I expected them to lose easily but not by 52 points. Once again we saw that Hagen were not at last season's level. They have huge defense problems (allow 94 points, more than any other team int e league). They never beat Bayern and have lost easily even back when they were much better. The Bavarians have secure the Eurocup Top 16 and they haven't gone back to Munich. They stayed in Spainto prepare for Hagen in peace. All the players did the last practice, even Lucic, who struggled with an injury.
    I don't see Hagen staying up to them for a longer period of time. They played teams in spot 8-16 in the table home so far and lost most of those games. They lost to Tubingen by 22 in the last home game (by 11 at half time), to Giessen by 19 (14), to Jena by 13 (19) and to Wurzburg by 10 and Gottingen by 9. They left a better impression in those games. But they have not yet faced a team like Bayern home. Hagen are by far the weakest team Bayern will play away. We have to use this situation at Hagen, who don't seem like a top league team. Details
  • Basketball 

    FIBA Europe Cup Lami-Ved Kormend - Gronigen

  • Total points (OT incl.) 155.5 tip: Under
    23.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 72:79
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.87
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8.7
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >154.5
    Published: 23.11. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    FIBA Europe Cup has a specific competition system. Since top two teams in each group advance, and then two best third-placed teams from each of the two conference (there are three teams in some groups). The results against the teams that finish 4th are not taken into consideration for advancement. In other words, even though they are currently at 3-2 record, both Kormend and Groningen are actually at 1-2 if we look at the situation from the aspect of 3rd position. So the team that loses here will have a total record 3-3, but actually 3-1, their record from the games against 4th placed Limburg will be deleted, and both teams improved their point difference against them. The Hungarians are doing better in the point difference aspect, but if they lose more convincingly, they could be eliminated, and it is even more likely for the Dutch. The winners will definitely go into the 2nd round of the Europe Cup. In their first head-to-head this season, Groningen won 79-74, but the importance of the game is greater today. Last year these teams, lead by the same coaches, also played the FIBA Europe Cup. Kormend won at home 75-72, Groningen won at home 78-71.
    - Groningen are a strong team, especially physically. It will be important to be aggressive and strong from the start. We have long 40 minutes ahead of us and no one can expect an attractive game with a lot of points. Of course we want to score as much as possible, but this game will be based on defense - said Kormend's coach, Teo Cizmic.
    Both teams' average in the Europe Cup is above today's margin, but there is that Limburg factor, a team that do not play defense and play super fast basketball, so Kormend and Groningen played played efficient games against them, Kormend suffered a heavy defeat at Gravelines, the game fell apart early and went up to a high number of points. I don't expect it to fall apart today, we have equally good teams in an important game, they faced each other three times in a short period and they haven't gone over today's margin, I don't expect them to go over tonight either. Details
  • Basketball 

    Germany 1 Ulm - Hagen

  • 1st half handicap -11.5 tip: 1
    19.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 116:64
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-12.5
    Published: 19.11. 11:48
    Bookmaker:
     
    Ulm have no defeats in Bundesliga, they're on a 9-0 record, they're solid in Eurocup where only Valencia crushed them twice, apparently they have no solution for their defense. Ulm have basically the same team like last season, they added a couple of very strong players. They're looking especially impressive at home in Bundesliga where they didn't win with less than 10 points of difference. If you look at their first halves, they only didn't have a convincing lead against Oldenburg at the start of October. Later they had Bremerhaven after the first 20 minutes at +23, Ludwigsburg at +14, Telekom at +9. In Eurocup, Union Olimpia at +4, Hapoel at +16, and they got pulverized by Valencia.
    They beat Hagen in both head-to-heads with over 20 points of difference. Today their quality difference is even bigger. The main reason is that Hagen declared bankruptcy in the middle of the season, they lost four points, they couldn't get additions, they lost all nine games, and this week players started abandoning them. Their main play Williams left first, main center Klassen is struggling with his back and he will probably miss today's match, coach Freyer says they had only eight players at practices...
    For now, they passed in away games better than at home, but considering the most recent changes in the roster, considering Ulm at home and their game style, this is Hagen's toughest test of the season. Ulm are complete, they have 10 players in rotation, they have the best offense in the league, they didn't go under 93 points at home, and Hagen's defense is the worst. I don't believe Hagen will put up a fight for a long time here. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League Ludwigsburg - AEK Athena

  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 71.5 tip: Under
    16.11.2016. 20:30
    Result: 72:67
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >71.5
    Published: 16.11. 20:17
    Bookmaker:
     
    AEK's coach, Jure Zdovc, was very angry after the win over PAOK at Saturday, he knew they did not play well, but they won their sixth game in the Greek championship, they won points at an unpleasant away game. They were good defensively, as they mostly are this season. Only Besiktas went over today's margin against them, in the FIBA Champions League the concede 63.3 points on average, they play games at 145 points. Ludwigsburg are also defensively oriented under coach John Patrick, and they play tough games at low number of points against stronger teams. For example, in the Champions League, they lost to Stelmet 70-72, at home to Partizan 64-65, to Brose in pre-season 63-82, at the championship at home 48-60 and in Frankfurt 63-65. These are relevant games for today's game against AEK, we can also add that on Sunday they did not go over 73 points against defensively modest Alba. They will have the most difficult offensive task of the season today against AEK, I doubt Zdovc will give up on his tactics and that the Germans can dictate the pace here. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League Neptunas - PAOK

  • Handicap (OT incl.) -10 tip: 2
    16.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 68:63
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-7.5
    Published: 16.11. 12:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Neptunas have improved their form significantly lately, they won 10 of the last 11 games in all competitions, six back-to-back, but these low odds on them against PAOK are not justified, in my opinion. Their record in the Lithuanian championship is 6-5, 4-0 in the Champions League, they slipped through at Oldenburg and Usak, they were convincing at home, they defeated Varese by 34. The Italians are a team prone to falling apart, they are going through a rough period. The Lithuanians defeated ASVEL by 14 at home, and PAOK lost to ASVEL by 6, so why then go for the counter-handicap here? Things are not so simple. The Frenchmen went to the away game at Klaipeda at the worst time, when their point guard Meacham was injured, Nelson just arrived and with some other absences, they could not compete against Neptunas.
    PAOK have not left a good impression so far, but they were not significantly outplayed, they lost by double-digits only at Panathinaikos at the start of the season. On Saturday they countered AEK well, the impression was that they could have won, in the Champions League they won at Varese and lost at Radom in overtime, all four of their European games were marked by defenses. I expect a tough game today, in accordance with the set margin of points. PAOK have, with the exception of the game against Lefkadas, shown better performances away then at home, and they are underestimated here, in my opinion. The Greeks may not win, but they are capable of parrying the Lithuanians until the end, Neptunas' home team under is also a good option. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 162.5 tip: Over
    12.11.2016. 20:30
    Result: 62:78
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >165.5
    Published: 12.11. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    As it's already known, Spirou changed their coach during the summer, and the better part of the player roster made a 180 degree turn when the game style is in question. Before they focused on the defense, now they're practically a run-and-gun team who always play for that extra point. That was already seen in the preparation period, it's been confirmed in the Belgian championship, but also in the FIBA League. In the Belgian league Spirou are on average of 169 points, 165.5 at home. That was mostly affected by the game with low numbers against Oostende, but we know how Oostende plays and that it was the biggest derby of their championship. That's why in the last round they were at 183 with Leuven, at 174 with Antwerp, at 186 with Okapi, 174 with Brussels, 162 with Limburg. In the Champions League they're mostly around or over 170 points.
    Willebroek are a team run b the American colony who are extremely fast, so I think the away team will welcome Spirou's rhythm. So far Willebroek have six games in the championship, and against faster teams they went over today's margin - 170 with Limburg, 167 with Okapi, 179 with Antwerp, and in away games they're on an average of 165 points. In regular time they stayed below the margin against Mons ad Liege, but those teams are defensive-oriented and slow.
    Last season Spirou and Willebroek had two head-to-heads under 160 points, but like I mentioned, last season's Spirou is not the same as today's. Another important data for this pick is that by the end of the pre-season period they beat Willebroek at home with 100-87. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 71.5 tip: Under
    12.11.2016. 19:00
    Result: 71:78
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >70.5
    Published: 12.11. 18:58
    Bookmaker:
     
    PAOK have had quite a few ups and downs so far in the season but they mostly played less productive games with tougher teams. They beat Aris 66-62 (33-32 at half time), played 59-52 with Usak home (23-25). It was tough with Roso in Champions League as well - 65-65 in regulation time (33-30 at half time). Among the teams that are defense-oriented are Lavrio whom they beat 73-63 (37-38) and maybe ASVEL (31-67, 31-35). The only exception is the Panathinaikos game in the first official meeting of the season in Cup quarterfinals.
    AEK play very tough defense this season. They conceded around 58 points in the Greek championship and hit over 80 vzt realistically, they have not been met with a defense this good. In FIBA League, they trashed almost all opponents, limiting them to under 60 except for Besiktas, who are much better than most Greek teams when it comes to defense, even PAOK.
    PAOK and AEK played 5 games last season and stayed low in 3 of them. Zdovc came to Athens mid-season and has now had the entire summer to get the team organized. AEK are great defense-wise and PAOK mostly got limited to low numbers this season with similar teams. I expect something like that today as well. There are more good options here, the best one is team under at the home team because AEK never hold back. They do not decline in the second half, on the contrary. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 156.5 tip: Over
    08.11.2016. 20:30
    Result: 77:80
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.65
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >157.5
    Published: 08.11. 12:12
    Bookmaker:
     
    Castello kept the same coach over the summer and have not changed their game style. They play very fast-paced game with short attacks and it's worth worth going with overs at margins at under 160. Their average this season is just over 161 points and it's not too high mostly because of the teams they played. They mostly played defense-oriented teams like Araberri, Barcelona B, Ourense, Palencia. But they went over taht margin in most of those games. They went at 157 with Palencia on Friday, with Ourense and Araberri at 160. They stayed at 155 only with Barcelona.
    Lleida have no problems accepting the faster pace this season. They changed the roster completely and have a new coach and new game style. They average 154,4 points, mostly because of of lower numbers with extremely defense-oriented teams like Prat, Huesca or Caceres. I don't think those can be compared to the one taking place today. They finished at 16 with Burgos, at 165 with Breogana, at 172 with Oviedo and at 160 with Palencia.
    Lelida and Castello average around 80 points. Those are top offenses in the league, Lleida are best from the three point range and second best in two-point shooting. I have no doubts the home team will set their pace tonight. Lleida will accept it and I don't think this will go under 160 points. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team 1st half total points 36.5 tip: Under
    06.11.2016. 15:30
    Result: 56:72
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.86
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8.6
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >35.5
    Published: 06.11. 15:16
    Bookmaker:
     
    - In the last games we showed some cracks in defense and we have to patch them up now. We cannot count on same offensive production against strong Frankfurt, like we did in previous games. It is always important to play good defense in away games, that will be our focus - said Bayreuth's coach Raould Korner. His team conceded a lot in the last two rounds, but Alba have put all of their focus in defense this season, they play very fast, they demolished Giessen already in the first half, so the game fell apart. Bayreuth, on average, concede 74 points, they conceded a lot over today's margin against Ulm (81) in the 1st round when they lost in overtime, and it is known that Ulm have the best offense in Bundesliga with an average of over 90 points.
    Today they have an away game in Frankfurt which means big battle and it is hard to expect the offense to dominate. After horrible Braunschweig, Frankfurt are the weakest offensive team in Bundesliga, their average is at 67.5. They played 11 official games this season and thy went over this margin only against Bremerhaven and Alba, and against Ulm over 70. All three of these teams are offensively oriented, not very convincing defensively, they play very fast basketball. Frankfurt were limited to 61 point over the week at the FIBA Champions League against Helios, last weekend at home against Rasta also at 61, before that against Wurzburg at 64, at home against Ludwigsburg at 65... Bayreuth are definitely stronger and defensively better than Rasta and Wurzburg, they already showed that this season, they are on a six game winning run, it would not be surprising if they continue that run, and in case they do not, Frankfurt definitely won't have an easy job in offense, in pre-season the Skyliners lost to Bayreuth at home 61-75 (30-34), last year when they had a much better team they were limited to 75 against Bayreuth (29 at halftime). In my opinion, the best option here is Frankfurt's under at halftime, because in all games this season, they went over 36 in the first 20 minutes only once (at Wurzburg), they were mostly under 30, or just a bit over that. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 67.5 tip: Under
    04.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 73:91
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >67.5
    Published: 04.11. 17:54
    Bookmaker:
     
    This is a clash between the best offense in the Polish league and the best defense. The preseason already showed that the home team could struggle with defense today. Their roster is made of Americans with dubious quality who have so far not done much and bad Poles. It's no wonder they are on a 2-0 record. Tarno have not gone over 67 points in the championship so far. (they hit that much against Stelmet when the game fell apart). They hit 51 against Turow in a game that also fell apart, 60 against Stal, 60 against Rosa last weekend away but Rosa are not on last season's level. The home team hit 60,5 points on average and they are now to face Torun, who allow just 64 on average (61,5 away). Torun have a much smaller budget but the team is well-organized, especially the defensive end. They have no defeats, they limited Trefle to under 60 points last weekend and have done the same thing against Dabrowa Gornicza away. They trashed Rosa and limited them to 64 points away. Only Stal managed to get 70 points but that was in the first round. They will have point guard Wisniewski today. I don't think their approach will change. We can expect a tough and aggressive game which Tarnobrzeg cannot handle. Other than the team under, the visitors' win with a handicap is a good option as well. I think Tarnobrzeg will not go over 70 either way. Tarnobrzeg first half under is also a good option but total under seems better since they hit more points in the first 20 minutes than in the second half so far. Torun limited the opponents well under the margin even though some games fell apart. Details
  • Basketball 
  • 1st half handicap -16.0 tip: 1
    30.10.2016. 16:00
    Result: 75:67
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.82
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-16.5
    Published: 30.10. 12:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Olympiacos played two games this week already, beating Milano and Baskonia in the Euroleague. They have a league duel against Kolossos today. I don't think fatigue can be a factor here. Olympiacos have 12 players to rotate, Sfairoupoulos used them all on Thursday, with the key players playing very little, and none more than 27 minutes. Their next Euroleague game is on Thursday, so they have time to rest till then. They dominate the home matches this season, with Milano the only ones to match them to a degree. They beat Panathinaikos by 25 in the championship, with +18 in the first half. They crushed Efes by 24 (+8), and they beat Kolossos 99-48 25 days ago in the Cup quarterfinal. They were leading by 29 after the first half. Young was injured then, and Birch, Green and Papanikolau had a stomach flue, and Lojeski just came back. They beat them by 26 last year at home, and Oly were up by 14 after the first half on the road.
    Kolossos fired their main shooter Berry in the meantime, and brought Releford, so they're about the same. They beat the league rookie Promitheas in the last round, and that was their first win. Before that, they were down by seven against PAOL, and down by eight after the first half of the home game against Rethymn. Kolossos are actually weaker than last year, and hardly much has changed in the three weeks since their last duel against Olympiacos. I don't expect Olympiacos to be up by 30 after the first half again, but I definitely expect it to be more than the margin that was set. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Handicap (OT incl.) -16 tip: 1
    29.10.2016. 20:30
    Result: 79:59
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-18.5
    Published: 29.10. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    The difference in quality is huge here. The only thing that needs to be established here is how motivated Oldenburg are. And that should not be questionable today for more than one reason. They struggled with injuries quite a lot in preseason and season start which affected their performances quite a lot. They are on a 3-4 record now. They lost away to good opponents (Ulm, Bayern, Ludwigsburg and Brose). The last game with Brose proved that they are improving. They were basically complete and in a race for the win until the last minute. They lost to AVEL on Tuesday after having a two-point lead the last few seconds. That defeat didn't sit too well with them which is another reason for a lot of motivation. Oldenburg didn't seem too convincing but today, I expect them to win even with an average-quality performance.
    In preseason, they beat Braunschweig away by 13 (95-82) but Oldenburg were weakened back then. Brauschwieg could have that problem today. Some of their key players might not play today with a stomach flue so coach Menz doesn't know who will be ready today. That is extra blow for the vistiors who so far have not proven to be top division material. They were the favorites against Tubingen home and lost by 28 in the last round and Tubingen are realistically belong to worst teams in Bundesliga. They lost to Bayreuth 48-96, to Giessen 62-80. Oldenburg are better than Tubingen and Giessen and I daresay Bayreuth. Qvale, Kramer, Paulding, De Zeeuw and other are better than Braunschweig and I think they will win by 20 goals at least. First half handicap is a good option as well. Team over at the home team is a good option as well since Braunschweig conceded over 90 in the last 3 rounds. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 154 tip: Under
    29.10.2016. 18:15
    Result: 62:81
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +9.3
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >152.5
    Published: 29.10. 12:16
    Bookmaker:
     
    In the first 5 rounds Prat have proven that they are much better now than last season. They started with 3 straight wins and then lost close matches to Burgos and Caceres. The main characteristic of the Catalan team is an average game in defense. They conceded under 70 points on average and hit a bit more than that. Their games finish at around 138 points. They proved just how good they can be in defense against fast-paced Burgos by limiting them to 73 and playing the game at 138 points. They played Caceres in the last round at 138 points. Against Clavi, who are not convincing in defense, they played at 130 in regulation time. They went over 150 only in the first two games when the game fell apart. I do not expect that happening today. They face Palencia, the defending champions, who are not at last season's level. I expect the home team to do much better than in the last season. Prat's key players are Forcada and Ortega, who used to be key players at Palencia so motivation won't be questionable. Palencia played at 159 on average and that is the consequence of high numbers against productive teams. Against defense-oriented Oviedo and Huesa they stayed low. Prat are better than those teams in defense and I think Palencia will have even more problems in offense tonight.
    They were at 157 and 137 against Prat last season, and two seasons ago they didn't go over 141 in regulation time in either game. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 167.5 tip: Over
    22.10.2016. 20:30
    Result: 105:79
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >170.5
    Published: 22.10. 12:36
    Bookmaker:
     
    Okapi and Limburg played 6 head-to-head games last season and stayed under 170 points (166) just once. Coach Ibens took over from Dean over the summer. He has been Dean's assistant for years and has clearly kept the run and gun philosophy of his predecessor. They have done like that in preseason and then the championship started. They played the defense-oriented Brussels to 150 points and then Willebroek at 167 points. The game with Liege finished at 172 and the one with Spirou at 186. Limburg United are Okapi's copy when it comes to game style. They are at 165 points on average this season, mostly because of the Liege game (158) and Oostende at 157. Both of those teams are defense-oriented. They played Kormend in FIBA Europe Cup on Tuesday. The Hungarians won 100-85. I went with an over in Okapi and Limburg, once at 173,5 and 169,5. The realistic margin is at over 170 because in Belgium there are no teams faster than Okapi and Limburg. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 68.5 tip: Under
    22.10.2016. 16:00
    Result: 55:81
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.68
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +3.4
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >67.5
    Published: 22.10. 12:20
    Bookmaker:
     
    AEK are doing great in defense now. Their Slovenian coach has a recognizable style with defense-oriented defense. The team from Athens doesn't let go for 40 minutes. They conceded less points in the second half than in the first half on average. They played 4 official games so far. They first limited Koroivos to 57 in the Cup to win by 41. In the championship, they beat Apollon by 18 (limited them to 59). They limited Lavri home to 56 (won by 40), Szolnoki to 49 (+43) on Tuesday. They didn't let go in the second half as they allowed only 24 points, one less than in the first half. AEK have enough players, Zdovc uses a lot of them and it's no surprise their intensity doesn't drop as the game advances.
    They will play Kymis who hit 93 points in the first round against Koroivos home. They won that by 23 but Koroivos aren't a representative team. They are among the main contenders for the relegation. They play fast and offense-oriented game. On the defensive end, they are very weak. They hit 69 points in the second round against Lavri, 62 in the Cup QFs against Aris. In preseason and earlier Cup stages, Kymis went over this margin but no opponents they played got even close to AEK defense-wise. Maybe only the AEK from Cyprus games can be compared. Kymis hit 71 and 64 points. They also played Panathinaikos and got limited to 59. Details
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Events started
Basketball  Pau Orthez - Paris Levallois (87:94)

Handicap (OT incl.) -10.5 T: 1

JurajO: 1.78S: 5/10P: -5

 
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Statistics
The Betprepare tipsters have a two-year experience of giving tips on regional betting website Dvoznak.com (the predecessor of Betprepare.com). You can see their overall stats and individual stats for each tipster here. *The number of complete or partial voids is shown in the brackets next to the number of winning tips
Last 50
Success rate: 22 (1) / 50
Stake / Return: 244 / 193.65 (-50.35)
ROI: -20.6%
Overall
Success rate: 6035 (241) / 10445
Stake / Return: 50889 / 54748.77 (3859.77)
ROI: + 7.6%
By months
Month Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
2019/02 22 10 -18.85 -17.1
2019/01 40 17 (1) -49.38 -25.2
2018/12 71 49 (3) 70.74 + 20.6
2018/11 81 45 (1) 8.90 + 2.2
2018/10 64 37 (3) 6.30 + 2.0
2018/09 45 28 (3) 18.05 + 8.1
2018/08 36 20 (3) -15.40 -8.6
2018/07 17 12 21.88 + 29.2
2018/06 31 21 36.95 + 23.5
2018/05 42 24 9.79 + 4.7
2018/04 44 25 2.45 + 1.1
2018/03 31 15 -16.35 -10.2
2018/02 40 22 (2) -6.20 -3.1
2018/01 32 20 24.95 + 15.1
2017/12 40 20 -18.35 -7.8
2017/11 47 29 (2) 22.86 + 9.1
2017/10 52 31 19.05 + 6.9
2017/09 91 55 (1) 29.90 + 6.1
2017/08 54 26 (1) -27.75 -9.1
2017/07 107 63 22.79 + 3.6
2017/06 49 34 (2) 66.58 + 21.7
2017/05 51 28 -14.95 -4.6
2017/04 56 34 (2) 45.40 + 11.4
2017/03 64 43 (2) 77.40 + 18.6
2017/02 47 30 (1) 45.95 + 14.7
2017/01 50 32 (1) 62.55 + 16.0
2016/12 45 24 (1) -3.80 -1.2
2016/11 65 41 (1) 91.65 + 20.6
2016/10 93 63 (1) 111.65 + 22.8
2016/09 82 45 -6.60 -1.6
2016/08 75 51 (1) 91.00 + 23.3
2016/07 74 48 81.34 + 20.5
2016/06 84 47 26.45 + 5.9
2016/05 124 70 (1) 19.00 + 2.8
2016/04 157 84 (4) -32.17 -3.6
2016/03 177 112 (4) 138.70 + 13.6
2016/02 178 103 (3) 133.15 + 13.9
2016/01 199 110 (3) 28.38 + 2.8
2015/12 183 109 (2) 107.21 + 11.3
2015/11 310 168 (4) 33.35 + 2.2
2015/10 305 193 (4) 281.13 + 18.6
2015/09 189 107 (4) 48.56 + 5.3
2015/08 133 75 (2) 31.03 + 4.8
2015/07 210 118 (7) 47.78 + 4.7
2015/06 149 88 (3) 86.40 + 12.3
2015/05 241 115 (8) -150.52 -13.1
2015/04 275 156 (10) 53.57 + 4.0
2015/03 298 171 (10) 83.10 + 5.7
2015/02 313 195 (11) 230.50 + 15.5
2015/01 328 194 (6) 216.65 + 13.8
2014/12 232 128 (1) 40.01 + 3.6
2014/11 330 195 (8) 183.56 + 12.0
2014/10 318 171 (6) 20.89 + 1.4
2014/09 288 157 (9) 26.21 + 2.0
2014/08 201 106 (7) -30.06 -3.4
2014/07 222 118 (3) -8.40 -0.8
2014/06 219 126 (2) 118.05 + 12.2
2014/05 318 177 (6) 92.28 + 6.4
2014/04 301 169 (7) 78.45 + 5.8
2014/03 357 225 (6) 300.96 + 18.6
2014/02 333 177 (7) 18.36 + 1.2
2014/01 330 206 (12) 246.30 + 16.6
2013/12 287 170 (8) 147.95 + 11.4
2013/11 334 196 (13) 113.97 + 7.7
2013/10 445 249 (12) 130.07 + 6.7
2013/09 269 165 (14) 165.71 + 14.6

Tipsters

Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Pedja16 1302 745 (23) 457.92 + 6.8
Bacos 607 375 (6) 451.50 + 15.9
Marko 668 410 (7) 417.47 + 12.4
Ino 403 240 (3) 265.80 + 12.0
Goran 678 394 (7) 251.43 + 7.4
Juraj 272 168 (1) 209.23 + 14.3
Doublem 246 155 (14) 150.65 + 12.8
Spužva 259 159 (9) 144.69 + 11.8
Green 152 91 (1) 114.49 + 15.0
Chacho 77 54 (1) 112.84 + 28.4
Al Pacino 200 115 (1) 98.43 + 10.3
Seeker 533 295 (22) 76.07 + 3.0
Hans 115 71 (2) 60.24 + 9.9
Blaf 107 68 (4) 52.98 + 9.2
Chamakh 21 14 21.87 + 21.2
Viking 22 15 18.30 + 13.6
Nik24 29 19 (1) 15.55 + 9.4
Makas 71 41 (1) 12.80 + 3.5
Hrvi 43 24 11.10 + 4.8
Tim 9 6 8.84 + 21.0
Agger 69 39 (1) 8.65 + 2.5
Matko 65 33 (3) -12.07 -4.2
Tomo 106 58 (2) -12.63 -2.2
HR 98 54 (4) -25.36 -5.2
Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Makas 2 2 7.95 + 79.5
Marko 8 5 4.90 + 12.3
Hrvi 1 1 4.00 + 200.0
Blaf 2 1 -0.95 -9.5
Seeker 4 2 -1.90 -9.5
Spužva 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Tomo 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
HR 5 2 -6.25 -25.0
Goran 6 2 -8.80 -32.6
Pedja16 8 3 -12.25 -30.6
Agger 4 1 (1) -15.00 -75.0
Juraj 5 1 -16.00 -64.0
Inactive tipsters +
Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Kaziyski 493 276 230.27 + 10.1
Richardson 342 199 (4) 134.87 + 7.6
Omar 236 130 (12) 98.06 + 10.7
Toni 197 110 (6) 62.26 + 7.1
Kapetan 67 41 58.20 + 14.2
Medo 189 106 (2) 48.69 + 5.9
Dompa 80 48 (4) 32.62 + 9.8
Ivan 119 72 (15) 19.33 + 3.7
Damir 112 62 (7) 13.29 + 2.5
Ufo 9 6 7.74 + 22.1
Fantaz 104 57 (3) 2.74 + 0.5
Tompa 2 1 0.55 + 6.1
Boris 18 9 -2.92 -4.2
Jackie 3 1 -5.60 -43.1
Rujimir 17 8 -10.52 -14.8
Dado 3 0 -15.00 -100.0
BlackMamba 5 1 -15.85 -63.4
Jayson 6 1 (1) -19.00 -82.6
Ceginho 35 17 (2) -26.36 -14.0
Karabaja 172 92 (12) -40.35 -5.5
BoleTop 148 74 (3) -53.95 -7.6

By sport

Sport Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Football Football 1470 819 (75) 181.31 + 2.7
Basketball Basketball 3270 1885 (36) 1217.94 + 7.3
Handball Handball 2208 1327 (33) 1230.89 + 10.9
Ice hockey Ice hockey 457 263 (16) 117.89 + 6.1
Water polo Water polo 75 44 39.60 + 10.5
Volleyball Volleyball 1008 572 (1) 576.02 + 12.3
Tennis Tennis 1668 947 (71) 345.20 + 4.4
Futsal Futsal 115 72 (2) 67.59 + 11.2
American football American football 98 62 (4) 59.64 + 13.4
Baseball Baseball 6 1 (1) -19.00 -82.6
Sport Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Football Football 7 3 -7.20 -20.6
Basketball Basketball 27 11 (1) -39.30 -29.1
Handball Handball 9 4 -5.90 -15.1
Tennis Tennis 4 2 -1.90 -9.5

Top 15 competitions

League Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Handball: Norway 1 Norway 1 96 65 139.00 + 28.0
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 203 124 (6) 118.27 + 11.2
Handball: Denmark 1 Denmark 1 102 67 (1) 110.39 + 20.5
Handball: France 1 France 1 127 76 (1) 106.95 + 16.5
Football: Friendly Club Friendly Club 61 45 104.13 + 31.9
Basketball: Euroleague Euroleague 310 177 (6) 97.88 + 6.0
Volleyball: France 1 France 1 91 57 92.30 + 20.9
Basketball: Spain 1 Spain 1 228 131 79.39 + 6.6
Basketball: France 2 France 2 61 41 78.38 + 26.0
Basketball: NBA NBA 164 98 (4) 76.88 + 9.7
Basketball: Belgium 1 Belgium 1 69 44 76.82 + 21.6
Handball: Croatia 1 Croatia 1 27 21 72.78 + 49.5
Basketball: Greece 1 Greece 1 120 72 (2) 72.00 + 11.4
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 73 47 70.37 + 20.0
Handball: Austria 1 Austria 1 40 29 70.02 + 33.0
American football: NFL NFL 98 62 (4) 59.64 + 13.4
Basketball: Croatia 1 Croatia 1 94 58 (1) 58.15 + 12.0
Basketball: Poland 1 Poland 1 81 51 54.87 + 13.8
Basketball: Germany 1 Germany 1 150 88 (1) 53.58 + 6.9
Ice hockey: Austria 1 Austria 1 50 34 (3) 52.67 + 24.7
League Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Basketball: Germany 1 Germany 1 2 2 8.15 + 81.5
Basketball: Turkey 1 Turkey 1 1 1 4.35 + 87.0
Football: Prijateljske U19 Prijateljske U19 1 1 4.15 + 83.0
Tennis: Bangkok Bangkok 1 1 4.05 + 81.0
Basketball: France Cup France Cup 1 1 4.00 + 80.0
Handball: Champions League Champions League 1 1 3.70 + 74.0
Handball: World Championship World Championship 6 3 0.40 + 1.7
Football: Saudijska Arabija 1. liga Saudijska Arabija 1. liga 2 1 -0.40 -4.0
Basketball: VTB VTB 2 1 -0.75 -7.5
Football: Friendly Club Friendly Club 2 1 -0.95 -9.5
Tennis: Australian Open Australian Open 2 1 -0.95 -9.5
Basketball: Euroleague Euroleague 6 3 -3.25 -10.8
Football: Northern Ireland 1 Northern Ireland 1 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Tennis: Buenos Aires Buenos Aires 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Football: WAFF prvenstvo WAFF prvenstvo 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Basketball: Spain 1 Spain 1 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Basketball: Italy 1 Italy 1 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Basketball: FIBA Europe Cup FIBA Europe Cup 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Basketball: Brazil 1 Brazil 1 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Basketball: France League Cup France League Cup 1 0 -5.00 -100.0

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